H2O Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I didn't even look at the euro. Why bother? Thing is still days away. The storm last night was more fun. A shift from poo poo to a little some some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: 100% chance this doesn't hold everyday for 5 days the sad thing is anything less than the huge euro run and some will be deeply disappointed...the first run that doesn’t show 20" plus snow log off because it will be unbearable in here for a bit. Yeah...I wrote that in ink I think the pretty (absurd) snow maps influence expectations, whether people realize it or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: I think the pretty (absurd) snow maps influence expectations, whether people realize it or not. Most people are reasonable but when Jim Jones starts bringing out the Kool-aid some can't help but drink it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: I think the pretty (absurd) snow maps influence expectations, whether people realize it or not. speak for yourself, 20" monday or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 60s super bowl weekend is a lock!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 When does the random suppressive northern stream shortwave start showing up for Sunday/Monday? I think 0z tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Wonder if the folks in NC are all in on the GFS. Has a bit of support from the NAM. That should give them a boost of confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 @leesburg 04 rule in effect in the storm thread. Ralph had the last post and I knew better than to open it/read it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: When does the random suppressive northern stream shortwave start showing up for Sunday/Monday? I think 0z tonight. Did I say 0z tonight? I meant today's 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 When will we get the big dog? It always happens when we have a blocking pattern, after a few warm up events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, nj2va said: @leesburg 04 rule in effect in the storm thread. Ralph had the last post and I knew better than to open it/read it. He could have made a better case by using the 6z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: He could have made a better case by using the 6z GFS. Too early for popcorn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Too early for popcorn? Never. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Guys I'm worried, I thought the Sunday-Tuesday timeframe had potential but Ralph Wiggum says the extrapolated ICON doesn't look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: He could have made a better case by using the 6z GFS. I'm actually shocked no one posted that. Good thing Ji was sleeping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, nj2va said: I'm actually shocked no one posted that. Good thing Ji was sleeping. Six days out, so plenty of uncertainty. I can pretty much guarantee its not going go down like that lol. Take away that late wonky interaction, its a WAA front end hit followed by a dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Six days out, so plenty of uncertainty. I can pretty much guarantee its not going go down like that lol. Take away that late wonky interaction, its a WAA front end hit followed by a dry slot. So if I'm reading it right, further north coastals we get the WAA on Sunday (GFS, CMC, PARA) and the coastal hits we miss some of the WAA thump Sunday…..I'm sure there is a scenario where we somehow manage to miss both...that's my guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: So if I'm reading it right, further north coastals we get the WAA on Sunday (GFS, CMC, PARA) and the coastal hits we miss some of the WAA thump Sunday…..I'm sure there is a scenario where we somehow manage to miss both...that's my guess There are always multiple paths to victory, and failure, at this range. We just cant know yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Besides weather enthusiasts we apparently have many psychologists amongst us. Continue up the good work in the storm thread keeping people calm and tapering expectations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I’m supposed to head back down to Charlottesville on Saturday, so it’ll probably snow 20” in Arlington and 7” in Charlottesville like the EURO depicted. If it really somehow looked like that on Saturday morning... I’d probably need to let my professors know that I’ll be fully virtual the first week, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I may have to put WW on ignore for awhile. Those maps are killing me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Are people really expecting the Euro's 18-24" solution to hold? No wonder why its always so hard to find a therapist in the DMV with availability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Are people really expecting the Euro's 18-24" solution to hold? No wonder why its always so hard to find a therapist in the DMV with availability. Define people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 19 minutes ago, nj2va said: Are people really expecting the Euro's 18-24" solution to hold? No wonder why its always so hard to find a therapist in the DMV with availability. I think I may have seen only 5 big snowstorms (10"+) in the past 50 years in a Nina. A couple of them probably didn't reach that criteria in the metro areas, like Jan 1971 and Dec 1973 ? Other than that, its just Jan 1996, Jan 2000 and Feb 2006 as best I can recall. The models at various times in the past week have offered up 3 different storms that size. I will remain skeptical until I see a similar solution under 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Are people really expecting the Euro's 18-24" solution to hold? No wonder why its always so hard to find a therapist in the DMV with availability. There is one person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 We need a thread for the next threat only. Where Ji can tell us how things are. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, H2O said: We need a thread for the next threat only. Where Ji can tell us how things are. Hope you are ready to lose your 16-18 inches of snow on the 12z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 So far this winter ive been really quiet about potential threats with my family/friends so as not to jinx them. Hasn't worked so ALL IN on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I've finally muted him. At some point it is way too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: I've finally muted him. At some point it is way too much. Too obscure as to who you mean. Could be Ji or Probability map Will or Leesburgtownville0000004 or, perish the thought, me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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