nj2va Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 46 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Idk what kind of luck I'm having right now, but models trending more bullish here for snow. 5H track is close to perfect for Midland, but looks like best ascent is just off to the north. I'm probably going to do an early morning snow chase on Sunday and will return in time for the Ravens game. I really hope you guys can score soon. I'm just happy we're getting precip here. If you didn’t live there, I’d be pissed that your area was getting more snow than DC. Enjoy the storm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 It was sad just watching the last new Jeopardy episode that Alex Trebek taped as the host. What a legend he was. RIP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: It was sad just watching the last new Jeopardy episode that Alex Trebek taped as the host. What a legend he was. RIP. I watched too. Hard to believe he's gone. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1....go!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 15 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’m glad that I tapped, “Show this post.” I’m not one to wish for no snow, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 That was hilarious this AM in the long range thread - some borderline maybe some good new posts and then PSU with a vat of acid just spraying it everywhere. Had to laugh. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 54 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: 1....go!! I was drinking my coffee and scrolling through and thinking “wow, maybe it’ll be a positive day in here” after seeing CAPE’s comments. Then I got to the “unmitigated disaster” part and laughed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 All hail the EPS. It’s as if nothing else exists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 My prediction before he wakes up. "When the models show a great pattern they're always wrong but when they show a shitty pattern they're always right" I predict this statement around 2pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 39 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: All hail the EPS. It’s as if nothing else exists. Like I said in the thread, if we are going to keep the MR and LR together, its going to cause some "unrest" when the LR is brought up and it maybe doesn't look as favorable on some guidance. This honestly shouldn't be a big deal, because we all should know the caveats, and no qualifiers should be needed. That said, this is exactly why I suggested having 2 threads, but I understand the reluctance and that they both could become a mixed up mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 I like how PhillyWx has it organized- Winter Pattern Discussion Winter Storm Threats- Day 5+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 You know things are bad when I have multiple posts on the same page in the medium-/long-range thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 26 minutes ago, CAPE said: Like I said in the thread, if we are going to keep the MR and LR together, its going to cause some "unrest" when the LR is brought up and it maybe doesn't look as favorable on some guidance. This honestly shouldn't be a big deal, because we all should know the caveats, and no qualifiers should be needed. That said, this is exactly why I suggested having 2 threads, but I understand the reluctance and that they both could become a mixed up mess. I’m opposed to one model posting when it comes to long range. I think all the ensembles have to be considered. It’s too much EPS centered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m opposed to one model posting when it comes to long range. I think all the ensembles have to be considered. It’s too much EPS centered. I think it varies. See plenty of GEFS stuff too. Maybe we need a little more Canadian. eta- see my first few posts this morning. I actually ignored the EPS. Then PSU did his little drive-by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m opposed to one model posting when it comes to long range. I think all the ensembles have to be considered. It’s too much EPS centered. I lurk a lot on here and I'd say the GEFS gets almost as much attention as the EPS. If the EPS gets a bit more attention, its because it has superior verification scores. I haven't looked but someone said that the GEPS agrees with the EPS. So its definitely worth some concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: Then PSU did his little drive-by 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MocoMike Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I lurk a lot on here and I'd say the GEFS gets almost as much attention as the EPS. If the EPS gets a bit more attention, its because it has superior verification scores. I haven't looked but someone said that the GEPS agrees with the EPS. So its definitely worth some concern. I would agree with this...and was also thinking the GEPS was leaning more toward the EPS than the GEFS with the long range. I’d imagine a compromise in the middle could be possible....I also wonder if that period is more questionable given we would be approaching the period for impacts, if any, from the SSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Not me. I like what i saw on the GEFS for the 17th-24th, and hopefully beyond. I mean, we cant just pretend the EPS is the JMA, so it certainly needs to be discussed in a thread that includes discussion of the LR. I would prefer the LR talk be in its own thread, but that idea seems to be dead lol. The powers to be have spoken on that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MocoMike Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 Love the retrograding L to the north on the GFS...interesting look lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 LOL, if you believe what you read then no storm is ever possible. Too many flaws with all of them. Blues and oranges not in the exact right place I guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 If it can’t produce 30” it ain’t worth tracking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 GEFS caved to EPS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 hour ago, nj2va said: The powers to be have spoken on that lol Its been tried before, once while I have been around. It immediately devolves into a confusing mash with people posting pattern stuff in the storm thread and storm stuff in the pattern thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 At least Madrid is getting their snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 33 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Its been tried before, once while I have been around. It immediately devolves into a confusing mash with people posting pattern stuff in the storm thread and storm stuff in the pattern thread. It’s really not that big of a deal to have one thread - my issue is more when we get closer to an event. Its gotten so absurd with ‘omg, don’t start a thread for a storm because we’ll jinx it’ that when we do get a threat within 4 days, we’re still trigger shy so the LR thread becomes a discussion about SSWE, teleconnections, 96 hour storms, etc. That gets too much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 Where the hell is @Ji?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 hour ago, cbmclean said: Its been tried before, once while I have been around. It immediately devolves into a confusing mash with people posting pattern stuff in the storm thread and storm stuff in the pattern thread. Because people are dumb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Where the hell is @Ji?? Apparently f**ked off for a while. Can’t say it’s a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 50 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Where the hell is @Ji?? He'll be back next winter... or, more likely, sometime within the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 This Bills/Colts game is shaping up for a great ending. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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