WEATHER53 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 So we just ended a period where several significant coastal storm snowmakers were model predicted which instead ended up in the Great Lakes. Been going on for 20 years with no significant improvement. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: So we just ended a period where several significant coastal storm snowmakers were model predicted which instead ended up in the Great Lakes. Been going on for 20 years with no significant improvement. Which storm recently was supposed to be a snowstorm? I must have missed that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Which storm recently was supposed to be a snowstorm? I must have missed that. He has his opinions on NWP, which he is certainly entitled to, but opinions not backed by facts aren't worth much in the scientific community. Not sure why he even posts here, other than to troll. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 WWA up for NW crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 hour ago, CAPE said: He has his opinions on NWP, which he is certainly entitled to, but opinions not backed by facts aren't worth much in the scientific community. Not sure why he even posts here, other than to troll. Sometimes a broken clock is right twice a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said: Sometimes a broken clock is right twice a day. A broken clock is always right twice a day. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Interesting that there is a WWA up for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 27 minutes ago, Clueless said: WWA up for NW crew. 45/37 after a high of 51. With the clouds it’s gonna be tough to get cold enough here for accumulation. Elevation event, I’m guessing ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, WVclimo said: 45/37 after a high of 51. With the clouds it’s gonna be tough to get cold enough here for accumulation. Elevation event, I’m guessing ? I’m not buying it for MBY. Mentioned icing @ +1000. Maybe Trixie will see something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 34/34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 HREF guidance at 00z pegs a corridor of light ZR accumulations across areas west of US15 out to the 81 corridor. There's a secondary bit along Pars Ridge in Carroll and the PA Line from Thurmont/Emmitsburg to northern Harford County. It's minor at 0.01-0.1" of ZR with temps between 29-32F for 3-6 hrs. It might make for tricky travel in the early morning before surface sufficiently rebounds above freezing between 14-17z everywhere. The further NE you are, the longer the sub-freezing temps will hold in this setup. Could be rough from PSU-Mappy-Jarretsville tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said: HREF guidance at 00z pegs a corridor of light ZR accumulations across areas west of US15 out to the 81 corridor. There's a secondary bit along Pars Ridge in Carroll and the PA Line from Thurmont/Emmitsburg to northern Harford County. It's minor at 0.01-0.1" of ZR with temps between 29-32F for 3-6 hrs. It might make for tricky travel in the early morning before surface sufficiently rebounds above freezing between 14-17z everywhere. The further NE you are, the longer the sub-freezing temps will hold in this setup. Could be rough from PSU-Mappy-Jarretsville tomorrow morning. *ahem* I'll have you know I'm on the southern end of Jackpotville™. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Pouring cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucketts Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 34/34 rain has (at least temporarily) stopped. Ground is once again completely saturated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Too warm for flakes. Just rain and 38° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Not a flake. Rain from the start. More cold rain. New year, same shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 They should cancel the WWA here and post a Dense Fog Advisory. I can hardly see the end of the driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 11 hours ago, MillvilleWx said: HREF guidance at 00z pegs a corridor of light ZR accumulations across areas west of US15 out to the 81 corridor. There's a secondary bit along Pars Ridge in Carroll and the PA Line from Thurmont/Emmitsburg to northern Harford County. It's minor at 0.01-0.1" of ZR with temps between 29-32F for 3-6 hrs. It might make for tricky travel in the early morning before surface sufficiently rebounds above freezing between 14-17z everywhere. The further NE you are, the longer the sub-freezing temps will hold in this setup. Could be rough from PSU-Mappy-Jarretsville tomorrow morning. It’s very dry, was there supposed to be precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Only 0.05” of precip this morning. Up to 35 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 We dry slotted. 0.35" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Guidance seems to have handled this well. First batch of rain out, showers moving back in midday. Another blah day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 38 minutes ago, mappy said: It’s very dry, was there supposed to be precip? Lots of dry air above 700 mb on the sounding. Upper low to the west probably has something to do with it. There will be another round later. Likely all rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Guidance is hinting at a bit of an inverted trough near the area on Tuesday. Some places could get some nice bands of snow showers with that. Right now the placement would favor just to our northeast. Climo says that’s more likely. But it’s close enough to point out. You never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Guidance is hinting at a bit of an inverted trough near the area on Tuesday. Some places could get some nice bands of snow showers with that. Right now the placement would favor just to our northeast. Climo says that’s more likely. But it’s close enough to point out. You never know. Yes, I do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Good burst of rain, sleet and a few flakes.... up to 37 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 42 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Just got home from Deep creek lake and its 33 imby . My friends who own Lakestar Lodge called last minute and said they had 1 room for last night . So I went up yesterday and skied last night at Wisp and drove back this morning. Rain was changing to snow in Frostburg around 10:30 am on returning. Foggy as heck too in Deep creek. Stopped by short story brewing co and got a couple 4 packs to go . Good beer Had some wet snow flakes mixing in when I passed through Frostburg this morning (basically at about the same time as you!) heading back to Arlington. A nasty drive on 68 though with the fog and rain. Mountains should get 2-4” from the Tuesday clipper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 14 hours ago, mappy said: It’s very dry, was there supposed to be precip? There was supposed to be precip but it was pretty dry sadly. Nothing really came to fruition until it was above freezing for much of the region. Sorry for the late response! Just worked day 6 of 10. Oyyy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Clear skies + calm winds + lots of low-level moisture + wet grounds + below freezing temperatures = The heaviest "frost" I've seen 29F at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, George BM said: Clear skies + calm winds + lots of low-level moisture + wet grounds + below freezing temperatures = The heaviest "frost" I've seen 29F at IAD. The roads are icy. Saw a bunch of crashes on my way into work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Everything had a layer of ice this morning when I left . Best winter weather we've seen here east of DC. Extra frost and 33 degrees lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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