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Significant upper middle Atlantic S/CNE mix/snow potential Jan 3+


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Gfs again has the good stuff offshore. Maybe the s/w sort of moving from west to east and not really digging or tilting negative with time is combining with other factors to keep this offshore? I honestly don’t know, but every hi res model is pretty Far East. I want to think the euro is more correct, but hard to ignore the 00z models so far. 

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7 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

00z GFS looks a bit better than the other guidance when the capture and stall begins, a little bit further south and west.  Also the surface low seems a tad stronger.

James… Even if the GFS low ...captures and backs in it’s too weak it’s dynamics have been maximized. All it’s going to be bringing with it is likely orb sun a few flakes in the air and a nasty wind. 

If the whole deep layer structure gets more intense and has better wind Max whirling around it might enhance things further that way ...but even then when storms are maxed out and they retrograde they don’t tend to bring heavy action with them. 

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