Go Kart Mozart Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Reggie looked meh too. This simply doesn't happen: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Welcome back...How’d that gfs pan out for you Dec 17th? Ya him and the Pope...hopefully he learned his lesson? Hmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There was some guidance showing a blockbuster, but I agree that it was never really viable. Only for a very small area in DE Maine though. Which is still a viable option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said: A weak sauce storm people! Beers for Joe’s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Only for a very small area in DE Maine though. Which is still a viable option Well there was the one NAM run...but we expect that from that silly model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: This simply doesn't happen: Ya we’ll take that all day long...very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: There was some guidance showing a blockbuster, but I agree that it was never really viable. Those snow maps from a day or two ago had today's, and Mondays storm totals in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Only for a very small area in DE Maine though. Which is still a viable option No....there was some guidance showing like 20" in e MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: No....there was some guidance showing like 20" in e MA. Rpm , Reggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Those snow maps from a day or two ago had today's, and Mondays storm totals in them. I understand that, but that was still well over a foot around here on Monday from the capture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Rpm , Reggie GFS and GEM did, too....GFS was a few days ago. Again, I never took it seriously, but just saying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 There were definitely some zonked GFS and GEM runs in there a couple days ago...giving all different parts of SNE 12”+ (in some cases way more) depending on which run it was....but those all had a clear capture and stall down at a further south latitude which was never totally realistic imho. I’m still thinking the precip shield will be further northwest though on the initial burst than modeled for reasons discussed already many times. We’ll see if that improves on tonight’s 00z runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: There were definitely some zonked GFS and GEM runs in there a couple days ago...giving all different parts of SNE 12”+ (in some cases way more) depending on which run it was....but those all had a clear capture and stall down at a further south latitude which was never totally realistic imho. I’m still thinking the precip shield will be further northwest though on the initial burst than modeled for reasons discussed already many times. We’ll see if that improves on tonight’s 00z runs. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No....there was some guidance showing like 20" in e MA. One or two Nam runs . But in all honesty this was never a e Ma Jack . With marginal cold air that was never realistic . You guys Jack with deep antecedent cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Kev got his watches...well Winter weather advisory’s are up. 2-4” for this one for most in SNE away from the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Eastern Mass special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Looking at all the 12z/18z guidance so far... Only the 12z Euro (and 18z HRRR, well out of range) and EPS support the higher 3-6/4-8 amounts in eastern SNE... if it were any other model going against the consensus, we'd toss it. Fair to weigh it more heavily at the moment, but it will need to double down at 18z / 0z. Otherwise the Box map is looking about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 https://twitter.com/growingwisdom/status/1345493088211492865 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Three days of intermittent light snow with highs in the mid to upper 30s. Definition of nuisance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I actually thought the EPS was one of the better pieces of guidance all day. That said, I’d be lying if I said some of these paltry outputs like the NAM weren’t concerning. I was told not to worry about the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: https://twitter.com/growingwisdom/status/1345493088211492865 How come you left this out? . Map likely refined tomorrow after midday information Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 18z Euro up next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z Euro up next. Look out Portugal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How come you left this out? . Map likely refined tomorrow after midday information I didn't leave anything out it's a link But while we're on the subject how come you left this out? Sunday and night and Monday snow still looking pretty insignificant. Map likely refined tomorrow after midday information. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, kdxken said: I didn't leave anything out it's a link But while we're on the subject how come you left this out? Sunday and night and Monday snow still looking pretty insignificant. Map likely refined tomorrow after midday information. Because every solution is still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Look out Portugal! Why are you moving there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: One or two Nam runs . But in all honesty this was never a e Ma Jack . With marginal cold air that was never realistic . You guys Jack with deep antecedent cold RGEM, UK and GFS all jacked e MA w big totals.....again, I'm not arguing it was ever likely. But e MA does not need deep antecedent cold in mid winter to jack. Just the mid level banding, like anywhere else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: RGEM, UK and GFS all jacked e MA w big totals.....again, I'm not arguing it was ever likely. But e MA does not need deep antecedent cold in mid winter to jack. Just the mid level banding, like anywhere else. I agree Ray, Cape Cod needs more luck, but honestly Plymouth and the north shore do not need that much luck. Plus the models have gone with a upper level closing off southeast of CHH, I do not care if ACK turns to rain, which looks likely no matter the situation. However, current observations suggest that the surface low is stronger over the NC western mountains and the pressure falls are the best there. This is coming more west than the 18z suite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: RGEM, UK and GFS all jacked e MA w big totals.....again, I'm not arguing it was ever likely. But e MA does not need deep antecedent cold in mid winter to jack. Just the mid level banding, like anywhere else. Generally places in E MA which I consider BOS and burbs and then to SE MA which begins from Scooter in S Wey sw to Taunton needs cold air in place. There’s not that many storms where the coast of E Ma jacks with marginal air. This is super marginal . Not to say it can’t snow, but it ain’t Jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Generally places in E MA which I consider BOS and burbs and then to SE MA which begins from Scooter in S Wey sw to Taunton needs cold air in place. There’s not that many storms where the coast of E Ma jacks with marginal air. This is super marginal Very detailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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