STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 The tick se on euro at 18z May put this to bed The EPS for Monday - Tuesday looked worse . Funny nobody mentioned it . OP was on NW side of ensemble guidance at 12z. Ensembles were E with low on Monday and Tuesday . 5H was worse on ensemble as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: No kidding. The modeling has been bad, even erratic, and what was trending a massive blockbuster caved to a small or even nonexistent event within the span of 24 hours and it did it inside of 72 hours. Maybe that still happens nowadays but I don’t remember the last time I saw these things happen with modeling... at least not in the last 5-10 years Nothing ever was showing a massive blockbuster. This always has been and still is a solid 6” snowfall over a good chunk of the area. With local zones getting 8-10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The tick se on euro at 18z May put this to bed The EPS for Monday - Tuesday looked worse . Funny nobody mentioned it . OP was on NW side of ensemble guidance at 12z. Ensembles were E with low on Monday and Tuesday . 5H was worse on ensemble as well. I thought the EPS was decent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing ever was showing a massive blockbuster. This always has been and still is a solid 6” snowfall over a good chunk of the area. With local zones getting 8-10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 18z Reggie was better than 12z in a lot of areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 She's dead, Jim. Pretty soon the only people getting snow from this will be the upslope crew after the storm passes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I thought the EPS was decent? Mean looked decent to me, but I didn't look at the individual members 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: The GFS? And a snowmap from it? Come on man. You’re better than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I thought the EPS was decent? Looking on T.T the Ens mean looked SE of O.P at 48-72 hours by a few ticks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The GFS? And a snowmap from it? Come on man. You’re better than this You’re rockin’ me with split hairs. A better way for me to put it... is that tracking this on models has made my head spin. Erratic modeling that took all sorts of shapes that I’m just not used to. I mean maybe I’m crazy, and I only got a few hours of sleep last night but I just feel like this is a weird one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, IowaStorm05 said: You’re rockin’ me with split hairs. A better way for me to put it... is that tracking this on models has made my head spin. Erratic modeling that took all sorts of shapes that I’m just not used to. I mean maybe I’m crazy, and I only got a few hours of sleep last night but I just feel like this is a weird one. Wait....this system robbed your sleep? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Wait....this system robbed your sleep? Wow I hope not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Jerry and I would like a Euro, RAP, HRRR blend. At least as it stands right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Wow I hope not? Lol I wouldn’t say it was this. I slept 10 hours the night before, and just 3 hours last night. This wasn’t a CAUSE per se, buuuut I was up for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Mean looked decent to me, but I didn't look at the individual members Yeah I actually thought the EPS was one of the better pieces of guidance all day. That said, I’d be lying if I said some of these paltry outputs like the NAM weren’t concerning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I'll take the v16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Are we still in for 72 hrs of snow? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Looks like both GFS's came NW of the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Looks like both GFS's came NW of the 12z runs. Well that’s an improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Phin gets his snows from this Late tuesday nite and Wed am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like both GFS's came NW of the 12z runs. Means nothing around these parts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I actually thought the EPS was one of the better pieces of guidance all day. That said, I’d be lying if I said some of these paltry outputs like the NAM weren’t concerning. The Nams not concerning at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Well that’s an improvement. Nice fuji dance on the v16 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Would you look at that..days n days . Hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nice fuji dance on the v16 lol Your gonna have a 2 man thread Tuesday into Wed am. I hope you get hit hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Your gonna have a 2 man thread Tuesday into Wed am. Wouldn't be the first time i was talking to myself. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: Wouldn't be the first time i was talking to myself. Para says I’ll stop by and talk as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Not for us, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Man that CCB is close to the Cape. It wouldn’t take much to tickle that west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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