WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I just hope that the few weenies that still use qpf to live and die with take heed at what the Mets and folks in the know are saying. There will be more qpf than modeled and there won’t be a subby zone like you’d see in a big wound up coastal. This will be a nice widespread 6+ deal. The one concern is coastal areas and BL temps. Hopefully those areas are ok . When these go out south of LI.. most folks win Box has a good map currently....2-3 for most inland areas, and a lil more up northeast. If the Euro and others keep ticking west today, then maybe a 3-4/3-5 type deal away from the water, if things look positive through today. Nothing wrong with 2-3 inches to start the 1st week of ‘21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Maybe we will be lucky and last night was just a bad set of runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Potent vorticity on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I'll sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said: Maybe we will be lucky and last night was just a bad set of runs What do you mean. CT is in. good spot. Read the posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What do you mean. CT is in. good spot. Read the posts I just woke up and am trying to catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 RGEM is basically a whiff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I'll sign. This isn’t far from what I think might happen. Kind of a broad brush advisory snowfall. Wouldn’t surprise me though to see a stripe of warning snow where some of the residual midlevel support is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Sucks for cape cod ma. That’s a lot of rain. If only this was a Jan airmass and not Oct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This isn’t far from what I think might happen. Kind of a broad brush advisory snowfall. Wouldn’t surprise me though to see a stripe of warning snow where some of the residual midlevel support is. Yup. Build a solid base with a lot of 6”+ of wet man snow.. keep it just cold enough not to melt and add more over the next week over time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup. Build a solid base with a lot of 6”+ of wet man snow.. keep it just cold enough not to melt and add more over the next week over time Im not sure how much 6+ this will have in SNE. Might be a lot more 3-5ish if we can’t tuck in the baroclinic zone tighter. We’ll see how the next 12 hours trends though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Im not sure how much 6+ this will have in SNE. Might be a lot more 3-5ish if we can’t tuck in the baroclinic zone tighter. We’ll see how the next 12 hours trends though. Man, some of us locked in the 23" amounts in CEF that were shown yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup. Build a solid base with a lot of 6”+ of wet man snow.. keep it just cold enough not to melt and add more over the next week over time You'll be picking up acorns between this melting and any next snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Im not sure how much 6+ this will have in SNE. Might be a lot more 3-5ish if we can’t tuck in the baroclinic zone tighter. We’ll see how the next 12 hours trends though. Upper level lows always have surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Upper level lows always have surprises You need it to track south of SNE which it doesn’t on a lot of runs. Almost goes overhead more than anything. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: You need it to track south of SNE which it doesn’t on a lot of runs. Almost goes overhead more than anything. Still argues for better snow up north than the models are showing right now. Hope you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You need it to track south of SNE which it doesn’t on a lot of runs. Almost goes overhead more than anything. Just lived this exact scenario with the last event in which the ULL tracked OVER SNE, take the under in these scenarios. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Still argues for better snow up north than the models are showing right now. Hope you are right. Yeah I like the upper level track and would be surprised if there isn’t more qpf to the northwest of what is currently shown. Like I said before, maybe I’m wrong this time. It wouldn’t be the first time and certainly not the last, but just based on the core of the vort track and ULL, you’d expect more precip blossoming on that NW side than models are spitting out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You need it to track south of SNE which it doesn’t on a lot of runs. Almost goes overhead more than anything. Been pretty consistent going right over MA/CT on modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Ugh - disappointing trends for non-downeast Maine. What looked like a nice one-two punch may turn out to be a rainer followed by a borderline whiff. At least the ski areas got some snow from the one that's winding down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 25 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: You'll be picking up acorns between this melting and any next snow. I think in the past 10 years the Canadian has given me close to 1000” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Gfs looks like dung Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs looks like dung It’s over for you down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 CMC has the euro idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It’s over for you down that way. Over for what in his by? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Dave Epstein @growingwisdom · 1h Sunday night-Monday system not looking like a big event at all. Will wait till all the data arrives through the morning and into the early afternoon before putting out some accumulations Steined! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Mike Wankum @MetMikeWCVB · 12h After the wintry mix tonight and again on Sunday night the weather is pretty quiet thru January 11. No big storms expected...at this time. Wanked! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Does DIT have access to a set of models that take the ULL South of New England . ULL track looks good for Berks/ S VT , , Monads And over toward Whites Seeing 6” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: CMC has the euro idea. I will take that CMC look out this way...solid advisory, enough for some sledding and whitening the landscape again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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