The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 1:22 PM, ORH_wxman said: Rhode Islanders lock in the RPM? Revenge for 3/7-8/13 Expand a couple runs ago you were in that 16-20 range. RPM is good for a chuckle. 00Z was a complete dud, then 3Z drops 20+ LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 WTF? Lol. Revenge for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Can see the potential for a quasi screw zone between the initial SNE thump and the heavy retro stuff in DE Maine. Between the unusual evolution, marginal temps and long duration, this will be a tough one to message for this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just looked at the Para Goofus, the 6z went warm for most of SNE...very little snow outside of the western areas and DE Maine. Interesting model battle it seems... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 1:57 PM, Spanks45 said: Just looked at the Para Goofus, the 6z went warm for most of SNE...very little snow outside of the western areas and DE Maine. Interesting model battle it seems... Expand That’s because it has like no precip. You can see it tries to flip areas offshore at hr 54 in the meat of that stuff. We’ll need that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 V16 is a viable solution too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 12z NAM shifted S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:00 PM, CoastalWx said: That’s because it has like no precip. You can see it tries to flip areas offshore at hr 54 in the meat of that stuff. We’ll need that. Expand all the models have a "screw zone" in SNE...the new NAM shows it too probably advisory event for most until you get to Maine.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:16 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z NAM shifted S. Expand Did you mean the 6Z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:16 PM, Spanks45 said: all the models have a "screw zone" in SNE...the new NAM shows it too probably advisory event for most until you get to Maine.... Expand Yea. This one was a bonus from the get go so if we can lay down a couple to go sledding, it’a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Nam says no this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:20 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Did you mean the 6Z? Expand Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:24 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Nope Expand Not where you want it if your looking for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 rgem is pretty good. Still more to come for Maine: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:23 PM, dryslot said: Nam says no this run. Expand If weenies want the glean a positive out of that is the elongation of the ULL may be able to pinch on S of LI and slow the storm enough to back the flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:28 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: rgem is pretty good. Still more to come for Maine: Expand 12z will be out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:29 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: If weenies want the glean a positive out of that is the elongation of the ULL may be able to pinch on S of LI and slow the storm enough to back the flow Expand I don’t think that part of the storm is going to hit SNE. It’s going to be the initial thump from the main vortmax that is pretty far west...that’s the part id expect to look better as we get closer. The ferocious CCB and stall is likely going to stay offshore though maybe eastern areas still get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:29 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: If weenies want the glean a positive out of that is the elongation of the ULL may be able to pinch on S of LI and slow the storm enough to back the flow Expand The Nam did what the others were doing yesterday at the surface, The H5 track wasn't bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:32 PM, ORH_wxman said: I don’t think that part of the storm is going to hit SNE. It’s going to be the initial thump from the main vortmax that is pretty far west...that’s the part id expect to look better as we get closer. The ferocious CCB and stall is likely going to stay offshore though maybe eastern areas still get lucky. Expand That’s what I’m saying. I still think your area up into coastal NH could get clipped by CCB. The WCB is a lock IMO for N and W of PVD/BOS line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Time to lock in the 12z HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I just hope that the few weenies that still use qpf to live and die with take heed at what the Mets and folks in the know are saying. There will be more qpf than modeled and there won’t be a subby zone like you’d see in a big wound up coastal. This will be a nice widespread 6+ deal. The one concern is coastal areas and BL temps. Hopefully those areas are ok . When these go out south of LI.. most folks win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I’m just going with the herpes back here, 8-12”, and adding it to my seasonal total now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 My expectations are very low for this area... marginal temps combined with uncertain features... end result is probably very little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:38 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I just hope that the few weenies that still use qpf to live and die with take heed at what the Mets and folks in the know are saying. There will be more qpf than modeled and there won’t be a subby zone like you’d see in a big wound up coastal. This will be a nice widespread 6+ deal. The one concern is coastal areas and BL temps. Hopefully those areas are ok . When these go out south of LI.. most folks win Expand Lol - sounds good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 12 Z HRRR looks like the Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 12:22 PM, dryslot said: This includes today's, And still going up here at hr90. This Expand The way those snowholes appear over this area on every model for every event it's surprising we average more than GON 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:46 PM, Ginx snewx said: 12 Z HRRR looks like the Euro Expand Difference is likely a lot more to come for eastern areas whereas euro was done after the initial shot. That hrrr run was starting to slow and back in from the east with the potent CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Big time sell on the euro here.... only model showing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 1/2/2021 at 2:50 PM, ORH_wxman said: Difference is likely a lot more to come for eastern areas whereas euro was done after the initial shot. That was starting to slow and back in from the east with the potent CCB. Expand Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I can’t believe at 36hrs out there are literally models saying less than an inch of snow while others suggest 6 inches... IIRC Typhoon Tip discussed why yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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