moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Some pretty weak sauce on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, moneypitmike said: Some pretty weak sauce on the NAM. It used up all of Ron’s stash at 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Nice capture and tug NW back to the coast up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 11 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Starting to feel like this one is a miss and will be a SE SNE deal. It was never a unanimous hit, of course it’s different up here but the model runs always had that look of “nope”... maybe Maine but the eastern solutions verify much more frequently than the super tucked in lows. Without a doubt the more likely solution is always east of the western outliers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nice capture and tug NW back to the coast up here. I think that is what ends up happening....few inches down here from ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think that is what ends up happening....few inches down here from ULL Its going to be an eastern area event, Mid coast to DE Maine in line to get the goods as it looks right now, I'm looking for a few crumbs back here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think that is what ends up happening....few inches down here from ULL Busy pattern, pedestrian results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Busy pattern, pedestrian results. This one was a bonus from the get go. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Probably see all guidance converge on the GOM capture tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It was never a unanimous hit, of course it’s different up here but the model runs always had that look of “nope”... maybe Maine but the eastern solutions verify much more frequently than the super tucked in lows. Without a doubt the more likely solution is always east of the western outliers. Hopefully all of that stalling and retrograde nonsense kicks off a solid upslope event for us anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Too bad we can't see a few more panels of the 3km NAM...that was about to be a real weenie solution for E MA into Maine I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 We widespread for the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Too bad we can't see a few more panels of the 3km NAM...that was about to be a real weenie solution for E MA into Maine I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Busy pattern, pedestrian results. Usually how it works, or the results wouldn't be considered pedestrian. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Hopefully all of that stalling and retrograde nonsense kicks off a solid upslope event for us anyway. I'll have my fingers crossed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I just looked at that and was pretty impressed. Perfect H5 look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Yeah, That 3k was headed in a good direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll have me fingers crossed. You do that, ya' pirate! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: You do that, ya' pirate! Yar! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I just looked at that and was pretty impressed. Perfect H5 look. I think you guys out east find a way. I don’t think the capture happens so late that it whiffs EMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Hopefully all of that stalling and retrograde nonsense kicks off a solid upslope event for us anyway. Yup, this evolution looks classic for eastern coastal plain zones, waiting for dynamics to ignite it as the low heads ENE, lean eastward in projections. If it retros and lingers, eventually sufficient moisture will be thrown back on cyclonic flow into the mountains. I'm surprised at the number of folks who aren't slam dunking with this set-up on eastern coastal plain sections. Looks like a solid set up to me. Toss the jacked up Canadian guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, qg_omega said: We widespread for the coast I'd take that and run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I think last night we saw the trend towards a capture, now we have concrete support the capture will happen, the timing of that capture is the ultimate question and difference between a few feet of snow and a few inches of rain. Cape Cod will end up likely seeing a hefty amount of precip given the capture and when the surface low intensifies, especially if the track is from the benchmark NNE or NEward. We still have another 30 hours until that shortwave that ends up catching our system enters the west coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 There’s always the rgem lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I don't trust these 37 at the surface deals. Sucks to be riding the line in January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Huge hit ema on the rgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I think you guys out east find a way. I don’t think the capture happens so late that it whiffs EMA. That’s not the only problem though, at least south of Boston. Marginal airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Huge hit ema on the rgem. Pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Canadian at hour 66.... I think we see what is going to happen beyond 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Pic? Still running and still snowing for the east hr 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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