RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good luck with that. Good luck with this: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Sunny Boy said: Blizzard of 78! stalled and looped in a great spot. Also had a really strong high pressure to the north I remember one of the tv weatherpersons saying on 2/7/78 that the storm had stalled. One of my greatest weather event memories. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny Boy Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, FRWEATHA said: I remember one of the tv weatherpersons saying on 2/7/78 that the storm had stalled. One of my greatest weather event memories. Yup. I was living on Long Island. Started snowing on Sunday evening and didn’t stop until Tuesday afternoon. School canceled all week and our street wasn’t plowed until Thursday. My all time favorite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 27 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Good luck with verification at this point! That's the pot calling the kettle black...lolololol You have hyoe3d things so many times ( due to your over excitement of course ). Now, with facts on the table, you're downplaying it? Lolol. Happy New Year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Sunny Boy said: Yup. I was living on Long Island. Started snowing on Sunday evening and didn’t stop until Tuesday afternoon. School canceled all week and our street wasn’t plowed until Thursday. My all time favorite! I had a family member stuck in Providence for a week-rescued by National Guard. Snow started here about noon Monday 12/6/78. By 2:00 PM it was all out blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Meant 2/6/78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Euro still SE, looks nothing like CMC and GFS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: I had a family member stuck in Providence for a week-rescued by National Guard. Snow started here about noon Monday 12/6/78. By 2:00 PM it was all out blizzard conditions. It was great, I worked after school from 3-6 and when I got home there was already 6 inches and the wind started howling. I knew it was going to be awesome, barely slept that night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 It is evident in the timing of the second pacific northern branch shortwave at H5, 48 hours still from coming onshore the Pacific NW coast. We have two days still until the models get a clear indication of the phase potential and how it interacts with the main shortwave ie the southern stream trough and upper low. It is that phase potential that turns this into a stalled storm scenario. Honestly, it looks like rain to start at the moment on the Cape and Islands, and snow all interior. I would venture towards an inside the BM track will be the final result, with the goal posts the 39.8 N: 68.9 W to the Canal at this time, this is subjected to change dramatically, but remain even keeled. This is a big storm potential as the stall scenario can prolong the event to the point where we get a GFS scenario and CHH sees 5" of QPF in a 48 - 60 hour period, between the 00z of the 4th to 12z of the 6th. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Again, it is paramount, that we do not stick with one solution as the timing of the pacific NW shortwave injection and phase as well as the evident developing -NAO Greenland/Davis Strait super E-W oriented block tries to slam the door on the potential escape timing of the coastal storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Are in question that remains extremely volatile for the next two days! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Again, there is an initial NW shortwave that interacts with the upper level low and tries to yank it back to the west, but it snaps back and out east, becoming progressive, we shall see how this all interacts over the next two days, I just find it fascinating. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 39 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Again, there is an initial NW shortwave that interacts with the upper level low and tries to yank it back to the west, but it snaps back and out east, becoming progressive, we shall see how this all interacts over the next two days, I just find it fascinating. Got a little excited and put together a brief gif. Couldn't help it https://twitter.com/weather_chest/status/1344915094749253633 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Again, it is paramount, that we do not stick with one solution as the timing of the pacific NW shortwave injection and phase as well as the evident developing -NAO Greenland/Davis Strait super E-W oriented block tries to slam the door on the potential escape timing of the coastal storm. Why can't we stick with one solution 3 days out? You mean it might not happen that way? Meanwhile, 06 gfs is a Pit2 croaker. Happy '21, Weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 #1 Happy New Year # I think I can say this. Days and days and days of snows 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: #1 Happy New Year # I think I can say this. Days and days and days of snows CMC is beyond bun worthy here Happy New Year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 21 minutes ago, wdrag said: NY Day 2021 558AM quick update: Extended the event date to Jan 4. Ensembles suggesting a pretty good chance of 3+ inches for some the I84 corridor high terrain in possibly two long duration episodes. A short wave diving into the back side of the initial short wave trough may prolong the event considerably for the New England portion of the forum by forming a a very slow moving upper low along the New England coast. So it's complex but potent, especially if the 850-500 MB lows form in a favorable position for banding on the northwest side of this storm near I84. Just too early to overcommit but this could be a nice snow event for the I84 corridor and as previously proposed (modeled), can't rule out a touch of wet snow on the back side for NYC and especially eastern LI on the 4th. Just too early, especially with marginal thermal profiles and absolutely do not want to buy into any 8" amounts seen on some of the single member operational models for New England, at least not this early with so many differing solutions. If it's progressive and mainly afternoon of the 3rd into early 4th, then the 8" amounts won't happen and this would be an interior I84 standard climo modest event. Graphics is the 00z/1 GEFS prob of 2+ inches for this coming storm-- 10 to 1 ratio. Just an idea of primary risk area. Doubt if I'll comment again on this snowier looking Jan 3-4 event until today's is complete, which means I'll try to add some useful thoughts-graphics tomorrow morning - Jan 2. Have a good start to the New Year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 6z GFS V16 or whatever it is looks almost like the CMC here wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 5 hours ago, PhineasC said: Euro still SE, looks nothing like CMC and GFS. Mega Bruce Willis flag to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 hours ago, It's Always Sunny said: Got a little excited and put together a brief gif. Couldn't help it https://twitter.com/weather_chest/status/1344915094749253633 Gave a follow, nice loop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: #1 Happy New Year # I think I can say this. Days and days and days of snows #1 Happy New Year to you and your beautiful family # oh how we pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: #1 Happy New Year to you and your beautiful family # oh how we pray And I pray. Oh my God do I pray. I PRAY EVERY SINGLE DAY! FOR A REVOLUTION!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: And I pray. Oh my God do I pray. I PRAY EVERY SINGLE DAY! FOR A REVOLUTION!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 EPS pretty stout for 3 inch amounts and I like the 850 position. Hope this doesn't slip away. Flags are up today, we track 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 18 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: And I pray. Oh my God do I pray. I PRAY EVERY SINGLE DAY! FOR A REVOLUTION!!! I said hey, what's going on? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Man 6Z RGEM is a total coop collapser and still dumping at 84. Impressive dynamics 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Exotic solution but hard to believe. NAM does well picking these up so I'd like to see it onboard. I recall yesterday Eps had lots of nw leaning members, let's see if that comes back. Also I suppose we need to see how tonight develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 My kingdom for a decent air mass. Feels like that early December job down here. Happy 2021 everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: I said hey, what's going on? I step outside and get real high... The 200 negative wind anomaly indicates the system stalls for 24 to 36 hrs, where and what???? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I step outside and get real high... The 200 negative wind anomaly indicates the system stalls for 24 to 36 hrs, where and what???? CMC and RGEM are almost exact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now