WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Humans are emotional beings. Let your hair down a bit and come play with us...unless you prefer to isolate yourself with a room full of Alexas. Lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Not lower John...it was .1...1/10th of an inch of precipitation. That was the point..at least for me. If the NAM showed 1” of precip on the cape..that would have been much more reasonable in my mind. But it showed 1/10 of an inch. What the f are you talking about. Quit evading the point… 1/10 is less than 3 inches that’s the point nothing else people are wanting the siding with a big one not the little one there is no other point that is the attitude. Stop it As far as the NAM ...for the record I don’t think so but that wasn’t the original point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 There’s just not much for eastern zones on the fuji potential on the rgem. Just can’t quite back dat ass up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There’s just not much for eastern zones on fuji potential on the rgem. Just can’t quite back dat ass up. Keeps on sailing NE which is true of all the MESOS, RGEM is just a better initial thump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: If the Euro busts this close in...it’s gonna be an incredibly long winter. I mean when you’re 24 hrs before go time, and theres modeling that shows practically nothing, and the Euro and its ensembles show high end solid advisory snows....you gotta go with the Euro right now. So if it flops on its face with this, that’s going to be a huge hole in its armor. Euro has busted already this close in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: What the f are you talking about. Quit evading the point… 1/10 is less than 3 inches that’s the point nothing else people are wanting the siding with a big one not the little one there is no other point that is the attitude. Stop it You stop it you Freak! God...nobody better dare question your dumb ass psycho babble. Grow the hell up. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 Also retrograding weaker lows usually don’t bring heavy QPF ... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Humans are emotional beings. Let your hair down a bit and come play with us...unless you prefer to isolate yourself with a room full of Alexas. I get his point thou , too be most accurate you don’t want bias . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 The weenies are restless... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 My gut is leaning against Euro over eastern areas. Think it’s overplaying it’s hand, interior SNE looks good for advisory snows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: That’s fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Keeps on sailing NE which is true of all the MESOS, RGEM is just a better initial thump. Yea true. If you’re out east though this will be painful watching her shake her thing out there in thongs...nice juicy bubble...but she can only get a socially distanced 6ft close to you before she puts on her sweatpants and walks away. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I get his point thou , too be most accurate you don’t want bias . I wish they could create models without bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I get his point thou , too be most accurate you don’t want bias . As a forecaster, absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 ICON did back in the main CCB from 18z run, but not to the level the Euro has it. Non “event” for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 It's the f*cked-up isohypsotic gradient causing all of this angst, I'm telling you! Gotta get that fixed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: As a forecaster, absolutely. Ya and none of the pro forecasters have a discernible Bias I like the WPC snow maps as a super ensemble of weenie maps . On a 48 hour time frame they have virtually nobody with 50% or greater probs for 4” plus (ending 0z Wednesday ) . They have 40-50% for Sw ORH to Ne of Concord ,NH currently .They know what they are doing . I wanna see that map trend bullish by am or this is more likely that not Is a 1-4” system for folks outside of Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya and none of the pro forecasters have a discernible Bias I like the WPC snow maps as a super ensemble of weenie maps . On a 48 hour time frame they have virtually nobody with 50% or greater probs for 4” plus (ending 0z Wednesday ) . They know what they are doing . I wanna see that map trend bullish by am or this is more likely that not a 1-4” system for folks outside of Maine That's because this system is trash. I'm a biased weenie and I wouldn't give basically anywhere cept DE Maine 4"+ probs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 i don't think there is much change on the GFS at the surface up to 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 12 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It's the f*cked-up isohypsotic gradient causing all of this angst, I'm telling you! Gotta get that fixed. Put an Icy-Hot patch on it. Problem solved. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 It’s funny when a set of runs don’t come in favorably. There’s always an electronic domestic incident on here. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s funny when a set of runs don’t come in favorably. There’s always an electronic domestic incident on here. Haven’t been bullish on this in 24 hours , haven’t look at a single 0z run tonite . I am Always hopeful and euro has hung tight for two runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s funny when a set of runs don’t come in favorably. There’s always an electronic domestic incident on here. Relax, Walt hasn't posted tn, don't get worked up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The fact that nobody “hedged” bets on the lower cycle solution for QPF amounts ....is the attitude I forecast lower if I see fit. I was all with you on that QPF notch being real in the 12/17 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 00z GFS looks a bit better than the other guidance when the capture and stall begins, a little bit further south and west. Also the surface low seems a tad stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 0z GFS looks like crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 00z GFS looks a bit better than the other guidance when the capture and stall begins, a little bit further south and west. Also the surface low seems a tad stronger. Who cares about the capture and stall, it's been moot for 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: 0z GFS looks like crap. Does nothing for your state. Further se with the capture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 00z GFS looks a bit better than the other guidance when the capture and stall begins, a little bit further south and west. Also the surface low seems a tad stronger. It’s garbage. Barely dropping 1/10” over SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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