dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Para says I’ll stop by and talk as well. It does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Your gonna have a 2 man thread Tuesday into Wed am. I hope you get hit hard. That’s throwing accumulating snow back to the river T, W. And it’s the Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I think right now the global models seem to be handling this better, Still a lot of moving parts in the flow to this one, A subtle change can have bigger implications. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I’m loving the longer range RAP output right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s throwing accumulating snow back to the river. And it’s the Gfs So we are tossing the NAM and GFS... what else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: So we are tossing the NAM and GFS... what else? What? You’re one of the few who still doesn’t get that you don’t look at qpf and snow maps. At some point, you’d figured you’d follow and understand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: It does That’s the one. We’ll go with that one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Still time for changes. LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... An active Pacific Jet and strengthening upper level blocking to our northeast will lead to a crowded upper level pattern as several upper level features traverse the CONUS early next week. These features will catch up to each other underneath the block, morphing into an upper low that will spin over head through the middle of the week. At the surface low pressure will track from the Mid-Atlantic towards Nova Scotia Sunday night into Tuesday and then retrograde and stall near the Gulf of Maine Tuesday night into Wednesday. Current guidance keeps the heaviest precipitation offshore with the potential for periods of light precipitation Sunday night into Wednesday. The components the low pressure system include a trough over Texas, a short wave that moved into the Pacific NW this morning, and another short wave moving into British Columbia tonight. These features eventually consolidate into an upper low over the Northeast under a blocking high over the Labrador Sea. Ensemble sensitivity experiments out of Stony Brook highlight the interaction of the latter two waves with the trough over Texas with the greatest sensitivity. Although there has been a notable shift farther offshore with the 02.12Z ensemble suite, one of the features is still in the data sparse Pacific along with CIPS Analogs showing a few analog systems that tracked close enough to bring appreciable snowfall. Therefore, have increased PoPs above NBM guidance to account for the potential of future track adjustments as well as the persistence of the upper low near overhead. At this time there is potential for periods of snow from Sunday night through Wednesday morning with highest chances along the coast shifting towards northern and eastern zones Tuesday into Wednesday morning as the low retrogrades westward. Impacts wise, amounts look to be light each day with mainly intermittent periods of snow covered roads. There also remains potential that snow will mix with rain at times near the coast with highs in the mid 30s. High pressure will nose into the region from the north Thursday and Friday with signs of another low pressure system developing near the East Coast next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I'd be happy with this at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: So we are tossing the NAM and GFS... what else? Tossing NAM. New v16 which apparently has some higher skills is pretty good for eastern areas. If euro follows NAM I’ll question the event but not until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 v16 wants to sneak me into this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 The BOX map looks reasonable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: I'd be happy with this at this point. Yea. I’d prob go with a higher stripe across NRI into EMA but other than that, looks reasonable. No complaints if I can grab 2-4” and play with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. I’d prob go with a higher stripe across NRI into EMA but other than that, looks reasonable. No complaints if I can grab 2-4” and play with it. Agree...snow map will under do mid levels a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I don't think anyone would toss the 12z EPS, Have to shave off 3" here from today's. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I don't think anyone would toss the 12z EPS, Have to shave off 3" here from today's. Sign me up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Gotta hope for some nice surprises with tonight’s runs. Some favorable trend. It’s not gone gone yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree...snow map will under do mid levels a bit. Yea. Like a 6-8” stripe from the accordian playing weenie to the baby bottom wiping weenie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I don't think anyone would toss the 12z EPS, Hace to shave off 3" here from todays Yea. That went a little wild down along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: I'd be happy with this at this point. Excellent map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Mid season form....^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: I don't think anyone would toss the 12z EPS, Have to shave off 3" here from today's. There’s quite a few drunks today on here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 20 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Gotta hope for some nice surprises with tonight’s runs. Some favorable trend. It’s not gone gone yet You can do the play by play on 0z Euro for us since you’ll be up all night. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s quite a few drunks today on here. Never stopped ripping them back since Thursday...days and days of drinking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing ever was showing a massive blockbuster. This always has been and still is a solid 6” snowfall over a good chunk of the area. With local zones getting 8-10 There was some guidance showing a blockbuster, but I agree that it was never really viable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s quite a few drunks today on here. You are in a decent spot to lock 3-5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: You can do the play by play on 0z Euro for us since you’ll be up all night. I'd rather have my daughter do it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 A weak sauce storm people! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, JoeSnowBOS said: A weak sauce storm people! Welcome back...How’d that gfs pan out for you Dec 17th? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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