Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: If you tick Euro W a tad more things get interesting Monday eve to Tuesday I think some folks are getting caught up with snow maps and qpf. You’d think they would have learned after the Dec 17 storm . Bigger amounts always go waaay NW of where the highest zones are on models. I think som people are looking the Euro snow map for example and thinking that’s the only area to get 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supernovice Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I like from you to me...interior e MA if there is such a thing. Think I’m just too far west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Were there no EPS posts . Does that mean OP was ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I think some folks are getting caught up with snow maps and qpf. You’d think they would have learned after the Dec 17 storm . Bigger amounts always go waaay NW of where the highest zones are on models. I think som people are looking the Euro snow map for example and thinking that’s the only area to get 6-10 Hey let’s hope you’re right Kev, sometimes it happens as you point out. 2 4/3-5 for most in CT is a good place to start. If we get into the 6+ range that’s all gravy and we love it. But not seeing that currently for most of the state(except far eastern boarder). But here’s to it trending even a bit better for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Is the NAM's New Year's Resolution to make up for the years of adding extra QPF by going ultra-conservative on QPF now? It is looking even more like a shredded mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Elevation will be vital in this . If you’re looking to Jack. Most I know don’t care If the lift is there, so won't the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 11 minutes ago, Supernovice said: Think I’m just too far west? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 I'd take my spot over Kevin's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Is the NAM's New Year's Resolution to make up for the years of adding extra QPF by going ultra-conservative on QPF now? It is looking even more like a shredded mess. This storm is just turning into a weak POS, that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Of course. You do everytime We wouldn’t expect any different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: This storm is just turning into a weak POS, that's all. Ice1972...is that you? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Dryslot area that's been over central Mass definitely looking a bit more SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Of course. You do everytime We wouldn’t expect any different What did you get two weeks ago on the 17th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: What did you get two weeks ago on the 17th? 12.5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 12.5” Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 34 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I would like a zonked nam run ..earlier capture . See some pretty colors How’s yellow for sun and grey for clouds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 NAM is a shredded POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Of course. You do everytime We wouldn’t expect any different I pegged my spot for subsidence in the 12/17 event the whole week leading up to it...not sure what you are smoking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I pegged my spot for subsidence in the 12/17 event the whole week leading up to it...not sure what you are smoking. What was your forecast for your area in terms of amounts? You ended up with 8” right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 NAM definitely a red flag 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What was your forecast for your area? I think 10-15"...I got 11". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Where did EPS have this in 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: NAM definitely a red flag Really? Was it a red flag yesterday when it showed two feet here? C’mon, it’s the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 On 12/17/2020 at 8:31 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/1217-major-winter-storm-verification.html My ranges were fine throughout central and eastern SNE, but in the lower half, so I probably should have used 10-16" and 8-12", instead of 12-18" and 10-16" in the northeast and central screw zones. I also didn't expect that primary deformation to maintain as well as did into VT and NH...no one did. It also set up about 35mi N of where I forecast it...which turned 3-6" of fluff forecast for Brian into 3 feet. Final Grade: B+ 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What was your forecast for your area in terms of amounts? You ended up with 8” right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Really? Was it a red flag yesterday when it showed two feet here? C’mon, it’s the NAM. Considering the NAM looks for any excuse imaginable to be zonked... definitely a flag. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 HRRR gone wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Considering the NAM looks for any excuse imaginable to be zonked... definitely a flag. The flag isn’t the NAM but lack of consistent guidance. With that said, having the euro most consistent over the past few runs is comforting. Let’s see what the rest of the 18z suite has. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Considering the NAM looks for any excuse imaginable to be zonked... definitely a flag. Ya, not imo. But I get it. It’s an erratic model..plain and simple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Ummm really ..nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM is a shredded POS Weaker is not a trend we are looking for with marginal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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