78Blizzard Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 It's still snowing in EMA at hr 84, and if the RGEM decides to retrograde it will be closer than other models to EMA for more goodies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Hopefully RGEM is better than the NAM. At this lead time they tend to both suck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Too bad we don’t have access to cool Army models and such! (don’t get any illicit ideas either lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, weathafella said: Hopefully RGEM is better than the NAM. At this lead time they tend to both suck. Hopefully not but we know how these go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Jerry's turn for the jackpot? Just wait one run if you don't like it. Is that 23” on ray’s head? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 RGEM’d 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Live by the RGEM, die by the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Every single model.. every single solution literally has us all snowing for days and days. Like Sunday night into Wednesday. Gonna be so awesome 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Problem is, while it shows 30" here, the 5" line is about 10 miles away. This can easily end up like the NAM here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 gfs is trash. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Every single model.. every single solution literally has us all snowing for days and days. Like Sunday night into Wednesday. Gonna be so awesome I don’t think so, Tim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 If those dynamics don’t get over you temps will be a major issue. It’s the gfs so not taking it verbatim, but 18z keeps heavy stuff off shore. Look at surface temps...this is at 70 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: gfs is trash. Tossed lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: If those dynamics don’t get over you temps will be a major issue. It’s the gfs so not taking it verbatim, but 18z keeps heavy stuff off shore. Look at surface temps...this is at 70 hours Yeah airmass is trash, so you’ll need some help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: If those dynamics don’t get over you temps will be a major issue. It’s the gfs so not taking it verbatim, but 18z keeps heavy stuff off shore. Look at surface temps...this is at 70 hours Post the 925s which in moderate or higher rates is probably a better reflection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t think so, Tim. So instead of arguing.. offer your ideas 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: If those dynamics don’t get over you temps will be a major issue. It’s the gfs so not taking it verbatim, but 18z keeps heavy stuff off shore. Look at surface temps...this is at 70 hours Total flip flop but this is a GFS 18z which is often easily garbage. If this came out tonight at 00z like that I’d wonder but again... 48-84 hours out still. I shall shut up and hit my bong containing legal CBD flower 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Euro and gfs aren’t far apart now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Do you guys still think NW and warmer is the bigger risk than OTS on this...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So instead of arguing.. offer your ideas 3-4 days of snow. 36-48hrs of S+. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 v16 is Reggieesque Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Other than goofball NAM, trend is clearly SE and lame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Tossed lol. Toss the nam fast instead... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Man gfs is weird. ULL over nrn NY and low well south of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro and gfs aren’t far apart now. Doesn't mean they are right either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: Do you guys still think NW and warmer is the bigger risk than OTS on this...? I usually do. It was just like this two weeks ago but we won out. Many of us live within 40-60 miles of the ocean so warmer air is always risky with coastal storms. I am anxious type and prefer a guaranteed 4-6 than a 50 per cent chance of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Post the 925s which in moderate or higher rates is probably a better reflection. It’s not atrocious, but this run keeps the heavy stuff off shore. Not saying gfs is right at all, just throwing it out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro and gfs aren’t far apart now. Its because they have the right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Doesn't mean they are right either. No, I’m sure some sort of a compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: v16 is Reggieesque Worse for us than 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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