RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:05 PM, ORH_wxman said: You'd get like a foot-plus? What's wrong with that Expand If he don’t jack then he don’t want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:05 PM, ORH_wxman said: You'd get like a foot-plus? What's wrong with that Expand I don't trust this event to deliver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:03 PM, CoastalWx said: At least we can see Tblizz whine. Expand Lol..nothing stopping that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 If you looked at where H5 tracked on the euro before it shat the bed, It would have been better then what it had at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:04 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully the Euro is right. Expand Dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 A Euro/NAM compromise would work better in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 8:48 PM, CoastalWx said: Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:06 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't trust this event to deliver. Expand You're in a decent spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Let’s see what Goofus shows in bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:09 PM, ORH_wxman said: You're in a decent spot. Expand lol he’a funny. cmc/nam too far nw while euro/uk prob too far se..that puts him literally in the strike zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:10 PM, WinterWolf said: Let’s see what Goofus shows in bit? Expand now that the GFS16 has been running on time and 4X/day on pivotal, ive been paying more attention that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 7:09 PM, radarman said: On 1/1/2021 at 8:36 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: On 1/1/2021 at 8:44 PM, IowaStorm05 said: thru hr 78 Expand Is that drop that runs through my yard a taint issue or is there a crap less qpf along 495? thx. In phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 8:41 PM, PhineasC said: The king abdicates in favor of the court fool? Expand actually it is good at sniffing out big storms. when it shows somethinig and a few other models do, then it's interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:12 PM, The 4 Seasons said: now that the GFS16 has been running on time and 4X/day on pivotal, ive been paying more attention that Expand That’s been doing better than the normal GFS right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:12 PM, moneypitmike said: Is that drop that runs through my yard a taint issue or is there a crap less qpf along 495? thx. In phone Expand I feel like this far out, the fine and minor details can be chocked up to being painting “artifacts”. Screw zones will move around. If it’s within 24 hours I’d take it more seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:16 PM, IowaStorm05 said: I feel like this far out, the fine and minor details can be chocked up to being painting “artifacts”. Screw zones will move around. If it’s within 24 hours I’d take it more seriously Expand And if it’s not the nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:03 PM, ORH_wxman said: A lot of parallels with the first Feb '83 storm (the one before the HECS)....Feb 6-7, 1983. That was a huge crush job from roughly 495 belt westward and northwest. Though it did bring some decent snows to 128 (albeit some taint) Expand Yikes I never knew about that. Thank God lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just got back and looked. That is a Luke wet dream there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 RGEM not as amped as 12z so far...which isn't terribly surprising since it was one of the most amped models at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:03 PM, ORH_wxman said: A lot of parallels with the first Feb '83 storm (the one before the HECS)....Feb 6-7, 1983. That was a huge crush job from roughly 495 belt westward and northwest. Though it did bring some decent snows to 128 (albeit some taint) Expand Can you refresh on what that was for someone who lived in New London then—and must have had a rainstorm? Tia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 RGEM is actually going to capture it in a good spot for eastern spots...a little different than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:27 PM, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is actually going to capture it in a good spot for eastern spots...a little different than the NAM. Expand I wouldn't expect any different.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:22 PM, CoastalWx said: Just got back and looked. That is a Luke wet dream there. Expand And that is all that it is, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:27 PM, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is actually going to capture it in a good spot for eastern spots...a little different than the NAM. Expand This is my hope...later capture. I'd rather risk a graze than subsidence again. Not a popular opinion, I'm sure, but I won't start caring now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:27 PM, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is actually going to capture it in a good spot for eastern spots...a little different than the NAM. Expand Finally a solution that jacks my area with 30", lol. Won't happen, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 8:46 PM, dryslot said: Its looking more and more that this is going to cutoff somewhere and for those that are fortunate to be to the west will be dumped on. Expand Hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:11 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: lol he’a funny. cmc/nam too far nw while euro/uk prob too far se..that puts him literally in the strike zone. Expand I need a later capture for big totals. I'm not relaying on a simple compromise with respect to how far nw deformation makes it...that is always farthest NW guidance, and then some.Look at last event....only model that had it far enough NW was GEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Watches will be up in the morning tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Jerry's turn for the jackpot? Just wait one run if you don't like it. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 1/1/2021 at 9:37 PM, ORH_wxman said: Jerry's turn for the jackpot? Just wait one run if you don't like it. Expand I prefer when others are in the bull’s-eye a few days out. I’ll start investing in this event after I finish shoveling a few inches of cement in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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