Dan76 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 6:50 PM, MJO812 said: Where the hell is this good pattern that people promised me ? The models keep pushing it back. Expand Just like last year.....when i'm shoveling it i'll believe it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 6:50 PM, MJO812 said: Where the hell is this good pattern that people promised me ? The models keep pushing it back. Expand Maybe late February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 You know it’s a mild winter pattern when even the mountain areas can’t build much of a snowpack. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 6:50 PM, MJO812 said: Where the hell is this good pattern that people promised me ? The models keep pushing it back. Expand Just 10 short days away. Meanwhile we are +5 for January. Torch city so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 7:23 PM, Brian5671 said: Just 10 short days away. Meanwhile we are +5 for January. Torch city so far. Expand Its always 7-10 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 7:23 PM, Brian5671 said: Just 10 short days away. Meanwhile we are +5 for January. Torch city so far. Expand The pna is supposed to get better along with the epo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 7:39 PM, MJO812 said: The pna is supposed to get better along with the epo Expand We'll certainly get another storm or two before winter's done... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Everybody always wants blocking. Well, you got it. It's just too strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 7:41 PM, sussexcountyobs said: Everybody always wants blocking. Well, you got it. It's just too strong. Expand yep-so far it's just locked a boring pattern in place...PAC air and a dry pattern.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 7:41 PM, sussexcountyobs said: Everybody always wants blocking. Well, you got it. It's just too strong. Expand Agree I rather have a negative epo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 8:05 PM, MJO812 said: Agree I rather have a negative epo Expand Would you rather it be -5 for the month with no snow? Personally I’ll take the nice afternoons. Any one indicator doesn’t make for a good pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Mild pattern continuing on the 12z EPS through the next week of so. This is what happens when mild Pacific air gets stuck under a south based block. The latest weeklies have the retrogression of the ridge back to the Aleutians with a more Niña--like -PNA by late January. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Hopefully we can squeeze out some 60's over the next few weeks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 8:23 PM, bluewave said: Mild pattern continuing on the 12z EPS through the next week of so. This is what happens when mild Pacific air gets stuck under a south based block. The latest weeklies have the retrogression of the ridge back to the Aleutians with a more Niña--like -PNA by late January. Expand Agreed. It is not a good look for us through at least 1/16. The window for us to score is definitely narrowing, I’d say the time to watch is 1/17 - 1/28....by 1/28, the models want to go canonical La Niña; Aleutian ridge, -PNA/+EPO and they start to quickly lose the -AO/-NAO couplet, both are going positive in the closing days of this month. Far out obviously, but right now it doesn’t look pretty going into the beginning of February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 8:23 PM, bluewave said: Mild pattern continuing on the 12z EPS through the next week of so. This is what happens when mild Pacific air gets stuck under a south based block. The latest weeklies have the retrogression of the ridge back to the Aleutians with a more Niña--like -PNA by late January. Expand EPS weeklies or just GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 I thought i saw a post on on temps past 50 years averaging near 4F warmer in winter than prior to 1970. Can someone just reference the post for me and show me the documentation. I like it... Thank you. Walt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 8:35 PM, JoshSnow said: Spring is coming early this year. Expand Says who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 7:23 PM, Brian5671 said: Just 10 short days away. Meanwhile we are +5 for January. Torch city so far. Expand That was obvious from late December onward. People just didnt want to see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just 12 short weeks to go until April 1st! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Waiting for the winter canceled posts. LMFAO ! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 7:23 PM, Brian5671 said: Just 10 short days away. Meanwhile we are +5 for January. Torch city so far. Expand Nah, above normal but no torch. Below is my 7 day forecast from NWS. Not exactly tropical. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 19. North wind around 8 mph. Friday Sunny, with a high near 38. North wind around 8 mph. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 20. North wind 7 to 9 mph. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. North wind 8 to 11 mph. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 37. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 19. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 40. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 9:53 PM, NJwx85 said: Just 12 short weeks to go until April 1st! Expand at least with the blocking coming now, maybe this year it won't show up in April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 9:43 PM, MJO812 said: Says who? Expand Perhaps, Anthony, the good folks who thought it never left. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 9:56 PM, HeadInTheClouds said: Nah, above normal but no torch. Below is my 7 day forecast from NWS. Not exactly tropical. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 19. North wind around 8 mph. Friday Sunny, with a high near 38. North wind around 8 mph. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 20. North wind 7 to 9 mph. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. North wind 8 to 11 mph. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 37. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 19. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 40. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Expand No. It's global warming. This winter is toast. This is my 7 day forecast from the NWS. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 20. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. North wind around 5 mph. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. North wind around 5 mph. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 21. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 36. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 21. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 24. Tuesday A chance of snow before 1pm, then a chance of rain and snow between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of snow after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 8:35 PM, JoshSnow said: Spring is coming early this year. Expand Thanks for forecasting that. Thank God my front yard has 50% snow cover, and backyard has 100% snow cover with frozen solid ground. At least I can enjoy winter for a few more days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 9:43 PM, MJO812 said: Says who? Expand My daffodils are coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 10:19 PM, Uniblab said: My daffodils are coming up. Expand Really? I have tomatoes that should be ready to pick next week. Couple more sunny days on the side yard and they should be good to go. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 9:35 PM, wdrag said: I thought i saw a post on on temps past 50 years averaging near 4F warmer in winter than prior to 1970. Can someone just reference the post for me and show me the documentation. I like it... Thank you. Walt Expand Climate Central compiled all the charts. It’s through the winter of 2019. So the record warmth last winter wasn’t included. https://www.climatecentral.org/gallery/graphics/winter-warming-local-average-winter-temperature-2019 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 On 1/7/2021 at 10:04 PM, sussexcountyobs said: No. It's global warming. This winter is toast. This is my 7 day forecast from the NWS. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 20. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. North wind around 5 mph. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. North wind around 5 mph. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 21. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 36. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 21. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 24. Tuesday A chance of snow before 1pm, then a chance of rain and snow between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of snow after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 38. Expand Did you break out the shorts yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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