PhineasC Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Congrats LOL there are children on this forum, you know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Just got to the mountain house. Incredible. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 15 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Just got to the mountain house. Incredible. Where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Where are you? With that view, doing naked laps through those trees? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 I think he's in New Durham, NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 The models all have different banding signatures at this point for NNE. Someone will get 8"+ from this thing if they get lucky with the banding. Otherwise, 4-6, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Where are you? I am in New Durham, 1200' Copple Crown Mountain. Airbnb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: The models all have different banding signatures at this point for NNE. Someone will get 8"+ from this thing if they get lucky with the banding. Otherwise, 4-6, IMO. That’s where I’m at... I think it’s a widespread 3-7” for NNE but someone could deform their way to 8-9” though it may be like Northern NY and southern Quebec. I also think snow growth will be real shitty, we could also go to sleet if the mid level warm tongue punches further north as these system have been known to do. I think it could be like 7:1 ratios for a lot of us in the means. Sort of like 3-5” of dense white material on 0.50-0.75” water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Phinly here ya go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Think I’ll take the under. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Think I’ll take the under. The WCB on this one has looked kind of sickly on most runs. Not seeing that clean thump look. I think 6+ is going to have to be where CCB actions gets involved (not counting the upslope spots). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The WCB on this one has looked kind of sickly on most runs. Not seeing that clean thump look. I think 6+ is going to have to be where CCB actions gets involved (not counting the upslope spots). Hello. Is it me you’re looking for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 32 minutes ago, dendrite said: Think I’ll take the under. Something never uttered: "Boy, that mid level warmth came in a lot slower than I expected". At least for here, SVT always one of the first spots for the mid level punch (in CNE/NNE) with a LP driving into WNY. Take the under on 4-5" for here. 1-2" then IP, then ZR, then rain/drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 I’m going 4.5” for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 NAM noticeably juiced up here. Added .20" since 18z. Noticeable trend since 12z. It will all come down to banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Maybe I will be proven wrong since I am still learning the climo here, but I am not expecting any ZR here. Wire-to-wire snow is my weenie call. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Quote .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... The ensemble model solutions are in decent agreement on the long wave pattern through late next week. While the pattern will become less amplified...it`ll be an active and progressive split flow pattern. In the dailies..high pressure builds by to our north Saturday night and Sunday behind an exiting storm system. A southern stream impulse is on our doorstep by Sunday night...featuring a developing coastal low over the southeast CONUS that promises to be a coast hugger that eventually crosses the Gulf of Maine on Monday. The system slows down and is captured by the upper flow Monday night...and will meander over the Gulf of Maine into Wednesday. The trend over the past few runs has been slower... colder...and a bit further offshore with this system. That track would favor the heaviest QPF along the coastal plain mainly in the form of snow during the day Monday. Monday night through Wednesday...lingering clouds and scattered mainly mountain snow showers in the cold and blustery cyclonic flow on the backside of this system. High pressure and rising heights will bring a welcome respite from Wednesday night into Friday. The next southern stream impulse and associated surface low should bring a return to unsettled weather by the Friday night - Saturday timeframe. This will be my last shift after nearly 34 years. It`s been my pleasure to serve you. At least Schwibs goes out calling a snowstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 The 3km NAM made a noticeable shift south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 38 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The 3km NAM made a noticeable shift south. How good are these maps at excluding sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 42 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: How good are these maps at excluding sleet? Not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 8 hours ago, Ericjcrash said: How good are these maps at excluding sleet? Better than the tropical tidbits ones that include sleet as 10:1 snow. They do differentiate snow vs sleet but it’s at 10:1 ratio which is actually pretty high for this event. I mean half the issue is do you agree with the model’s p-type output, but the snow maps are just pure 10:1 ratio of the snow p-type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 7 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said: Not good These shouldn’t be bad. You can clearly see the modeled p-types. Those snow maps only count the snow portion of it. Like that snow map didn’t count the heavy sleet in Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Totals in most to all SWFE’s are pretty uniform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: These shouldn’t be bad. You can clearly see the modeled p-types. Those snow maps only count the snow portion of it. Like that snow map didn’t count the heavy sleet in Mass. Going to be decent ping fest mixed from from the pike to CT border; crazy how it stops at the CT line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Could see some birches bending on this one. Nuisance icing, but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, Whineminster said: Could see some birches bending on this one. Nuisance icing, but I'll take it. Nah, ground is warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: These shouldn’t be bad. You can clearly see the modeled p-types. Those snow maps only count the snow portion of it. Like that snow map didn’t count the heavy sleet in Mass. I'm not even sure how we will get down this driveway with 4-6" of snow. Supposed to depart on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 19 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Going to be decent ping fest mixed from from the pike to CT border; crazy how it stops at the CT line. We ping.. Expecting 1 to 2 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now