RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I’m in southern CT but it’s much colder here than BDL highest temp is 36.9 since Jan 2nd. Interesting. I’m not old yet then if it’s been barely above freezing since the 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sick video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 The perception is the lack of cutters torching it and giving you those +20 days. Bud it’s just been steady AN with the lows seemingly driving it. But even here, upper 30s to near 40 during the day and lows in the 20s will give AN readings for sure during peak cold Climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Sick video Yea. That page has some great video content. Definitely subscribe worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 I mean last week for awhile we were like 34-35 for the high and 31 for the low I think for 2 or 3 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean last week for awhile we were like 34-35 for the high and 31 for the low I think for 2 or 3 days. Same here only a few hours below 22 degrees this month. Low is 19.9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Interesting. I’m not old yet then if it’s been barely above freezing since the 2nd. I think this pattern is showing how much the freezing level matters. I mean we knew it, that’s what NNE always talks about. Just get it cold enough to snow and stay. The highs have still been warm at the climo sites on average, but guess they feel cool compared to the lows. All that matters is the freezing mark for wet-bulb temps in the afternoon. If it doesn’t melt, it’s a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Seems like each of the last 4 or 5 winters into early springs have featured at least one episode exceeding +20 F daily anomalies or even more exotic ... lasting more than a single day when they occurred too. regardless of whether a given season return to normal or snowed thereafter or not. And I’m not talking typical misty southerly T and DP 65ers. These were dry sub-boreal continental heat conveyor patterns ... Recalling one Feb and more than one March in said span over 80! ... I was stunned when it was 88 on March 30 in ‘98 ... now that seems prophetic nonethewiser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I mean last week for awhile we were like 34-35 for the high and 31 for the low I think for 2 or 3 days. It has definitely been warm. Sure, there is ice skating and fishing to finally be had in WNE but we are at peak cold climo, so that should come as no surprise. We AN until we not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Seems like each of the last 4 or 5 winters into early springs have featured at least one episode exceeding +20 F daily anomalies or even more exotic ... lasting more than a single day when they occurred too. regardless of whether a given season return to normal or snowed thereafter or not A lot of weird January's in the mix too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Haven't had crazy warm days, but there hasn't been any releasing of the arctic hounds of hell either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, leo2000 said: They are stealing all of our snow! Where is that? Not out of the ordinary for inland areas in the NW areas of Japan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Where is that? Not out of the ordinary for inland areas in the NW areas of Japan. Along the entire west coast actually at sea level. Of course inland up in the mountains too. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/01/04/japan-ocean-effect-snow/%3foutputType=amp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 It’s in their climo correct but this appears to exceed that by a considerable magnitude ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Perhaps vaguely equivalent to SE Canada .. U.S. GL/NE region’s “2015” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Jan 16th may warrant a little more attention in CNE/NNE, Some changes on the 0z GFS and v16 with the trough. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Pure subjectivity .... it’s only been a month. You know I’m not saying it wouldn’t aggravate people I’m just saying it’s made interminably worse by setting peoples expectations I don’t think that’s really common sense deniable it may yet snow before the 20 th tho Just me, but I'd be even more pissed without that one event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Huh, seasonably cold!? Or just near freezing enough to keep frozen? ORH’s last below normal day was on December 19th. BDL on the 20th and BOS on the 21st. We are going on several weeks without a daily departure below normal. That’s incredibly warm. ORH... +6.4 BDL... +6.3 BOS... +4.2 Thos anomalies are due to nights for the most part...days haven't been that warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Yeah definitely the overnight lows, but it's still an average high of 36F at 1,000ft in ORH. Normal is 31F. That's +5 on highs at 1,000ft. I didn't mean reasonably cold as in avg or below anomalies....I meant that its been cold enough for minor melting over an extended period. I knew someone would say this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Yeah, that's a warm pattern. 2012 or 2015 levels, the highs are noticeably above normal and the lows are just ridiculous. Bottom line is that I have had the same small bankings in tact since xmas, regardless of what the anomaly is....there has been no excessive warmth and minimal melting....weak sun and upper 30's for the most part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: Jan 16th may warrant a little more attention in CNE/NNE, Some changes on the 0z GFS and v16 with the trough. All you....pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Sweet, dry and boring to a cutter back to dry and boring. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: The perception is the lack of cutters torching it and giving you those +20 days. Bud it’s just been steady AN with the lows seemingly driving it. But even here, upper 30s to near 40 during the day and lows in the 20s will give AN readings for sure during peak cold Climo. It’s definitely the lack of huge torch days that is making it seem chillier than it has been. A +6 day isn’t that weird by itself. Most wont notice it. Esp if it is screwed warmer on the low temp. But when you get like 10 days straight of them it sneakily adds up to a pretty damned warm period. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 20 minutes ago, dryslot said: Jan 16th may warrant a little more attention in CNE/NNE, Some changes on the 0z GFS and v16 with the trough. The v16 is a huge hit here. Old GFS and CMC are kinda iffy, but close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: The v16 is a huge hit here. Old GFS and CMC are kinda iffy, but close. You or one of the other three interested posters should start a thread...its inside 5 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All you....pass. As long as it snows west of here and north is all I care at the moment, Looks like that’s going to happen as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: As long as it snows west of here and north is all I care at the moment, Looks like that’s going to happen as we get closer. I'm pumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 We probably should reminisce more about past winters and how much snow ends up on my sushi. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/9/2021 at 3:43 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm sure Cohen will update the AER blog on Monday to let us all know that he verified via the snow in Madrid and TX. Verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2021 Author Share Posted January 12, 2021 Cohen expects this SSW event to evolve like 2013 and 2018....we can pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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