PhineasC Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Euro looks more interesting here for this weekend than 00z did. It's pretty close. Gives me a few inches of snow verbatim. I don't expect to get much discussion on this event. I could be talking to myself a lot on this one given the depiction. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Late Dec 2010/early Jan 2011 had the Aleutian/EPO ridging with a big -NAO. Then we trended to more western ridging the 2nd half of Jan 2011. That is close to what is modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 50 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Feb 2010...Jan 1996 Pass. Jan 1996 had 2 nice storms atop a snowy Dec, though the metro-blizzard was a whiff. Then 3 torch-deluges in 11 days, Farmington loses 32" of snowpack right when climo temps are coldest. I've whined enough on that other month . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Euro looks more interesting here for this weekend than 00z did. It's pretty close. Gives me a few inches of snow verbatim. I don't expect to get much discussion on this event. I could be talking to myself a lot on this one given the depiction. LOL You and alex can have a circle jerk in the NNE thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 37 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: IIRC, didn't we hit like 80F in Fitchburg in Feb 2019? Or maybe that was 2018? The years blend together after a while. 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Late Dec 2010/early Jan 2011 had the Aleutian/EPO ridging with a big -NAO. Then we trended to more western ridging the 2nd half of Jan 2011. Exactly...thought so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 38 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It'll be wrong.. can't construct -NAO blocking ridges when there's too much wind velocity feeding in to the domain at mid troposphere - Sure you can, its just more difficult to get huge events due to flow compression. It can certainly happen, though....Jan 2011 and Fen 1969. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That is close to what is modeled. That’s a great look..so if what is modeled is close to that, I think we’d all take our chances with that type of look. Especially during the heart/height of winter. We Take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: That’s a great look..so if what is modeled is close to that, I think we’d all take our chances with that type of look. Especially during the heart/height of winter. We Take. You mean all the melts may have been premature? Color me shocked. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MRVexpat Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 10 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Euro looks more interesting here for this weekend than 00z did. It's pretty close. Gives me a few inches of snow verbatim. I don't expect to get much discussion on this event. I could be talking to myself a lot on this one given the depiction. LOL Drunk Uncle looks even better FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: You mean all the melts may have been premature? Color me shocked. I don't care what happens moving forward, that one month plus blew some of the deadest rats imaginable. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Hoth said: You mean all the melts may have been premature? Color me shocked. We tried to tell em... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't care what happens moving forward, that one month plus blew some of the deadest rats possible. Kind of funny that some of the all time great months or periods were preceded by a month-plus of pure dead ratter weather. Jan '69 was absolutely horrific. We already know how the month preceding 1/24/15 went. Jan 1967 was utter dogshit after a good Dec '66. Pre-boxing day was 3-4 weeks worth of melts that we hadn't gotten shit despite a great pattern setting in after T-day. We already know about Jan 2013. Anyways, that doesn't mean this time will follow in those footsteps, but you can't complain about the look. I'll roll the dice any day on it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Brutal That isn't news. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Kind of funny that some of the all time great months or periods were preceded by a month-plus of pure dead ratter weather. Jan '69 was absolutely horrific. We already know how the month preceding 1/24/15 went. Jan 1967 was utter dogshit after a good Dec '66. Pre-boxing day was 3-4 weeks worth of melts that we hadn't gotten shit despite a great pattern setting in after T-day. We already know about Jan 2013. Anyways, that doesn't mean this time will follow in those footsteps, but you can't complain about the look. I'll roll the dice any day on it. I have mused about that.....you wonder if the atmosphere kind of expends that bottled up energy in spurts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Could be good for me in Chicago next week and beyond if I need to stay an extra week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 16 minutes ago, MRVexpat said: Drunk Uncle looks even better FWIW LOL yeah a foot+ on the clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Today featured led grey skies and temperatures in the upper 20s. Sure felt wintry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Hope something comes through soon as we had to almost 100 pages of mostly melts! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Maybe you’ll be wrong? Good one lol 15 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Today featured led grey skies and temperatures in the upper 20s. Sure felt wintry. Yea...I’ve pulled the sled out of the garage and have it ready to go for my boy. Just waiting for him to come home so I can shove him down the brown hill. I wonder how drunk he’ll think I am. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 25 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Today featured led grey skies and temperatures in the upper 20s. Sure felt wintry. This year that’s a win. Looks to basically continue thru month end based on guidance. We’ll see if anything changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 51 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't care what happens moving forward, that one month plus blew some of the deadest rats imaginable. I see what you’re doing. We’ve seen this playbook before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Fish says new weeklies are an absolute furnace for Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fish says new weeklies are an absolute furnace for Feb They seemed to hang onto a bit of NAO, too, which shows how warm it could get if that PV really get its ass back together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I see what you’re doing. We’ve seen this playbook before. I mean...how many people changed their minds about how badly Dec 2014 sucked? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 18z gfs trying to paste western and northern New England this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z gfs trying to paste western and northern New England this weekend. Looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Ryan’s got 35-45 thru day 10 with zero snow . That takes us to Jan 21. Another 10 days. So we lost this week and now we lost next week. All which was modeled to be favorable. Another 10 days gets us to Feb 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan’s got 35-45 thru day 10 with zero snow . That takes us to Jan 21. Another 10 days. So we lost this week and now we lost next week. All which was modeled to be favorable. Another 10 days gets us to Feb 1. Sounds like nice wx. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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