Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Cmc develops a storm along the front Rains to Maine’s is better than dry and 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rains to Maine’s is better than dry and 36 Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rains to Maine’s is better than dry and 36 No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: False. 5 hours ago, wdrag said: Good Sunday morning everyone, Dec 10. No significant widespread hazardous wintry weather events are showing up in the preponderance of modeling for the next two weeks, nor any sustained below normal cold. Eventually something has to change. I will probably will wait 2 or 3 successive consistent op and ensemble cycles before any potential topic. Just too much suppression. 15-16th 500MB digging into the northeast USA still looks impressive but probably too late for any wave on the front. GFS is just charging offshore with the cfront while one 00z/10 GGEM cycle holds back and offers minimal hope for the 16th. NAEFS is not impressed with anything around here through the 25th. Make it a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rains to Maine’s is better than dry and 36 No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 I just locked in the GFS for D9-10. That looks sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: But when is the two week forecast EVER accurate? C’mon now. Getting a little too dramatic here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: But when is the two week forecast EVER accurate? C’mon now. Getting a little cubit way too dramatic. Reverse psychology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: But when is the two week forecast EVER accurate? C’mon now. Getting a little too dramatic here. That’s the point. They’ve had snowstorms all month . We haven’t had one . Persistence forecasting is best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Lock it in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 49 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Birds are chirping Spring is coming Yes sir..in about 9.5-10 weeks. The birds(sparrows and chickadee’s) chirp here all winter..especially when the sun is out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s the point. They’ve had snowstorms all month . We haven’t had one . Persistence forecasting is best Well the month is 10 days in(1/3), 2/3 yet to go. You may end up being right, and The next 3 weeks of January we get shut out? That’s always a possibility? However, I’m not thinking that happens. After a while the law of averages catch up with everything, and we can’t dodge every bullet. At least that’s my take. But I get the frustration...but lots of winter to go. Things will shift and we’ll have our chances imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Lock it in. Dr Martin Luther King Dream storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s the point. They’ve had snowstorms all month . We haven’t had one . Persistence forecasting is best Reverse psychology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Reverse psychology. Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Beer? Sure, it’s after noon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Bring on rains to Maine because my well went dry. The shaft on the pump went, but there's like no water even with a new one. 2020 sucked, but at least it didn't hit my bank account. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 5 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Punt the next 10 days in SNE. Nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Bring on rains to Maine because my well went dry. The shaft on the pump went, but there's like no water even with a new one. 2020 sucked, but at least it didn't hit my bank account. Go deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: Bring on rains to Maine because my well went dry. The shaft on the pump went, but there's like no water even with a new one. 2020 sucked, but at least it didn't hit my bank account. Stein Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 Pretty spectacular phasing over the maritimes on the long range GFS at like day 11 (lol)....too bad that PV node is so lethargic in joining the fray. Little less energy out west may expedite that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 I would not be the least bit surprised if the end of this lull period is marked by a pretty hellacious storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: None of the ENS have any chance of anything thru the 25th. What does he expect we’re gonna do , post hopes and wishes lol? There’s literally another 15 days of nothing Does posting doom and gloom make it better. Its a part of life. Get over it and move on. There are things to talk about that are not negative. Again.. Isn't there a separate section to put all the "BANTER" into? C'mon man. Your like a kid when you respond..... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Does posting doom and gloom make it better. Its a part of life. Get over it and move on. There are things to talk about that are not negative. Again.. Isn't there a separate section to put all the "BANTER" into? C'mon man. Your like a kid when you respond..... Lol Quoting and expanding on it is so much more fruitful lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Maybe we can muster up some snow squalls Friday and some scattered snow showers Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Lock it in. This is a perfect example of damage and tollands quote on us not having anything until at least the 25th. To take a model run or model runs now and say we're not having anything to the 25th he's like me telling you you're not going to pass gas in the next 24 hours. You just don't know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 I'm going to make an educated guess that should the 16-17 fail, which seems more likely to fail than not, January 20ish ends this drought period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: This is a perfect example of damage and tollands quote on us not having anything until at least the 25th. To take a model run or model runs now and say we're not having anything to the 25th he's like me telling you you're not going to pass gas in the next 24 hours. You just don't know That event, as modeled there, has left a significant amount on the table, too.....by like....half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: This is a perfect example of damage and tollands quote on us not having anything until at least the 25th. To take a model run or model runs now and say we're not having anything to the 25th he's like me telling you you're not going to pass gas in the next 24 hours. You just don't know There has been something modeled and on ensembles in the 16-18th period for several days if not a week or so, Won't get sorted out for a while longer as the pattern over CONUS @H5 is different every model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: This is a perfect example of damage and tollands quote on us not having anything until at least the 25th. To take a model run or model runs now and say we're not having anything to the 25th he's like me telling you you're not going to pass gas in the next 24 hours. You just don't know I had a contest with this kid about 65 summers ago. I lost by one measly fart. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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