dryslot Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It’s been the grinch the last 3 years...they were loaded up 18 and 19 with 3 ft plus pack, and grooming was in full swing. Even this year they had 2ft plus and grooming operational, until Xmas Eve and day wiped it out. So it’s been just incredibly bad timing for the last 3 years... he I don't go to the county until mid Jan, The grinch storm we had was one of the worst this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 41 minutes ago, dryslot said: The snow retention in the areas that retain snow this early is whats really horrific even though you have some that are above avg for snowfall. I thought last year was poor for retention. It seems like we had the snow but we had some melts that kept us from a really good pack. My unscientific, superstitious self always thinks winters come in packs. I remember how 2007 turned heading towards VDay and then 08 was good too. This seems like we are continuing on from last winter’s crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: I thought last year was poor for retention. It seems like we had the snow but we had some melts that kept us from a really good pack. My unscientific, superstitious self always thinks winters come in packs. I remember how 2007 turned heading towards VDay and then 08 was good too. This seems like we are continuing on from last winter’s crap. Not like this at this time, It was thin, But i was riding up there last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Here’s a pic from 12/16 and 12/26 this year 2020 (before and after) from Allegash Maine. Grinch wiped it out in a day. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: I don't go to the county until mid Jan, The grinch storm we had was one of the worst this year. If we had this grinch storm last year..last year would have looked just like this year everywhere too. It’s just a bad timing Rainer the last few years...with this grinch being the king of wiping out the snow everywhere in New England this year. We rebuild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 We bootleg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We bootleg I dunno. I’m sure the mean is biased positive some by the warmth near Davis but those are some strong anomalies to get at those ranges from just that. You will never see the ridge signature past 10-12 days due to smoothing on ensembles but when I look at most individual runs and the controls there is legit ridging and even a Rex block at times. Plus with the pac trough where it is we wouldn’t see lower heights into the central and eventually the eastern US in the long range without legit blocking. There would just be a wave 1 signature with full latitude trough on the west coast and a full latitude ridge in the east. I think past day 10 the blocking signature looks real imo. Will it actually evolve that way and can it overcome the pac and a scorched N Amer thermal profile though...? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Why do people post 5 day averages? Also tell me what the temp is in Canada under those pretty reds.... like 5 f up north lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Why do people post 5 day averages? Also tell me what the temp is in Canada under those pretty reds.... like 5 f up north lol The temp has nothing to do with that. We’re talking height anomalies, not actual heights. So well above avg temps will support significant height anomalies there. Therefore, I’m not sure exactly how strong the actual ridging signal will be over the next two weeks or so. Obviously there is some, but if guidance started to look less of an anticyclone there with less curvature and a little more zonal, I wouldn’t be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2020 Author Share Posted December 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The temp has nothing to do with that. We’re talking height anomalies, not actual heights. So well above avg temps will support significant height anomalies there. Therefore, I’m not sure exactly how strong the actual ridging signal will be over the next two weeks or so. Obviously there is some, but if guidance started to look less of an anticyclone there with less curvature and a little more zonal, I wouldn’t be shocked. Always something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Always something. I do think it appears that it may develop further west, but probably takes time. I just mean next two weeks or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Euro still liking the 4th here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Sure as long as the block shows up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 And look at AK and the Pacific. That’s definitely a better look. You barely averaged below normal Out west and had ridging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: And look at AK and the Pacific. That’s definitely a better look. You barely averaged below normal Out west and had ridging. Yeah not sure why he’s implying the PAC looks like those composites. The PAC looks way worse than that over the next 10-12 days...now, it may improve after that, which is reason to get more optimistic assuming west-based blocking develops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro still liking the 4th here Seems like a needle threader. Congrats DE Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sure as long as the block shows up. Stay off Twitter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 A lot of uncertainty for 2nd week of Jan. Fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Stay off Twitter? What’s wrong with what I posted? I’m not spreading bad information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: What’s wrong with what I posted? I’m not spreading bad information. Lol no dude that was a joke when you told Ant to stay off Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Seems like a needle threader. Congrats DE Maine? Long way out we watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What’s wrong with what I posted? I’m not spreading bad information. Your tweets are great, insight without hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol no dude that was a joke when you told Ant to stay off Twitter. Because so Many are feeding bad info. If you can’t decipher, stay off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Will, you have a H5 composite here handy of our bad winters? Trying to prove a point. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Your tweets are great, insight without hype. Boy oh boy guess I better stop joking around 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Great news for NNE winter sports enthusiasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Boy oh boy guess I better stop joking around You can joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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