40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2020 Author Share Posted December 28, 2020 44 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I wonder who thought this 2 months ago You know when the last time I spiked the ball before the TD landed? Jan 2019.....then my whole outlook blew up....followed by last year's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You know when the last time I spiked the ball before the TD landed? Jan 2019.....then my whole outlook blew up. Its coming, no spiking enjoy the ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2020 Author Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Its coming, no spiking enjoy the ride I am hopeful for January, but let's see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 45 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I wonder who thought this 2 months ago I’ll spike the football for you when I’m shoveling 40” in Jan. Until then... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ll spike the football for you when I’m shoveling 40” in Jan. Until then... Lol no spikes just repetitive messages from people who know a fuk lot more than me. Patience grasshoppers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Lol no spikes just repetitive messages from people who know a fuk lot more than me. Patience grasshoppers I mean...the gameplan is set. Just gotta go out and execute now. If it goes to plan, I’ll gronk spike that thing for you...you won’t even have to move a muscle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Denial is a big river. Seems we go through this every time a great pattern or mega storm is imminent. Play it down is the easy way out, can never lose if you never go out on a limb. What’s denying in that statement? I think we all agree pacific needs help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Euto likes the 4th here The GFS Para has been leading the way on this for days when no other model was showing anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 I would still use the ensembles that far out... but it is an improvement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I would still use the ensembles that far out... but it is an improvement Absolutely just nice to see a chance. Will probably disappear at anytime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol no spikes just repetitive messages from people who know a fuk lot more than me. Patience grasshoppers I can wait. There are some encouraging signs, hard to deny that. Let’s hope the pacific can improve just a little for us...might be all we need to start the ball rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 19 hours ago, MJO812 said: Wow the west will be a winter wonderland with the roaring jet JanuBURIED part deux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Weeklies gone wild from mid-January onward....PAC gets better and NAO blocking looks more classic. Let’s hope it is right. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Gfs lost the storm next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs lost the storm next week Shocked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Shocked It would not be the GFS if it did not lose a southern stream storm at some point in the medium range 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weeklies gone wild from mid-January onward....PAC gets better and NAO blocking looks more classic. Let’s hope it is right. Oh how we pray 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh how we pray Honestly the weeklies appeared iffy with the EPO...at least from the image I saw in the MA forum there appeared to be hints of smoothing indicating some appearance there could still be low heights in BC/GOA etc. As I said earlier today though, the deeper we go into winter I don't care if the EPO is +10 if the NAO is west based and -4 there will be significant snow chances and relative cold in the East. The NAO matters more and more as we go on and while the Pac does not matter less it tends to get muted more easily by a W based -NAO in Jan/Feb/Mar than Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: Honestly the weeklies appeared iffy with the EPO...at least from the image I saw in the MA forum there appeared to be hints of smoothing indicating some appearance there could still be low heights in BC/GOA etc Are you looking at 5 day averages? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 42 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs lost the storm next week Wow that’s a surprise lol...as Goose said, it wouldn’t be the GFS if it held on to it. So typical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 EPO never gets great on weeklies but it doesn’t have to if the NAO/AO ends up like it depicts. It goes into a bit more of a neutral state and the PNA ridging pops a little more. It’s not a cold pattern up here but it is a good one for snow events. Definitely a cold pattern down south though. Weeklies could be wrong though. They don’t have a lot of skill beyond week 3. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPO never gets great on weeklies but it doesn’t have to if the NAO/AO ends up like it depicts. It goes into a bit more of a neutral state and the PNA ridging pops a little more. It’s not a cold pattern up here but it is a good one for snow events. Definitely a cold pattern down south though. Weeklies could be wrong though. They don’t have a lot of skill beyond week 3. Who needs frigid anyway...normal temps in the height of winter is plenty fine around these parts. We take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Who needs frigid anyway...normal temps in the height of winter is plenty fine around these parts. We take. Anyone who rides needs frigid. Water crossing and ground need to freeze solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, mreaves said: Anyone who rides needs frigid. Water crossing and ground need to freeze solid. Some of us also like to skate and throw a few tip-ups in from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 25 minutes ago, mreaves said: Anyone who rides needs frigid. Water crossing and ground need to freeze solid. We need cold, We need snow, Otherwise then that, Were all set. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2020 Author Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: Honestly the weeklies appeared iffy with the EPO...at least from the image I saw in the MA forum there appeared to be hints of smoothing indicating some appearance there could still be low heights in BC/GOA etc. As I said earlier today though, the deeper we go into winter I don't care if the EPO is +10 if the NAO is west based and -4 there will be significant snow chances and relative cold in the East. The NAO matters more and more as we go on and while the Pac does not matter less it tends to get muted more easily by a W based -NAO in Jan/Feb/Mar than Dec Agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2020 Author Share Posted December 28, 2020 57 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPO never gets great on weeklies but it doesn’t have to if the NAO/AO ends up like it depicts. It goes into a bit more of a neutral state and the PNA ridging pops a little more. It’s not a cold pattern up here but it is a good one for snow events. Definitely a cold pattern down south though. Weeklies could be wrong though. They don’t have a lot of skill beyond week 3. I don't want a cold pattern at peak climo, and I mean that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2020 Author Share Posted December 28, 2020 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: We need cold, We need snow, Otherwise then that, Were all set. All we need is to avoid a torch where we are this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't want a cold pattern at peak climo, and I mean that. What's worse: rock solid frozen bare ground at 0F while BWI to PHL get a couple big snowstorms, or bare ground at 40F while it doesn't snow anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2020 Author Share Posted December 29, 2020 I'll take my chances with marginal cold in mid January, over arctic cold pinning low level fronto at the coast. I know the cold enhances mid level fronto, as well, but odds are most are missing the mid level goodies, anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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