qg_omega Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I got a brand new ‘21 850 XRS I’m waiting to try....hopefully at some point I’ll be able to? A lil discouraging right now. :-(. But it’s all good...healthy and happy so things are fine. The snow will come...I hope lol. Wow, beautiful sled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Euro says next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Euro is a whiff too now next week. All the guidance looks pretty similar in the wave interference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Extremely dry month incoming, hard to go weeks and weeks with no storms but larger than normal chance in this pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Euro says next I'll bet it's close, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: Euro still all alone for the 12th. CMC says no go. not alone anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, qg_omega said: Extremely dry month incoming, hard to go weeks and weeks with no storms but larger than normal chance in this pattern KTAN does not approve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Wow, beautiful sled Thank you qg, appreciate the compliment; it’s a looker lol. Now if I can only get to try it out soon? Let’s go snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Oh well. Maybe we'll have a few weeks of winter. 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Oh well. Maybe we'll have a few weeks of winter. Oh boy...you loosing faith in the good pattern upcoming? Hope not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh well. Maybe we'll have a few weeks of winter. February is a fresh new month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: KTAN does not approve. Days and days of nothing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 It’s coming. Stand back and stand by. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh well. Maybe we'll have a few weeks of winter. Probably in April and May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 It'd be a pretty remarkable accomplishment to suffer a droughty January - as in a whole month in Winter - for suffering negative wave interference alone - Any scenario that is destructively wave -interfering should be just a rare as the same period that is constructively interfering ... so, sustaining either for that whole time - yes it can happen ... 2015 was 5 weeks of constructive interference. But, either at that length is still rare so... Consolation is that dds are we line something up at some point. Probably does little to appease the trembles of psychotropical weather chart withdrawals ... but, one should have fall back hobbies in the interim. Heh... Seriously though, I suspect we wanna sans this -NAO and I see that happening when the flow speeds up.. We may get into other headaches/return to those...when that happens, but nickle dime events moving from Dallas to Heathrow at ludicrous speed at least all but guarantees one does not have to wait long to get their next fix - Not speaking for the EPS but this whole time... for that last 2 weeks through today and modeled out to the edge of visible tele-cosmos, the PNA has never been more than +.33 SD, shown limited to no modulation ( meaning rise or fall, stable...), and is if anything falling out there. So, I think we can recall pretty clearly the Euro and other guidances really jacking the western heights over runs of the last week and ... it may be a feather in the GEFs cap that the means and individual members for that matter, never really condoned that vision. Just something I noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Probably in April and May. One big Crocus crusher then gone the next day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Where the hell is this good pattern that people promised me ? The models keep pushing it back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Oh boy...you loosing faith in the good pattern upcoming? Hope not? No, lol...but it's not guaranteed to deliver some of these weenie years thrown around. I do admit getting a little impatient wasting that late Dec into Jan timeframe. I don't think I'm alone in that regard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Where the hell is this good pattern that people promised me ? The models keep pushing it back. What is? Didn't we all say probably second half of month? Next week wasn't a guarantee, nor was it the start of anything good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What is? Didn't we all say probably second half of month? Next week wasn't a guarantee, nor was it the start of anything good. You are the best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Where the hell is this good pattern the snow in my backyard that people promised me ? The models keep pushing it back. Fixed your real complaint 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 51 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I got a brand new ‘21 850 XRS I’m waiting to try....hopefully at some point I’ll be able to? A lil discouraging right now. :-(. But it’s all good...healthy and happy so things are fine. The snow will come...I hope lol. Nice! I bought my 2020 850 X last season, not a huge step up from my 16 except for the mid range pull is aggressive, could take or leave the gen4 chassis. I'm worried it's gonna be a madhouse on the trails when it finally does snow, not sure I have enough groomer operators to keep up this season, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 Could have been worse....again, the PNA will kill my temp anomalies across a lot of the nation, though. January Forecast Temperature Composite: Temperatures should be near normal to 1 degree above across northern New England, 1-3 degrees above normal in central and southern New England, and 2-3 degrees above in the mid atlantic. Any storm activity will entail large precipitation type issues near the coast, with the most snow reserved for northern New England. The RNA pattern should only strengthen, as overall storm activity wanes. January Forecast Precipitation Composite: A lull in winter for the northeast, especially below the latitude of northern New England and east of New York state, should develop during the month, as storms becomes less frequent and the predominate track shifts inland. Some seasonal cold bouts should be sufficient for some mountain snow, and perhaps some "front end" wintery precipitation further to the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No, lol...but it's not guaranteed to deliver some of these weenie years thrown around. I do admit getting a little impatient wasting that late Dec into Jan timeframe. I don't think I'm alone in that regard. I'm just starting to get some late Jan 2013 vibes in here....or mid Jan 2015 vibes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 7, 2021 Author Share Posted January 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm just starting to get some late Jan 2013 vibes in here....or mid Jan 2015 vibes If you can invoke a Jan 2015 or Fe 2015 event, I'll pay someone to carve a statue of @Ginx snewx and his dogs in a snowbank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm just starting to get some late Jan 2013 vibes in here....or mid Jan 2015 vibes Either one works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Could have been worse....again, the PNA will kill my temp anomalies across a lot of the nation, though. January Forecast Temperature Composite: Temperatures should be near normal to 1 degree above across northern New England, 1-3 degrees above normal in central and southern New England, and 2-3 degrees above in the mid atlantic. Any storm activity will entail large precipitation type issues near the coast, with the most snow reserved for northern New England. The RNA pattern should only strengthen, as overall storm activity wanes. January Forecast Precipitation Composite: A lull in winter for the northeast, especially below the latitude of northern New England and east of New York state, should develop during the month, as storms becomes less frequent and the predominate track shifts inland. Some seasonal cold bouts should be sufficient for some mountain snow, and perhaps some "front end" wintery precipitation further to the south. The text of the 1-3 above normal for C and SNE doesn't correspond with what the map is showing, at least according to the legend at the bottom. It looks to be 0-1 above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No, lol...but it's not guaranteed to deliver some of these weenie years thrown around. I do admit getting a little impatient wasting that late Dec into Jan timeframe. I don't think I'm alone in that regard. This is what I’m saying.....this quiet stretch is infuriating all by itself but the sting would be less if we still had some pack OTG from December....but no....we got tropical rains instead..... The flavor of the winter matters....and this flavor sucks.....and we’re running out of time quickly....4 maybe 5 weeks left..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 7, 2021 Share Posted January 7, 2021 Aside ...bothering a quick and dirty NAO check, here's the Euro 24-hour from 12z this morning. So tomorrow morning - Notice the lack of -NAO up in the actual NAO ? D'oh! It really more than merely seems that the models "miss-took" ( to keep it brief ...) a lack of real R-wave structure as a blocking regime. Perhaps there is some 'vestigial' sort of -NAOness to that mess up there...But, if you go back several days ( so 4 ...? ) and look at the model(s) et al for that this period of time this week, they clearly had intended a better discerned and structured blocking ridge in the height layout up there... That? up there?? that's not it - Either way, I don't think the NAO was handled - if this is even a -NAO... I almost wonder if it's really just the absence of patternization --> entropy in the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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