Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Trust me... it's not that 'piece of shit' - I think it worth it clear up the conceptualizing/ it's a bigger problem with the entire circulation components than that small entity That system in the TV isn't going to usurp that arm of polar jet that flows from eastern Canada SSE through NE .... If you remove that little object from the field, you still have that planetary wave/jet structure in the way.... I know exactly what your saying. I also know what the current NAO state is and upper air floow over the northeast. I'm not talking about the system coming up the coast slamming New England with a snowstorm. You remove that shit stain streak and the storm would come "closer" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Garbage cans don't work? Lmao I use a board now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 What a fugly way to get a low up here on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Congrats TX though. That will shut DFW, AUS, and SAT down. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: What a fugly way to get a low up here on the euro. It's a precarious setup as currently modeled across guidance. Suppression definitely in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Anyway... that 00z GEF teleconnector was a complete reversal overnight last night... Right smack in the face of yesterday's seeming coalesced +PNA and that Euro weird fake SSW bullshit... No, patience wears thin when it gets harder and harder to ignore the strange repeating tendency to be dealt reverses at all scales... Glad my job is picking up these days - may not be around much this winter if these modeling performances continue... There's nothing to be learned or inspired by "miss"guidance Things can be worse....you could be a Cleveland Browns fan...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a fugly way to get a low up here on the euro. So many vorts flying around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 H5 = HFugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: H5 = HFugly Yep. Good luck resolving any single event more then 2-3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I know exactly what your saying. I also know what the current NAO state is and upper air floow over the northeast. I'm not talking about the system coming up the coast slamming New England with a snowstorm. You remove that shit stain streak and the storm would come "closer" Haha ... But how does that really make you feel tho - lol, just kiddin' Yeah, guess we agree - that little bug in the flow is just that ..."in the flow" - so yeah it's indicative of a flow that's in the way ... gagh... who cares... Whole pattern we are in was a faux pos and probably isn't worth our energy - I mean, that TV thing has a 500 mb closed surface at 552 dm - it's paltry and weak. Those charts due folks a disservice because they have all these threatening colors but ...that's sort of misleading Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 Check back in this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 There's like 5 shortwaves in the flow....doubtful that gets figured out any time soon. It also reduces the chance at a significant event. Wave spacing is always an issue when you see that. Northern stream is coming to play ball though shortly after, so no reason to fret even if 1/12-1/13 doesn't deliver. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's like 5 shortwaves in the flow....doubtful that gets figured out any time soon. It also reduces the chance at a significant event. Wave spacing is always an issue when you see that. Northern stream is coming to play ball though shortly after, so no reason to fret even if 1/12-1/13 doesn't deliver. In the mean time, watch Cohen's youporn channel on twitter starring the polar vortex. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's like 5 shortwaves in the flow....doubtful that gets figured out any time soon. It also reduces the chance at a significant event. Wave spacing is always an issue when you see that. Northern stream is coming to play ball though shortly after, so no reason to fret even if 1/12-1/13 doesn't deliver. Except the sun angle is rising and soon the juncos will be headed back north. Also getting outside the period for a big icer event. Oh well. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Except the sun angle is rising and soon the juncos will be headed back north. Also getting outside the period for a big icer event. Oh well. it's Jan 6th. we are literally like 2 weeks into winter. i mean yeah, you are correct that the sun angle is rising. that might make a difference sometime in late Feb 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Check back in this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 15 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: it's Jan 6th. we are literally like 2 weeks into winter. i mean yeah, you are correct that the sun angle is rising. that might make a difference sometime in late Feb mid-winter is kaput in a couple weeks and the sun angle really rips after Jan 25th or so. Hopefully like last winter where the locked up "great pattern" never materialized. Great vibes all-around today 1 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Wake me up when some of these “threats” aren’t 500 hours away. Looks very meh for the foreseeable future. Talk to me past Jan 20th for some improvement hopefully 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: mid-winter is kaput in a couple weeks and the sun angle really rips after Jan 25th or so. Hopefully like last winter where the locked up "great pattern" never materialized. Great vibes all-around today Oh shut up 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's like 5 shortwaves in the flow....doubtful that gets figured out any time soon. It also reduces the chance at a significant event. Wave spacing is always an issue when you see that. Northern stream is coming to play ball though shortly after, so no reason to fret even if 1/12-1/13 doesn't deliver. I mean.....good luck 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Oh shut up Great post! That Guy is such a clown. That’s why February is the snowiest month in SNE...cuz winter is Caput. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: mid-winter is kaput in a couple weeks and the sun angle really rips after Jan 25th or so. Hopefully like last winter where the locked up "great pattern" never materialized. Great vibes all-around today No! Mid winter is just beginning in a couple weeks you putz. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, dmillz25 said: Oh shut up Lol, you actually responded to him....you fell for his bait. Pretty much everyone in here ignores his posts now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol, you actually responded to him....you fell for his bait. Pretty much everyone in here ignores his posts now. When I saw that I was like I have to say something lol. He’s a troll and a half but sheesh. Makes me hope next summer is a 09 style summer lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 I really wonder if the system that misses out to sea this weekend will actually begin to morph into an inverted trough/norlun trough, as upper energy pivots southward around the periphery of the large 50/50 Maritimes low. Also another shortwave in the pacific jet hits the coast Sunday/Monday. Any of these phase, and we have a storm pop out of nowhere. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 EPS still a good signal next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: No! Mid winter is just beginning in a couple weeks you putz. mid-winter is Christmas through Jan 25th to me. Just like mid summer is through July 25th, after that you can see and feel the changes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I really wonder if the system that misses out to sea this weekend will actually begin to morph into an inverted trough/norlun trough, as upper energy pivots southward around the periphery of the large 50/50 Maritimes low. Also another shortwave in the pacific jet hits the coast Sunday/Monday. Any of these phase, and we have a storm pop out of nowhere. That's the James spirit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Great post! That Guy is such a clown. That’s why February is the snowiest month in SNE...cuz winter is Caput. Also at NYC and PWM plus most places in between. And that's despite a 2-3 day handicap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 2 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: mid-winter is Christmas through Jan 25th to me. Just like mid summer is through July 25th, after that you can see and feel the changes. Well whatever it is to you, doesn’t really matter, when the facts say and show otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now