Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Premature post Anyway that’s a plausible explanation for that as far as the 29th is concerned I still don’t see why that can’t be corrected North. … Which is to say I’m not willing to remove that as a possibility yet. Is it likely probably not. I tell you though the GEFs locks the ridge axes over the Dakotas and then pushes the trough out to sea .. that doesn’t make any sense it extends the wave length without having any systemic mechanical device to do so in the larger synoptic evolution of the pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 44 minutes ago, KoalaBeer said: Pretty much giving up on the season for down here...I’ll be happy with whatever we can squeak out from here on out. Maybe March holds some surprises. Sierras are about to get smoked.... @STILL N OF PIKE, let's book a trip to Carson Pass. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m not 100% on this.. but I believe this will be least snowiest Jan at BOS, BDL, PVD and ORH Nah. ORH is at 3.6” and here are the top 10 least snowiest Trace 1955 0.8” 1980 0.9” 1911 1.1” 1913 1.8” 1969 2.0” 1962 2.5” 1967 2.7” 1992 2.8” 1989 3.8” 1934 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nah. ORH is at 3.6” and here are the top 10 least snowiest Trace 1955 0.8” 1980 0.9” 1911 1.1” 1913 1.8” 1969 2.0” 1962 2.5” 1967 2.7” 1992 2.8” 1989 3.8” 1934 Damn that's pretty meager considering the overall favorable geographic placement, elevation of ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nah. ORH is at 3.6” and here are the top 10 least snowiest Trace 1955 0.8” 1980 0.9” 1911 1.1” 1913 1.8” 1969 2.0” 1962 2.5” 1967 2.7” 1992 2.8” 1989 3.8” 1934 It took 32 days for ORH to record a below normal daily temperature departure during this stretch. That is obscene. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 31 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: @STILL N OF PIKE, let's book a trip to Carson Pass. lol Wait I’m not invited!? Two plankers only haha? Conditions up north are actually awesome right now. Wish I had the time to get up to Jay Peak this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said: Damn that's pretty meager considering the overall favorable geographic placement, elevation of ORH. Yeah there’s been some historic turds in January. I remember a couple of those (1992 and 1989) during a horrific 4 year stretch. We've been lucky not to have anything that bad recently though 2007 comes close. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 hour ago, KoalaBeer said: Pretty much giving up on the season for down here...I’ll be happy with whatever we can squeak out from here on out. Maybe March holds some surprises. Sierras are about to get smoked.... I'm so jealous........remember some real great biggies up there.......have experienced those massive dumps there several times and they are so amazing.......I-80 over Donner Pass is a definite challenge in your little 2 door coupe with chains on in a blizzard.......especially after you crest the pass and start your descent into Reno - its steep........did 360's once at 2am in the middle of a whiteout.......luckily the time of day helped with nobody around me lol.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 GFS better through 90hrs. Sharper trof going neggy faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Weak sauce for the 26th on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: GFS better through 90hrs. Sharper trof going neggy faster. We need more...confluence looked more pressed so end result is worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We need more...confluence looked more pressed so end result is worse. I think the ship has sailed on most of the region getting anything. I’d still lookout for a couple if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Gfs also looks worse for the 28th event. NEXT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We need more...confluence looked more pressed so end result is worse. Yup. Better upstream, worse downstream. I am afraid Tuesday's POS isn't helping matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 DT may finally get a big one. There’s that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 18mb drop from 108hr to 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I think the ship has sailed on most of the region getting anything. I’d still lookout for a couple if I were you. I like you area better for some nw weenie band. Still 5 days out though so a couple ticks should be expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 The other problem is that the storm stacks vertically early and big. It would need to come very close to hit SNE...maybe north of Cape May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Closes off and shunts east. No members with lows above 39 degrees north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, RDRY said: 16 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Closes off and shunts east. No members with lows above 39 degrees north. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CtGxusvUT3k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2021 Author Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Premature post Anyway that’s a plausible explanation for that as far as the 29th is concerned I still don’t see why that can’t be corrected North. … Which is to say I’m not willing to remove that as a possibility yet. Is it likely probably not. I tell you though the GEFs locks the ridge axes over the Dakotas and then pushes the trough out to sea .. that doesn’t make any sense it extends the wave length without having any systemic mechanical device to do so in the larger synoptic evolution of the pattern I feel like the trough position is ideally a little further west....so I can certainly see it going out to sea...TBH, at this point, I would be shocked it provided significant impact to the region. Disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2021 Author Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Go Kart Mozart said: The other problem is that the storm stacks vertically early and big. It would need to come very close to hit SNE...maybe north of Cape May. Yea, even if it hit, its going to be a "load blown SW" event....another theme of this god foresaken winter. We probably don't even need to worry about it, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2021 Author Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't think a 30 inch month is out of the question at all I'd give it about a 1/10 chance. 20" far more doable.....I will probably get about 30" more on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2021 Author Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: 2.0 this month and its irrelevant because I have had 20 on the season. The past doesn't predict the future. No, it doesn't, but the past def. helps to inform the future...the whole analog thing and such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2021 Author Share Posted January 24, 2021 Wow, GEPS look like shit for 1/28....GEFS a slight step back. Same shit season, diff day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Per the Euro, the 28th is not much of a snow event for anyone, even the MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, it doesn't, but the past def. helps to inform the future...the whole analog thing and such. Cept we are talking seasonal not back decades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Woah mesos are stout for CT lots of 2 to 4s showing up. Interesting. That Euro run LR was certainly clownish. Looks like lots of action for my Feb thread 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Woah mesos are stout for CT lots of 2 to 4s showing up. Interesting. That Euro run LR was certainly clownish. Looks like lots of action for my Feb thread 2 to 4 what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: 2 to 4 what? ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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