EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: New England Thanks. I take this as 5 members skewing the mean north while majority are south and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Thanks. I take this as 5 members skewing the mean north while majority are south and weaker. A bunch are north of the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: A bunch are north of the mean I hope trending. Do not know if more north members than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, EastonSN+ said: I hope trending. Do not know if more north members than 6z. yes the entire mean has trended north over the last three cycles (23/-00z, 23/06z, and 23/12z cycles) The mean precipitation has increased too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks. I take this as 5 members skewing the mean north while majority are south and weaker. Yes I looked closer at just Thursday I counted 6 big hits for SNE and 3 glancing blows, the rest well south. So about 16% of gefs members would be in business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Euro coming in better for 1/26. Still needs work but that was a nice trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: New England just for Tuesday Thursday. I'll take p07 or p11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Euro coming in better for 1/26. Still needs work but that was a nice trend. Weak sauce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Weak sauce Watch it in CT. Esp Luke’s hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Thanks. I take this as 5 members skewing the mean north while majority are south and weaker. I'll take P11 and P20 for $1,000, Alex. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Watch it in CT. Esp Luke’s hood. Just seems very disjointed, forcing is very weak this run. That upstream NY state area you pointed out yesterday is meh. Even PA which yesterday had warning level qpf is meh on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just get the 26th out of the way and pump the heights ahead of for the 29th. One time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 29th looks better on the euro based on freebie h5 height field. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Pretty big differences in Euro, that’s a much more favorable look for us for Thursday, keep it trending. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 More like the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1/29 does look better this run. Still a whiff but it improved a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Watch it in CT. Esp Luke’s hood. Trend is your friend, more like Brian’s friend but none the less heading in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Watch it in CT. Esp Luke’s hood. Nothing my area . Skunked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Why can’t we get a Dec17 north trend going... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Watch it in CT. Esp Luke’s hood. I like hearing Luke's hood mentioned, maybe we can score both being just enough west and just enough south....asking too much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: I like hearing Luke's hood mentioned, maybe we can score both being just enough west and just enough south....asking too much? I don’t like it hearing it mentioned for an outside shot at a 2” event though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Based on the Euro op's h5 look vs 0z, I expect to see more members of the EPS trending favorably for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Based on the Euro op's h5 look vs 0z, I expect to see more members of the EPS trending favorably for us. Also, go back to the Friday 12z run instead and see the massive adjustment it made in 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I compared both the H5 and surface MSLP maps from both Friday 12z and Today's 12z runs, what a huge change. Also I wanted to mention that the HI RES EURO model showed the surface low developing east of the Delmarva and then jutting southward. Could be a feedback with such an intense system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Looks like INVOF for SWCT on 12z Euro this run. Interesting and welcomed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Also, go back to the Friday 12z run instead and see the massive adjustment it made in 24 hours. Yeah, it was a Bermuda special yesterday, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Yeah, it was a Bermuda special yesterday, lol. Now it’s a little north of Bermuda special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Now it’s a little north of Bermuda special. If you consider 300-400 miles little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I don’t like it hearing it mentioned for an outside shot at a 2” event though lol. Your ceiling is higher than that. It’s a fine like between shredded flurries and perhaps a nice solid advisory band there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I don’t like it hearing it mentioned for an outside shot at a 2” event though lol. I will take 2" at this point, all this "cold" air and nothing but bare ground....at least we could sublimate our 2 inches and not Swiss cheese the soil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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