RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Nah. Just light a candle...that should do the trick. I’m Polish so if this is a joke and I go down there burning candles like an idiot...You’re in deep trouble. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Do I have to worry about mold if walls were not affected? Say just the concrete floors which has tiles over them...do I need to rip out all the effing tiles? A dehumidifier would do the trick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: A dehumidifier would do the trick. My moms basement flooded on the reg. Fans dehumidifiers did the trick . I would definitely put a sump pump in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: My moms basement flooded on the reg. Fans dehumidifiers did the trick . I would definitely put a sump pump in Yeah I’ve been through this a couple times with a flooded basement and I do have sump pumps but when you don’t have power and you didn’t have a generator you were at its mercy luckily I have a buddy of mine that owns a carpet cleaning business and he was able to provide me with all industrial dehumidifiers and fans to dry it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: My moms basement flooded on the reg. Fans dehumidifiers did the trick . I would definitely put a sump pump in This is the second time in 3 years this happened but by far the worst. There was only about 1-2” of water in certain spots but enough to cause damage. I’ll look into sump pumps but I’d want it professionally installed to maximize the efficiency. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 EPS again loves a major mid January and beyond change to WINTER! Look at that EPO and the response of the cold starting to dislodge to our side at the end. Here we go-similar to 0z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: This is the second time in 3 years this happened but by far the worst. There was only about 1-2” of water in certain spots but enough to cause damage. I’ll look into sump pumps but I’d want it professionally installed to maximize the efficiency. Thanks. Get a sump pump. That’s too frequent. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah I’ve been through this a couple times with a flooded basement and I do have sump pumps but when you don’t have power and you didn’t have a generator you were at its mercy luckily I have a buddy of mine that owns a carpet cleaning business and he was able to provide me with all industrial dehumidifiers and fans to dry it out. Best investment is a generator these days. Homeowners insurance is a godsend and should be used especially with water damage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: EPS again loves a major mid January and beyond change to WINTER! Look at that EPO and the response of the cold starting to dislodge to our side at the end. Here we go-similar to 0z! AwT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, weathafella said: EPS again loves a major mid January and beyond change to WINTER! Look at that EPO and the response of the cold starting to dislodge to our side at the end. Here we go-similar to 0z! Definitely a much more weenie-ish PAC at the end of the run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Best investment is a generator these days. Homeowners insurance is a godsend and should be used especially with water damage I have one, The problem is/was, I have 3 basements as the house was built in sections, The one that floods has no access from the main one so you have to access it from outside and we rarely go down there, A sump pump shat the bed so it went unnoticed luckily for just a few days and had about 3" of water in there instead of 2' back in 1991 with Hurricane Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Definitely a much more weenie-ish PAC at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 The good news is that there isn't much arctic air to deal with, maybe through much of mid-winter. That would be a major win, to escape the peak of winter without. We can all agree that snow is fine but true arctic outbreaks are not. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Wow the Euro and EPS has a storm train with a huge block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Getting back to the blocking, I’m still thinking the pacific air may be creating a false blocking signal, or at least making it look stronger than it might be. On the EPS, I still don’t see a big stout anticyclone up near the Davis Straits. I’m not saying it’s completely gone, just that I’m not sold on a big block yet. The Pacific, however, is improving quite a bit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 24 minutes ago, weathafella said: Tasty +PNA ridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Getting back to the blocking, I’m still thinking the pacific air may be creating a false blocking signal, or at least making it look stronger than it might be. On the EPS, I still don’t see a big stout anticyclone up near the Davis Straits. I’m not saying it’s completely gone, just that I’m not sold on a big block yet. The Pacific, however, is improving quite a bit. How the hell can pacific air create a false blocking signal? I’ve never heard of that before? But who the heck knows anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Gfs is nice for SNE weenies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: How the hell can pacific air create a false blocking signal? I’ve never heard of that before? But who the heck knows anymore? Well I explained it a few days ago. But basically the warm pacific air causes the heights to be well above normal. So as a result you get those big reds and whites that look like Massive + anomalies. But, you can tell it may be sort of masking what may be occurring, because there is no anticyclonic curvature. The key to seeing this, are the more zonal looking height lines as shown below. Ryan also said this too. Imo, there is ridging, however I’m not sold on it looking as strong as it shows based on those height anomalies. This actually is common in El Niño’s. So we’ll see as we get closer. I know it may be a smoother out mean beyond 10 days, but I am keeping an eye on it. Just something to watch. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 Looks blocky and convoluted on the EC op and ens through D10 but there is no well-defined signature block where you want to see one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 469 5h yowsers 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 It would definitely be worrisome if we didn’t get an actual block...but the OP Euro has a legit Davis Strait block and so do several other models. When you see the ridging poking all the way back into northern Hudson Bay with the band of lower heights trapped underneath it, that’s what you are looking for....the lack of arctic air on our side of the pole makes it very marginal anyway for us, but without the block, we’d be in speedos and hammocks drinking pina coladas given how terrible the PAC is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It would definitely be worrisome if we didn’t get an actual block...but the OP Euro has a legit Davis Strait block and so do several other models. When you see the ridging poking all the way back into northern Hudson Bay with the band of lower heights trapped underneath it, that’s what you are looking for....the lack of arctic air on our side of the pole makes it very marginal anyway for us, but without the block, we’d be in speedos and hammocks drinking pina coladas given how terrible the PAC is. Yeah that’s what I hope, we get a decent block there. Going to need strong blocking too until Pacific gets better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that’s what I hope, we get a decent block there. Going to need strong blocking too until Pacific gets better. On a lot of runs the ridging kind of recycles and rebuilds at different times there rather than being this massive closed anticyclone. I wonder if that’s why the ensemble mean is more smoothed...because of the different timing of recycling ridges. Ideally, you’d have the closed anticyclone sitting right over the Davis Strait. There’s been a couple runs in clown range that have it but a lot of runs kind of look like the one I posted....where there’s a stout ridge there but it isn’t an immovable closed block...and it gets recycled a few times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2020 Share Posted December 30, 2020 34 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: On a lot of runs the ridging kind of recycles and rebuilds at different times there rather than being this massive closed anticyclone. I wonder if that’s why the ensemble mean is more smoothed...because of the different timing of recycling ridges. Ideally, you’d have the closed anticyclone sitting right over the Davis Strait. There’s been a couple runs in clown range that have it but a lot of runs kind of look like the one I posted....where there’s a stout ridge there but it isn’t an immovable closed block...and it gets recycled a few times. Oh I don’t mean a closed block or anything, just a semblance of a ridge....some sort of curvature. Even with a smoothed out mean. I think we have ridging, just not sure how strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 But yeah I see what you mean, Will. Maybe timing issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 If the two threats work out its nice and all but to know we lost a foot of pack to a tropical storm on Xmas day stings.....a lot....it makes whatever this season may manage less....worse....than it could be.....still....in 2010 at NYE I had nothing....it all came in the next month so let’s see....we’ll know within 14 days what we’re dealing with.....after that it’ll be too late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 16 minutes ago, ice1972 said: If the two threats work out its nice and all but to know we lost a foot of pack to a tropical storm on Xmas day stings.....a lot....it makes whatever this season may manage less....worse....than it could be.....still....in 2010 at NYE I had nothing....it all came in the next month so let’s see....we’ll know within 14 days what we’re dealing with.....after that it’ll be too late Lol....not! Cuz in two weeks it’ll be January 12th, and it never snows here after that date. Winter is a week old. Chill for god sakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 16 minutes ago, ice1972 said: If the two threats work out its nice and all but to know we lost a foot of pack to a tropical storm on Xmas day stings.....a lot....it makes whatever this season may manage less....worse....than it could be.....still....in 2010 at NYE I had nothing....it all came in the next month so let’s see....we’ll know within 14 days what we’re dealing with.....after that it’ll be too late Queing up the annual Ice1929 melt around MLK day... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2020 Author Share Posted December 31, 2020 I figure about 2 weeks of rhea events, before it's worth posting consistently in mid January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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