ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, with a break or two we would have made out okay with respect to snowfall....there are worse patterns. I mean, its not 60 degrees with a death star over AK and Greenland. Yep, we've had plenty of similar patterns that produce...I'm talking longwave patterns. Obviously the synoptics haven't worked out. But nobody cares unless it's snowing, lol. It's like trying to convince people in northern CT or interior MA that January 2006 was a putrid pattern....2 feet of snowfall, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 12z is liking the Day 7 threat that the GFS just shoves southeast into Bermuda! Guess what the 12z euro does with it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Never mind, the 12z EURO is just like the 12z GFS with the Day 7-8 (Jan 28-29th) threat as well. A monster sub 980mb low that gets shoved out to sea because that PV lobe just sits over Southern Canada and the Northern USA border and shreds everything or shunts everything south of our region. Good luck getting a KU with no PNA ridging, and no ridging over the Maritimes ahead of the trough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 I'm not sure regression automagically dooms storm chances ...or entertaining value to model guidance .. or whatever's one's purpose for being here though. Why does that necessarily mean that ? ..and don't say something of razor sharp cutting insight like, 'look around you...' - that's myopic. No, this pattern just sucks asshole - that's it. Nothing less, probably something more. But it's sucking asshole manifests as other reasons ...fast flow is killing wave harmonics = 'negative interference' = no entertainment ... and that's it. You can have a retrograde tendency and skulpt out history and parades. This is just endemic to now,and won't do that. Regression isn't a bitch - the circumstance at hand, is. I don't know, does it lend to comfort to nail down a silver bullet to blame ? Nah...the pathway to salvation is admitting the suckness and then keeping eye on the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 So now storms track DOWN the coast instead of up. That's a fun twist. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 38 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Agreed. Part of the problem are "all season" tires that might as well be a racing slick. It amazes me how many drive on totally inappropriate tires in winter in New England. That and just terrible driving skills (cell phone) i've been running all seasons for over 20 years with no issues. it's not the equipment, it's the humans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just to allow time to pass by without being miserable, I am going through the JAN 15 blizzard pre storm discussion thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 The post after post of whining is just way too much. Repetitive as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Guess what the 12z euro does with it! Its like a spitting image of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Cold the past couple of days.. nice to see some snow falling today, we all likely to regress to cheering for 1-3" from now on, unlike a couple of years ago where we all expected 12"+ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Decent little snow shower right now here in Cambridge. Whitening the ground up anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The post after post of whining is just way too much. Repetitive as well. Yea. I’d rather surround myself with a room full of 2yr olds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Cold the past couple of days.. nice to see some snow falling today, we all likely to regress to cheering for 1-3" from now on, unlike a couple of years ago where we all expected 12"+ lol Not all of us. I'm content with moving on haha...whatever happens.....happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Middle Atlantic s turn to get crushed. Good for them it's been years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Middle Atlantic s turn to get crushed. Good for them it's been years. I'd give it one more threat if 1/29 doesn't work out....it the first one in Feb fails, yea.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 A bit weird everything came north but the euro faded south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 59 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No snow in Chelsea...just covid, poverty and despair. Elvis had it right . . . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not all of us. I'm content with moving on haha...whatever happens.....happens. I will be exited, after the past 2 years, any snow would be great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 EPS actually looked slightly north of 06z for 1/26 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 Big issue with 1/29 on most recent iterations is that the main reason why I, along with some others, felt as though this threat offered a beacon of hope is because of a burgeoning Rockies ridge. However, today's 12z EURO now has that ridge over the great plains....this needs to change, and fast, or kiss that one good bye, too. The crucial kicker disturbance that I referenced in my blog now looks more like a trough. I would wait on the EPS for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS actually looked slightly north of 06z for 1/26 Pretty negligible, but yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The post after post of whining is just way too much. Repetitive as well. As repetitive as this sh.it pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 Wonder if 1/29 is going to actually look a bit better on the EPS.....heights look a tad higher. EDIT: Still no dice, but looks a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 Man, regardless of track....1/29 is a big dog. Signal got much more impressive and a bit closer on 12z EPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 October is a winter month now... January is an ennui month 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not all of us. I'm content with moving on haha...whatever happens.....happens. The offer from last week still stands if you want to be the first to fire up the February thread. Go ahead. Make my day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS actually looked slightly north of 06z for 1/26 It’s coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Might be anecdotal; but going back 5-10 years. It seems the majority of our winter periods blow, and are defined by some timely big events. Obvious exceptions for Jan 11 Feb 15 etc etc. I would say on balance, it just hasn’t been very wintery over the duration in this area at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Eyeballing 1 1/2 or so. Looks and feels like winter great to wake up to . Woooo hooooo. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Man, regardless of track....1/29 is a big dog. Signal got much more impressive and a bit closer on 12z EPS. Yup. Eight days, and the big ones always nudge north with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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