40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 46 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: It's happening Scott. They key is how does it evolve...does the main vortex go into Canada? If it goes to Eurasia again, then I'd rather not even. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Does wind chill even matter at that temperature? The wind chill calculator on the NWS site will not allow -60 air temp ... haha! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: They key is how does it evolve...does the main vortex go into Canada? If it goes to Eurasia again, then I'd rather not even. Yes but there's a decent shot for us. I saw that thing on the winter of 28-29 from DT tweet. Intriuging in that the coldest air was to our west but we were cold enough and I would think a lot of swfe and Bs in that patter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Does wind chill even matter at that temperature? Lol - In a practical real setting ? No much ... If one is not sufficiently protected in an air mass of that gelid amber, they are over the death threshold - like... the body has frozen solid, and the soul's essence long receded back into quantum information paradox that argues nothing is lost and destroyed in the real Natural universe ...and then the wind blows ? Doesn't matter - haha... 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Yes but there's a decent shot for us. I saw that thing on the winter of 28-29 from DT tweet. Intriuging in that the coldest air was to our west but we were cold enough and I would think a lot of swfe and Bs in that patter. Boston had normal snow, but I don't know how sharp of a gradient there was to the north. I'm just tired of people raving over a phenomenon that hoards the cold on the other side of the globe 7/10 times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 22 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Does wind chill even matter at that temperature? Once you even get into the minus 20's, Its hard to tell the difference from there on up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 12 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: S shore had the most....down near Norwell, Pembroke and Marshfield was ground zero. I have to disagree with that assessment, especially if spotters used the 6 hour clearing method with many of those storms throughout that intense period. I can prove it with real data who had more snow on the ground. Boxford, MA actually comes in with 48-50" on ground at the highest depth by mid February even Newburyport.at 48". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, Greg said: I have to disagree with that assessment, especially if spotters used the 6 hour clearing method with many of those storms throughout that intense period. I can prove it with real data who had more snow on the ground. Boxford, MA actually comes in with 48-50" on ground at the highest depth by mid February even Newburyport.at 48". Disagree. Prove it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 We do seem to have fun when s/w's eject out of the SW. See what comes of this upcoming one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Could we see a kick off INVT tomorrow. Interesting 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Once you even get into the minus 20's, Its hard to tell the difference from there on up. Yes around here cuz it doesn’t get a whole lot colder than the -30’s(which is plenty brutal). But -60 on up is just insane, and you’d know the difference between that and -20 imo real quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yes around here cuz it doesn’t get a whole lot colder than the -30’s(which is plenty brutal). But -60 on up is just insane, and you’d know the difference between that and -20 imo real quick. I rode the county around Fort Kent at -35°F before, Wasn't a very good time for my heated shield to shat the bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Could we see a kick off INVT tomorrow. Interesting We mentioned that on Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Disagree. Prove it. The long duration event really sealed it for the S shore. Like i said, jack was likely just S of me. When depths get near 4' and it is wind whipped, good luck trying to compare as a metric. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 I don't see an inv trough, but could be a band of SHSN or even a squall across NYC into the areas of srn CT and RI....MVYT/ACK tomorrow morning. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Disagree. Prove it. IPS-176575A0-3AE2-4A95-A3DD-E1286F5DCB0D-wxc3.pdf (noaa.gov) Quick Data View: GHCND - GHCND:US1MAES0012; 2/1/2015 | Climate Data Online (CDO) | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) (noaa.gov) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Greg said: IPS-176575A0-3AE2-4A95-A3DD-E1286F5DCB0D-wxc3.pdf (noaa.gov) Quick Data View: GHCND - GHCND:US1MAES0012; 2/1/2015 | Climate Data Online (CDO) | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) (noaa.gov) Links don't work, but I know for a fact max depths of near 4'+ were on the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 I have a hypothesis that I'd like to test for the next upcoming weeks: I think if New England is to get any decent snows, the primary needs to track at or north of Detroit. Anything lower will be a whiff because of the strong, southern block. Just posting this here to verify later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Links don't work, but I know for a fact max depths of near 4'+ were on the south shore. The first one works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Links don't work, but I know for a fact max depths of near 4'+ were on the south shore. I've checked Coop of Brockton, Beechwood, Bridgewater, Plymouth/Kingston area. Haven't see anything go over 4 feet. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-176575A0-3AE2-4A95-A3DD-E1286F5DCB0D-wxc3.pdf Station: BOXFORD 2.4 S, MA US US1MAES0012 Observation Time Temperature: Unknown Observation Time Precipitation: Unknown 24 Hour Amounts Ending at Observation Time: Date/Precip/Snowfall/ Depth 2015/02/01 0.00 0.0 21.0 2015/02/02 0.33 6.6 34.5 2015/02/04 0.00 0.0 33.0 2015/02/05 0.13 0.1 30.0 2015/02/06 0.02 0.9 31.0 2015/02/07 0.00 0.0 28.0 2015/02/08 0.33 5.5 31.5 2015/02/09 0.29 5.8 37.0 2015/02/10 0.26 7.8 44.0 2015/02/11 0.00 0.0 42.0 2015/02/12 T T 0.0 40.0 2015/02/13 0.08 1.5 39.0 2015 /02 /4 0.00 0.0 39.0 2015/02/15 0.78 12.0 50.0 2015/02/16 0.02 0.6 50.0 2015/02 /17 0.00 0.0 48.0 2015/02/1 T T 0.0 45.0 2015/02/19 0.06 1.5 45.0 2015/02/20 T 0.1 43.0 2015/02/21 0.00 0.0 42.0 2015/02/22 0.29 2.1 42.0 2015/02/23 T T 0.0 35.0 2015/02/24 0.00 0.0 30.0 2015/02/25 0.04 0.8 30.0 2015/02/26 0.00 0.0 29.5 2015/02/27 T 0.1 29.5 2015/02/28 0.00 0.0 28.5 Summary Precip: 3.06 Total Snowfall: 52.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Bostonseminole said: not sure if posted, hopefully we get that soon. Yeah but what was the dewpoint? Remember the old saying "It is not the lack of heat, it is the lack of humidity." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 The models are starting to show a brief spike in the pna around the storm for the 29th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, Greg said: I've checked Brockton, Bridgewater, Plymouth/Kingston area. Haven't see anything so far eclipse 4'. Those satellite images aren't going to be perfect. Trust me, I live here and work in Andover. I remember that year better than my own anniversary date. The jack was near me to about Norwell. I'm not just saying that because I live here and biased. You had 30"+ in the long duration event and over 15" from the event after. N shore didn't have that. They had near 20" in NBT in the 2/15 event, but not the long duration one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: I have a hypothesis that I'd like to test for the next upcoming weeks: I think if New England is to get any decent snows, the primary needs to track at or north of Detroit. Anything lower will be a whiff because of the strong, southern block. Just posting this here to verify later. Well, the 0z Euro made a dramatic shift for the 26-27th from its 12z run when it sent the system to Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We mentioned that on Saturday Surprised you haven't mentioned the north trend going on for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: I have a hypothesis that I'd like to test for the next upcoming weeks: I think if New England is to get any decent snows, the primary needs to track at or north of Detroit. Anything lower will be a whiff because of the strong, southern block. Just posting this here to verify later. May very well be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: The models are starting to show a brief spike in the pna around the storm for the 29th They have been showing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, Greg said: I've checked Brockton, Bridgewater, Plymouth/Kingston area. Haven't see anything so far eclipse 4'. *IPS-176575A0-3AE2-4A95-A3DD-E1286F5DCB0D-wxc3.pdf GHCND_US1MAES0012_2015-2-1.pdf We're just going to have to agree to disagree. I live north of Boston and have a jackpot fetish, so its not like I was have a vested interest in claiming that the s shore was slightly better off in the most prolific snowfall period in SNE history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Surprised you haven't mentioned the north trend going on for next week. Not bothering with that one. Gonna go out south most likely with persistence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: The models are starting to show a brief spike in the pna around the storm for the 29th Getting high in the cruiser? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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