PhineasC Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Glad I have my 20+ OTG if we are headed into another boring 10 day dry stretch. Suppression without real cold again? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I wonder if we will have a few chances once the block starts breaking down Those guys were a better block...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That is the Miami Rule on steroids!!! wow... It can effect S/W morphology and cyclogen effectiveness in a different ways, but complete and utter vanquish absorption is rare actually. And, the model does it twice! First with the one that is lingering over S. Cal at 72 hours - takes that one over the Arklotex as a water-color and there's nothing identifiable of it 1100 km later over Tennessee. Then, the would-be system we've been denying we're tracking for the 26th it does the same thing. Neither feature even exists past the TV... How about the size of the polar high though?? my goodness... the entire domain of ORD-ATL-DCA is one big damming signal - Too many oddities in a single run ...willing to bet as others are joking - this is different in another cycle. A few more runs like those of the past 2 days and the models risk becoming a laughingstock. Perhaps they should go the way of the Ukie with 144 hrs only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Little weenie walking around along with squalls in the distance...snowed hard at Quabbin for 10 minutes or so.. Edit: picture wont upload for some reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Little weenie walking around along with squalls in the distance...snowed hard at Quabbin for 10 minutes or so.. A half hour ago we had a few ice pellets with the temp at 42F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 22 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I wonder if we will have a few chances once the block starts breaking down That’s what I’m leaning towards. A more balanced look between the atl and the pac would lead to better results...and during peak climo at that. I’m not worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Mid January at 1000’ 10mi from the VT border. Sad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2021 Author Share Posted January 18, 2021 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s what I’m leaning towards. A more balanced look between the atl and the pac would lead to better results...and during peak climo at that. I’m not worried. Yea, that what I have favored....if you are looking for near climo, don't worry.....Jan 2011 has problems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Mid January at 1000’ 10mi from the VT border. Sad Ens say it looks exactly like that thru Jan 31 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 20 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Mid January at 1000’ 10mi from the VT border. Sad Sad. Hate to see it, but it's our reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ens say it looks exactly like that thru Jan 31 At this point let’s start Rooting that. Let’s see if we can go for a shut out the whole month. Maybe it changes the juju...? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Need to see a trend before I jump in on the Friday/Saturday storm threat since the 18z NAM is the first run to show what I mean. The southern stream disturbance/ie upper trough and closed upper low over the Baja, CA region previously was caught in the same place and awaited energy further down the line in the northern stream to dive southward and capture the energy, however, the most recent 18z NAM shows by 72 hours that the energy begins to become progressive and moves out ahead of the 22nd northern stream shortwave/closed upper level low that phases with the vortex over central Southern Canada over the next 72 hours and brings with it an intense arctic air mass, 850mb temps below -12C. If trends continue or if this is more than just a blip run on the NAM, we will know at 00z, maybe more sampling of the northern stream energy involved, then this could lead to a potential phasing storm system in the 96 hour window. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Need to see a trend before I jump in on the Friday/Saturday storm threat since the 18z NAM is the first run to show what I mean. The southern stream disturbance/ie upper trough and closed upper low over the Baja, CA region previously was caught in the same place and awaited energy further down the line in the northern stream to dive southward and capture the energy, however, the most recent 18z NAM shows by 72 hours that the energy begins to become progressive and moves out ahead of the 22nd northern stream shortwave/closed upper level low that phases with the vortex over central Southern Canada over the next 72 hours and brings with it an intense arctic air mass, 850mb temps below -12C. If trends continue or if this is more than just a blip run on the NAM, we will know at 00z, maybe more sampling of the northern stream energy involved, then this could lead to a potential phasing storm system in the 96 hour window. Not gonna happen. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Need to see a trend before I jump in on the Friday/Saturday storm threat since the 18z NAM is the first run to show what I mean. The southern stream disturbance/ie upper trough and closed upper low over the Baja, CA region previously was caught in the same place and awaited energy further down the line in the northern stream to dive southward and capture the energy, however, the most recent 18z NAM shows by 72 hours that the energy begins to become progressive and moves out ahead of the 22nd northern stream shortwave/closed upper level low that phases with the vortex over central Southern Canada over the next 72 hours and brings with it an intense arctic air mass, 850mb temps below -12C. If trends continue or if this is more than just a blip run on the NAM, we will know at 00z, maybe more sampling of the northern stream energy involved, then this could lead to a potential phasing storm system in the 96 hour window. Beer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 I will say that Rockies ridge after day 10 does have legs. That would be why the EPS was trying for action. It also leads into Feb which for now, does not look to be starting as a typical Feb Nina. It’s frustrating as hell for someone like me as we roll snake eyes, but eventually one or more of these should work out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I will say that Rockies ridge after day 10 does have legs. That would be why the EPS was trying for action. It also leads into Feb which for now, does not look to be starting as a typical Feb Nina. It’s frustrating as hell for someone like me as we roll snake eyes, but eventually one or more of these should work out. I am telling you Scott, if the NAM is not a fluke run, we could be having something boil up in the next 24-48 hours and within 72 hours! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 No more taking about Day 10. Only inside 5 days when we can see the whites of it's eyes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I am telling you Scott, if the NAM is not a fluke run, we could be having something boil up in the next 24-48 hours and within 72 hours! Tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Glad I have my 20+ OTG if we are headed into another boring 10 day dry stretch. Suppression without real cold again? can you spare a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I am telling you Scott, if the NAM is not a fluke run, we could be having something boil up in the next 24-48 hours and within 72 hours! Boil up a pan of these and slap across face. https://i.imgur.com/joZr3qX.gifv 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 48 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Mid January at 1000’ 10mi from the VT border. Sad Snow cover gets pretty solid only a few miles west of you at 1000'. I was up on 112 in Colrain and went all the way to Searsburg and Wilmington Vt. Winter got progressively deeper by the mile near the MA, VT border. Deep Winter in Southern VT. Kids had blast sledding near Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Boil up a pan of these and slap across face. https://i.imgur.com/joZr3qX.gifv If you ask me, I would rather monitor something like this, then say it is all over for the next ten days! Sorry if I am a little optimistic, I think we all need to be right now and not lose our dignity! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Kevin getting crushed by a squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: If you ask me, I would rather monitor something like this, then say it is all over for the next ten days! Sorry if I am a little optimistic, I think we all need to be right now and not lose our dignity! There’s zero reason for any optimism. It was supposed to start snowing 2 weeks ago and we’ve had a wire to wire 0.0” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: There’s zero reason for any optimism. It was supposed to start snowing 2 weeks ago and we’ve had a wire to wire 0.0” There are always reasons to be optimistic! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 10 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: can you spare a couple inches Bring up some trucks and dig it out from behind the barn. All you can haul for $100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Little weenie walking around along with squalls in the distance...snowed hard at Quabbin for 10 minutes or so.. Edit: picture wont upload for some reason We have had snow showers of and on yesterday and today here... total of maybe 0.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 For me it's worth the drive just to see the smiles and excitement. This was at Dutch Hill near Mitch in Readsboro, VT. About 1 hour and 30 minute drive. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said: For me it's worth the drive just to see the smiles and excitement. This was at Dutch Hill near Mitch in Readsboro, VT. About 1 hour and 30 minute drive. Now that's the spirit. I did that for my kids, was only a 20 minute drive to Foster RI but they still bring it up 35 years later 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Western Mass is a solid upslope location following departing lows or from upper-air impulses. With the weekend system long gone, are this week's very persistent snows because of the juicier Pac air carried on west winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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