CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: OP runs. Suck. EPO ridge tilted too much SSW-NNE and the -NAO probably too much on the euro. Can't get much when the s/w's and ULL dive to the SSW off of CA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 The Euro seems to confirm that the GGEM had the right idea sending it to Bermuda, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Suck. EPO ridge tilted too much SSW-NNE and the -NAO probably too much on the euro. Can't get much when the s/w's and ULL dive to the SSW off of CA. It’s like the atmosphere is making up for those big time +PNA winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Suck. EPO ridge tilted too much SSW-NNE and the -NAO probably too much on the euro. Can't get much when the s/w's and ULL dive to the SSW off of CA. Things look good thou ...otherwise ... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Suck. EPO ridge tilted too much SSW-NNE and the -NAO probably too much on the euro. Can't get much when the s/w's and ULL dive to the SSW off of CA. EPO going + end of the month it seems with MJO progression & jet retraction. Uh oh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Underwhelming 12z Euro for snow lovers. Congrats Mid Atl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Underwhelming 12z Euro for snow lovers. Congrats Mid Atl. Vladimir? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 But I thought they said “it’s coming”? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 There’s always the next d10 ‘threat’. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, Henry's Weather said: Vladimir? да 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 I did not mind the 12z EURO, i mean of course the storms missing sucks, but a few adjustments to the large vortex that develops southeast of New Foundland things can trend differently, likely by the next run. However, there is a strong chance the Cape and Nantucket cash in on some accumulating snow with both systems. Ocean effect banding, or at least enhancement of the moisture will benefit the Cape with heavy arctic air present. Delta Ts will finally be sufficient enough for heavy ocean effect snows. We just need the clippers to develop closer to the Benchmark, or a quicker intensification. the 12z EURO almost does it with the WED and FRI systems! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: да Ah I see, a dictatorship of the mods. They'll never remove our banter thread! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 This Winter has been a continuous cranking of a jack-in-the box, without the pop ending. You're just sitting there waiting in endless anticipation of it to occur. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: This Winter has been a continuous cranking of a jack-in-the box, without the pop ending. You're just sitting there waiting in endless anticipation of it to occur. It's funny ... we were joking the other day about dubbing this winter the great whack-a-mole winter - All these "plausible" emergent storms modeled out there, and just when you bring your hammer down on one as though yeah...it vanishes before you can strike it as likely - Folks in here don't care about technology and modeling ... and best deterministic philosophy ...etc..etc... That stuff is far too lucid and objectively responsible ... No, this is about a given model runs ability to gas-light their endorphin/joy circuitry. - failing that is like NARCAN interrupting a good high. You know...I was at summer deck party a few years ago and a off-duty cop was there. Southern NH somewhere...I think Manchester precinct. But he was saying that they've shown up on a scene before where some ODer was slumped and unresponsive, having to administer that shit to the glowing eyed waste-oid mere moments away from their last heart beat, and it would work... Only the recipient would get pissed off for having their high ruined - We just spent the better part of mid day explaining matters. This Euro shouldn't really weight much ... But it's a NARCAN run ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There’s always the next d10 ‘threat’. Man, that looked like a carbon copy of 1/12/11 in the making. Almost identical shortwave setup. Would’ve been nice to see another panel or two just for the eye candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Stolen from another thread: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 And again, I feel like it's a broken record. It's over a week away. Same thing with the long range models. You're all saying how trashy I look for February, what about the models late December when they're showing January being amazing and look at us now. So, let's hope that the models are the opposite of what they're going to be as they were late December into now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Man, that looked like a carbon copy of 1/12/11 in the making. Almost identical shortwave setup. Would’ve been nice to see another panel or two just for the eye candy. Don’t rile me up like that at d10 but I’ve got a feeling this winter’s story is far from finished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Man, that looked like a carbon copy of 1/12/11 in the making. Almost identical shortwave setup. Would’ve been nice to see another panel or two just for the eye candy. Have no fear, it won't be there on the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 13 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Stolen from another thread: Now I know why the models are so f'd up, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Through 300 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 37 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There’s always the next d10 ‘threat’. The good news is there is slightly less than 32 10 day periods till the beginning of met winter 21/22......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Through 300 years??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: years??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Eps is stormy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 15 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: And again, I feel like it's a broken record. It's over a week away. Same thing with the long range models. You're all saying how trashy I look for February, what about the models late December when they're showing January being amazing and look at us now. So, let's hope that the models are the opposite of what they're going to be as they were late December into now I'm giving it 2 more weeks, then if nothing has changed significantly, let's just torch it right into Spring. I'll eat my hat if we don't get >1" in the next 12 days. I really prefer front-loaded over back loaded winters mostly cause the snow retention starts to take a hit in feb/mar. If it weren't for the two 10+" Dec snows, we'd be hurting badly in terms of seasonal snow, although I think we're falling BN at this point. Season looked so promising right up until the grinch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Eps is stormy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I wonder if we will have a few chances once the block starts breaking down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 That is the Miami Rule on steroids!!! wow... It can effect S/W morphology and cyclogen effectiveness in a different ways, but complete and utter vanquish absorption is rare actually. And, the model does it twice! First with the one that is lingering over S. Cal at 72 hours - takes that one over the Arklotex as a water-color vesper, then there's nothing identifiable of it 1100 km later over Tennessee. Then, the would-be system we've been denying we're tracking for the 26th it does the same thing. Neither feature even exists past the TV... How about the size of the polar high though?? my goodness... the entire domain of ORD-ATL-DCA is one big damming signal - Too many oddities in a single run ...willing to bet as others are joking - this is different in another cycle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 57 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Underwhelming 12z Euro for snow lovers. Congrats Mid Atl. 12z GFS shows zero qpf here thru 300, after which the cold is gone. (Needs a barf emogi.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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