78Blizzard Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm wondering if the EPS carries it or at least some - The GEFs actually have several members with blizzards. Sort of imagine "PD1" but a further N. track compared to that one - Will would be the better one to reference but I'm pretty sure that first variation of the straight E Miller B boning on northern extent scenario had milk cirrus and flurries to the Pike with CCB blizzard conditions in PHL-DCA... Digress - Another aspect that's interesting is that 2/3rds of those members have a storm and of those, they're all snow really... Usually at this range, they are all rain - not sure if that means anything but. Anyway, point is ... I wonder if the operational Euro is a rare weaker outlier You're sounding like a weenie...just pooh pooh any model that doesn't produce snow. j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: You're sounding like a weenie...just pooh pooh any model that doesn't produce snow. j/k What - your post does not logically follow - I'm not 'pooh pooh' ing anything - the model could certainly be a weak outlier. I'm asking - and it matters quite analytically - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Eps is weak and squashed We have blocking and nothing to show for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 A dozen robins working the back yard today. I wonder what they are digging up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: What - your post does not logically follow - I'm not 'pooh pooh' ing anything - the model could certainly be a weak outlier. I'm asking - and it matters quite analytically - Come on, man, lighten up. Didn't you see the "j/k"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Eps is weak and squashed We have blocking and nothing to show for it That’s what blocking does...squashes sh*t. Lol. At least this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Come on, man, lighten up. Didn't you see the "j/k"? No, I did not - ha ... Truth be told ...I spend a goodly amount of recent energy explaining to folks that there's no use in prediction beyond 5 days in this overall circumstance, so at risk of being a hypocrite. Trying to make a little chicken salad out of a chicken shit pattern is tough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 30 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm wondering if the EPS carries it or at least some - The GEFs actually have several members with blizzards. Sort of imagine "PD1" but a further N. track compared to that one - Will would be the better one to reference but I'm pretty sure that first variation of the straight E Miller B boning on northern extent scenario had milk cirrus and flurries to the Pike with CCB blizzard conditions in PHL-DCA... Digress - Another aspect that's interesting is that 2/3rds of those members have a storm and of those, they're all snow really... Usually at this range, they are all rain - not sure if that means anything but. Anyway, point is ... I wonder if the operational Euro is a rare weaker outlier I think what you're describing is something like Feb 2, 2015? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s what blocking does...squashes sh*t. Lol. At least this year. Eps is interesting for the 26th and 28th. It all depends when the energy ejects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Eps is interesting for the 26th and 28th. It all depends when the energy ejects. You just said it was squashed and weak? So that was my response to that. Was just busting chops a bit too. So now it’s not weak and squashed? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: You just said it was squashed and weak? So that was my response to that. Was just busting chops a bit too. So now it’s not weak and squashed? I'm such a weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Some of you guys need medication. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Eps is interesting for the 26th and 28th. It all depends when the energy ejects. That’s what my wife said...we have two kids now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2021 Author Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Curious did any MET predicted a poor snowfall season with great blocking? If so kudos. I predicted blocking (often east-based) from Dec into a portion of January, and slightly below avg snowfall....blocking will likely persist a bit longer than I had thought, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 MET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2021 Author Share Posted January 17, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: MET Not to my knowledge....just Tom and I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 We'll broach that question when there's great blocking - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2021 Author Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: We'll broach that question when there's great blocking - Yea, too early to call that. I agree. NAO certainly been negative with normal to slightly below snowfall, so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2021 Author Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: Curious did any MET predicted a poor snowfall season with great blocking? If so kudos. Just a cautionary note...I would not be issuing kudos to anyone, right now, just as I was puzzled why some where high-fiving the Jan 2011 vibe back near New Year....the tenor of the season changes so fast. There remains a path to a season altering event as we near peak climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Been getting random flakes pretty much all day.. Kind of depressing seeing bare ground though.. Seems this week doesn't offer much hope either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Been getting random flakes pretty much all day.. Kind of depressing seeing bare ground though.. Seems this week doesn't offer much hope either You're not allowed to lose hope. You need to act as a beacon of light for all the weenies that have lost their way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just a cautionary note...I would not be issuing kudos to anyone, right now, just as I was puzzled why some where high-fiving the Jan 2011 vibe back near New Year....the tenor of the season changes so fast. There remains a path to a season altering event as we near peak climo. True dat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: True dat. Ya, I don’t think we/anybody can tell where the next few weeks may go..good or bad. It seems very uncertain currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2021 Author Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Ya, I don’t think we/anybody can tell where the next few weeks may go..good or bad. It seems very uncertain currently. The NAO block could completely break down, and we could still get a decent event(s) in Feb...hell, I remember we stole a mod event in Feb 2018, while I was in Uganda. Look at Feb 2006... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The NAO block could completely break down, and we could still get a decent event(s) in Feb...hell, I remember we stole a mod event in Feb 2018, while I was in Uganda. Look at Feb 2006... Yup Feb 06 was fabulous here. That was a Huge storm here, in a crap winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya, I don’t think we/anybody can tell where the next few weeks may go..good or bad. It seems very uncertain currently. That's for sure, especially when one of the 12z models went to a whiff for the 26th after showing a cutter in the previous run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup Feb 06 was fabulous here. That was a Huge storm here, in a crap winter. I missed feb 06 in Philly, was at Pitt at the time for school. Still pissed I missed this... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I missed feb 06 in Philly, was at Pitt at the time for school. Still pissed I missed this... Great storm. About a 2 footer here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I missed feb 06 in Philly, was at Pitt at the time for school. Still pissed I missed this... Broke the NYC all-time record for single snowstorm thanks to that fat 300 mile long band. I remember the Jeff Beradelli write-up after the storm basically explaining and emphasizing that band is what justified the Central Park measurement when many were questioning it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 11 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I missed feb 06 in Philly, was at Pitt at the time for school. Still pissed I missed this... 21 inches here. NYC saw a great snow band during the morning hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now