CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: We like those patterns...I’m fine with that. Get us some cold, and some chances and a few things will pop. We still could get a biggie, I just don’t favor it right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: We still could get a biggie, I just don’t favor it right now. I understand...and figured as much. Sounds good to me. Like Luke, I’m liking where we’re headed. I’m so over the grey dry sh*t of the last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We still could get a biggie, I just don’t favor it right now. Ray does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I understand...and figured as much. Sounds good to me. Like Luke, I’m liking where we’re headed. I’m so over the grey dry sh*t of the last month. We asked for blocking and here we are . I wish I was born near the lakes so I dont have to worry about this crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Ray does I don’t think he favors a big event. Maybe we define big. I’m saying I would not favor something dropping a foot or more. I just don’t rule it out. There are still some questions with this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I don’t think he favors a big event. Maybe we define big. I’m saying I would not favor something dropping a foot or more. I just don’t rule it out. There are still some questions with this pattern. Well Ray did say, he would be shocked if we didn't get two events by the end of this month, and at least one warning event, lol, might be back like 30 pages of this thread.............i am with others, i will take whatever snow we can get, as i sit with over 1.18" at 43F on Jan. 16, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t think he favors a big event. Maybe we define big. I’m saying I would not favor something dropping a foot or more. I just don’t rule it out. There are still some questions with this pattern. Nothing wrong with 3-5” or 4-8”, I like those type of events. Even 2-4” if you get closer to the 4” end. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nothing wrong with 3-5” or 4-8”, I like those type of events. Even 2-4” if you get closer to the 4” end. Yeah like a regionwide 4-8" event or two with 6-12" iso 12" on the coastal plain, Cape and Islands due to their closer proximity to the storm and ocean moisture source Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We asked for blocking and here we are . I wish I was born near the lakes so I dont have to worry about this crap. I guess you can think of it this way Ant....it’s the things that you don’t get that much of, that often, that you appreciate the most. When you do get a solid event...you love it and appreciate it that much more, because of where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 We get this Tuesday system to develop a bit faster once it hits the ocean and south of Long Island, we might be in business for something a bit bigger, but right now a track into Gulf of Maine does nothing for us! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We asked for blocking and here we are . I wish I was born near the lakes so I dont have to worry about this crap. My daughter's spending the weekend on the Tug. I guess they're in the midst of up to 20". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We asked for blocking and here we are . I wish I was born near the lakes so I dont have to worry about this crap. Transfer to Detroit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They definitely won’t. This isn’t a blizzard pattern. Just a cold one that offers chances. I was being sarcastic. I think we nickel and dime until Feb...when we get a better balance between the atl and pac. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Cape and Islands prefer a better pacific pattern than a North Atlantic Ocean pattern. The +PNA ridge provides a dump of true arctic air into the country and the coastline does a better job in +PNA patterns over a -NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Transfer to Detroit 8 mile would suit him well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 hour ago, tamarack said: Do you take that route to enrich the Empire State? Our IL trips (to DEC not CHI) go 84-81-80, etc. No tolls west of the Hudson. Mapquest said the Buffalo trail was 9 minutes quicker (for a 1,300-mile drive ), though that time might be squandered on 90 west of Sturbridge. Had 0.2" earlier, nothing during the past 90 minutes. P&C says 1-2" here + 1"+ RA. Straight 90 all the way. Easy Pass makes you forget the tolls until you see the bill...lol. Wait-you use Mapquest? We just put it into the phone and follow directions (most often use Waze). I have found 84 on the west side of Hartford is jammed with traffic more often than not but that’s a different subject. Snow in the forecast for our trip and in Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 59 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ray does No, I do not. I said I favor a significant event before end of January....I do not favor big events this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t think he favors a big event. Maybe we define big. I’m saying I would not favor something dropping a foot or more. I just don’t rule it out. There are still some questions with this pattern. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 53 minutes ago, 512high said: Well Ray did say, he would be shocked if we didn't get two events by the end of this month, and at least one warning event, lol, might be back like 30 pages of this thread.............i am with others, i will take whatever snow we can get, as i sit with over 1.18" at 43F on Jan. 16, Warning event is a HECS? I'm done for a few days....man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 49 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yeah like a regionwide 4-8" event or two with 6-12" iso 12" on the coastal plain, Cape and Islands due to their closer proximity to the storm and ocean moisture source All I meant. .....like 4-8"....even 6-12" maybe pushing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 James Next novel. Will the dawn ever open in a good pattern to the sound of a plow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 12/26/2020 at 11:58 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: December worked out okay, except for the fact that it was PNA and not RNA....this caused the se and se to flip anomalies from what was forecast. Most of the forecast for January still appears valid...trends for less "blocking" and perhaps more PNA intervals again as the month progresses. The lower heights towards AK have already began materializing, but the N ATL ridding has not yet began to abate. I would look for signs of that in longer range guidance as the New Year approaches. January 2021 Outlook January Forecast H5 Composite: The active winter pattern may carry over into the first week or so of January, or it may not. This is nebulous, but what is clear is that any residual positive height anomalies should vacate the higher latitudes, as lower heights retrograde towards Alaska. The structure and character of la nina begins to assume a more modoki state, as it peaks and begins to decay. The Aleutian ridge relocates to the southeast, away from Alaska. Heights near the pole should not be exceeding low, nor the temperature departures extremely high like January 20202. But nevertheless, the pattern grows relatively hostile to sustained wintery interludes in the east. January Forecast Temperature Composite: Temperatures should be near normal to 1 degree above across northern New England, 1-3 degrees above normal in central and southern New England, and 2-3 degrees above in the mid atlantic. Any storm activity will entail large precipitation type issues near the coast, with the most snow reserved for northern New England. The RNA pattern should only strengthen, as overall storm activity wanes. January Forecast Precipitation Composite: A lull in winter for the northeast, especially below the latitude of northern New England and east of New York state, should develop during the month, as storms becomes less frequent and the predominate track shifts inland. Some seasonal cold bouts should be sufficient for some mountain snow, and perhaps some "front end" wintery precipitation further to the south. Apparently some need a reminder. Have a good holiday weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Its all good Ray, over 1.55" in ASH,48F , Just trying to find a nut to make this ground white, to make it feel like January 16th as a winter should be in my eyes............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Pivotal has issues with the 06z Para snow map, lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Snowing again in Georgia....41 and rain here, no melts here just reality of this season it seems. A simple 2-4 inches over the past 1-2 weeks would have been nice...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Pivotal has issues with the 06z Para snow map, lol. 5+ feet in 10 days. Nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 59 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 8 mile would suit him well. Marquette PD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 5+ feet in 10 days. Nice. I would have a epic meltdown lol snow hole near me.. Congrats northern NH AND western VT 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, ineedsnow said: I would have a epic meltdown lol snow hole near me.. Congrats northern NH I would never be more disappointed with just 7.8” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I would have a epic meltdown lol snow hole near me.. Congrats northern NH AND western VT I’d be pretty bitter about my 150” with BTV getting over 360” not too far away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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