CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: I want a 1/ 26/16 repeat Pass 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: I want a 1/ 26/16 repeat You give me a 3-5-01, and it's a deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Pass Remove the shit streak, and it would have been fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You give me a 3-5-01, and it's a deal. Just a little further south this time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Just a little further south this time Likewise, bit north on '16 ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Likewise, bit north on '16 ha At least schools were closed here during that storm even though I ended up with 5 inches in 01. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So many of us in SNE should wake up to snow OTG Sunday morning with some 1” amounts and a bit more in spots. Then a couple 1-4” events next week. Better than what we’ve had since Dec 17th Glad to see your optimism creeping back in to the discussion. Not a perfect pattern but should get more interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Glad to see your optimism creeping back in to the discussion. Not a perfect pattern but should get more interesting. There’s not gonna be a big one at all. But if it can snow lightly every couple days.. there’s very few here who wouldn’t welcome that . When you are without something you love for so long, yearning makes the heart grow fonder. 1 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 38 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Remove the shit streak, and it would have been fine. That’s true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s not gonna be a big one at all. But if it can snow lightly every couple days.. there’s very few here who wouldn’t welcome that . When you are without something you love for so long, yearning makes the heart grow fonder. If its the vintage 2015 nickles and dimes that you called for, then count me in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If its the vintage 2015 nickles and dimes that you called for, then count me in. It was that or 2013 where Steve said he was taking the kids tobogganing on 3" of snow. Multiple trips to the ER. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It was that or 2013 where Steve said he was taking the kids tobogganing on 3" of snow. Multiple trips to the ER. It was Jan 2015, when I was getting pressured to bail on my call for an epic second half. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was Jan 2015, when I was getting pressured to bail on my epic call. LOL 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL Oh, plenty more where that came from.....thread is a treasure cove of material. Persistence worked great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It was that or 2013 where Steve said he was taking the kids tobogganing on 3" of snow. Multiple trips to the ER. 2015 and you went on to shit on me like you are this year. Yet this year you had your kids sledding on 3 inches. City folk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, plenty more where that came from.....thread is a treasure cove of material. Persistence worked great. Scooter melts were better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If its the vintage 2015 nickles and dimes that you called for, then count me in. This pattern absolutely will not allow for a big un. Nor a big Pun. The PAC won’t allow Take the dimes and look towards other years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Scooter melts were better Those were HoF worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2015 and you went on to shit on me like you are this year. Yet this year you had your kids sledding on 3 inches. City folk Where do you get the idea of shitting on you? Same with my hate for NNE when I posted about the ski areas doing well. Are you alright? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Text from my father today: "Another snowless winter huh? Not even cold. This blows." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Sounds like we need to pony up a few bucks for a lap dance for Steve. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 18z GFS = Steined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 What's the longest a place like KORH has gone without an inch of snow in a winter? (random thought that popped into head) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You give me a 3-5-01, and it's a deal. Oh that was a goodie, I was in Methuen back then. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, dmcginvt said: Oh that was a goodie, I was in Methuen back then. You just made Ray splash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 The Walt Drag AFD FXUS61 KBOX 042114 AMD AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..FINAL AFTN.. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 414 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2001 ...SEVERE STORM COMPARABLE OR WILL EXCEED THE BLIZZARD OF 78 FOR SNE WITH 60 HR DURATION OF SNW AND MAX INTENSITY OF WORST CONDS 18Z TUE-00Z WED AND HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE HIGHLY LIKELY TO OCCUR PARTS OF E MA COAST... KEY IS SLEET IN I 95 CORRIDOR...OTRW ITS GOING TO BE EXCEEDINGLY DIFFICULT HERE FOR AT LEAST 3 DAYS. FOR US HERE IN SNE A SLOW FADE OF STORM WED AM...SNOW QUITS NW TO SE FIRST THEN THE WIND. SFALL: 1 TO 3 FEET IN THE ALL SNOW AND SLEET REGION. WSW WILL GO AT 5 PM...ZONES HOPEFULLY AT 6PM. THANK YOU FOR YOUR PATIENCE ON DELAYED ZONES. WE/VE GOT 140 PM ZONES THE WAY WE WANT FOR NOW AND WE WANT TO GET THIS NEXT PKG DECENTLY ACCURATE. BLIZZARD WARNING WBIS AT 430 PM MA 4>7 12 14>16 AND NH 12 (MHT-LWM- ORH). REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS DIRE PREDICTION ARE 3 OR MORE HRS <1/4MI S+/BS AND G>30 KTS). 18Z ETA SAYS WE CAN INCLUDE BOSTON...ITS ON THE CUSP WITH SLEET BUT WE ARE GOING FOR WORST CASE AND EVENTUALLY BLV WE CAN HIT THIS. ETA TENDS TO RUN A BIT TOO WARM. HIGH WIND WARNING WBIS MA 19 22>24 FOR MON AFTN THRU TUE. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH WBIS AT 430 PM FOR POTENTIAL DESTRUCTIVE FLOODING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAYS HIGH TIDES. ANTICIPATING NNE WIND DIMSHG AT 44013 TO 35 TO 45 KTS AT 12Z WED. ANTICIPATE 3-5 FT SURGES AT HIGH TIDES BOTH TUE AND WED. HERES BOSTON TIDES TIME ASTRO PREIDCTION WITHOUT SURGE AND WAVE 3/5 640 AM 10.2 727 PM 8.9 3/6 743 AM 10.6 829 PM 8.9 3/7 845 AM 11.0 927 PM 10.0 IT IS MY BLV NEAR RECORD WAVE HTS PROBABLE 44013 AND POSSIBLY 44008 ...TUESDAY A KEY DAY FOR DAMAGING COASTAL FLOODING. MAX WAVE HTS OF 30 TO 35 FT EXPECTED FOR THIS EVENT TUESDAY AT BOS BUOY AND 30 TO 40 FT FOR 44008. POWER OUTAGES: SCT PWR OUTAGES FROM WIND AND OR SNOW PROBABLE ORH TO BOS AND PVD AND CC. WIND: FIRST PULSE 40-55KT 18Z-03Z MONDAY AFTN AND EVE THEN I THINK IT CRANKS FROM THE NNE ON TUESDAY WITH SEVERE BLOWING AND DRIFTING WHERE >6 OF SFALL. 65 KT GUSTS POSSIBLE PYM-PVC TO ACK. REFIRE A SECOND WIND MAX..POTENTIALL STRONGER 50-65 KT TUESDAY. SFALL: 1-3 FT XCPT MIX ZONE 3-12 TOTAL STORM BY 06Z WED. WORST AXIS FORESEEN SOMEWHERE ALONG OR JUST NW OF A HFD-BOS LN. MAY NEED TO ADJUST THIS IN FUTURE RUNS. RDF: DOES NOT NECESSARILY REFLECT ZFP WORDING... PLS DONT LOCK US INTO RDF YET. JUST CANT GET IT DO WHAT WE WANT. EVENTUALLY IT WILL THEN IT WILL PRODUCE PICTURES ETC. YOULL LIKE IT. IF YOU USE THIS PRODUCT...WE WANT TO KNOW AND YOUR IMPRESSIONS. GWAVE: WATCH IT FOR EXCESSIVE MODULATATION OF THE QPF FIELDS INCLUDING 4-5/HR SNOWFALL RATE IN SNOW REGION (MAYBE SOMETIME MON) AND CUTBACK ON QPF IN SLEET REGION SE MA AND RI. TX FOR COORD T0 LOUIS UCCELLINI ON POTENTIAL AND HAVE OFFERED ITS POTENTIAL IN THIS PGH PER MY OWN CONSIDERATION. HAVE NOT CONFIRMED ONE WILL HAPPEN HERE. BATTEN DOWN AND ROUND IT UP NOW. THIS IS GOING TO BE HUGE AND LONG LASTING. WE WILL TRY TO GET A STMT OUT ON PREPAREDNESS NEEDS AND COMPARISONS TO PAST BLIZZARDS SINCE 1978. OUR TAKE (TX RMT) IS THAT THIS WILL B VLIZ OF 78 EVENT BUT FURTHER NORTHWEST MODELS: WE HOPE NOT TO LET YOU DOWN ON THIS BUT HAVE CONSIDERABLE CONFIDENCE IN THE ETA ON HUGE EVENTS THO WE KNOW A SURPRISE WILL OCCUR SOMEWHERE. PER HPC...ETA MODEL HAS BEEN EXCT ON BIG QPF NE USA N OF 40N ...BUT WOEFUL BUSTS DC REGION..POSSIBLY BECAUSE BCS OF GULF STREAM WALL SPINUP PBLM. ETA IS PRIMARY GUIDE QPF: WE ARE GOING TO FCST A CT RVR VALLEY SHADOW GOING ONLY 1-2 WE THERE...UPSLOPE THO WATCH OUT. WE ARE GOING 3 TO 5 W.E QPF E MASS. 3-5 QPF PVD-PYM-ORH-LWM-BVY-BOS-PYM. DRY SLOT MAY IMPACT SE NEW ENG FOR A TIME LATE MON? CAVEAT: SOMETHING GOES WRONG WITH THESE BIG STORMS EVERY TIME. DONT KNOW YET WHERE IT WILL B...BUT CONFIDENT WE/RE ON TRACK. IF YOU KNOW...WHERE WE/RE LIKELY TO BUST. CALL ME BY 430 PM. SKYWARN STARTS HER EIN OFFICE 4AM MONDAY. A LONG SEIGE CHH RAOB: 18Z RAOB IS IN. FURTHER INTERIM CHH RUNS SCHEDULED 06Z AND 18Z MON AND 06Z TUE. ALTERNATE SOURCES OF ENERGY: BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES. DONT USE CANDLES FOR LIGHT...CAUSES FIRE IF KNOCKED OVR. TRAVEL: NOT RECOMMENDED BY OUR OFFICE IN ALL SNOW REGION MONDAY- TUESDAY THO THERE WILL B PRDS OF RECOVERY AS WE GO INTO BANDED PCPN ALTERNATING LIGHT AND HVY. REMEMBER JUST A COUPLE OF CARS IN ACCIDENTS CAN CLOG A ROAD AND IF ITS SNOWING 2/HR - CAN BE BAD NEWS AND BASICALLY NOT GETTING HOME. WARMEST QPF RROUTE...COASTAL 95 MONDAY....BUT WATCH IT WHEN YOU GET INTO CT IF YOU CATCH THE DRY SLOT RIGHT.. YOU GET HOME AOK. AUTO SURVIVAL KITS: SUGGEST HAVING EXTRA CLOTHING AND WATER...PLUS FLASHLIGHTS...BLANKETS...DONT RUN YOUR CAR IF STALLED...AT LEAST NOT WITH WINDOWS CLOSED. ENVISION LONG DURATION OF AIRPORT CLOSURE AND FERRY TRANSPORT SHUT DOWN. COASTAL FLOODING: PYM..PVC-CHH..ACK/MVY PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TUESDAY WITH MINOR XPCTD MONDAY AFTN/NIGHT HIGH TIDE. ROAD CREWS: ARDUOUS LONG DURATION EVENT...SFALL POSSIBLY LASTING 48 TO 60 HRS HOURS WITH POST STORM CLEANUP LASTING THRU ALL OF WEDNESDAY INTO THRUSDAY. STREET FLOODING: POSSIBLE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING PARTS OF SE MA AND SRN RI ALONG OR 20 SE SE OF A PVD-PYM LN IF MOSTLY RAIN. FRZN GROUND A PBLM. RECOVERY: WED/THU. ASOS: AFN AND BOS FIXED. AFN ASOS MAY GO BAD AGAIN BY MON MORNING ...BUT ASOS FIXES IN SNOW REGION NEXT 2 DAYS MAY BE NEXT TO IMPOSSIBLE. LR: A NOTE...SUSPECT 1 OR POSSIBLY 2 MORE MDT OR GRTR SNOWSTORMS FOR PARTS SNE BY 4/15. NAO STAYS NEG AND OTHER PATTERN INDICATORS THAT OVERALL NORMAL WINTER TEMP PATTERN AND ACTIVE SRN STREAM WITH SOME BLOCKING MAKES IT FAVORABLE AGAIN SOMEWHERE ROUGHLY BTWN 3/14-21... HAVE NO ENSEMBLE SUPPORT AND NOT TIME FOR THIS NEXT 72 HRS. FYI: I WORKED A STORM LIKE THIS IN MKE IN 1982... DOUBLE SHORT WAVE ROTATOR...WAS IMPRESSIVE GRB TO LSE .BOS...BLIZZARD WARNING NH 12 MA 4>7 12>16 WINTER STORM WARNING CT 2>4 RI 1>5...MA 2/3/8>11 17/18 NH 11 WXA TNGT AND MON AM MASS 19>24 RI 6/7 THEN WATCH FOR LATE MON AFTN THRU TUE NIGHT FOR POTENTIAL LARGE BACKLASH. CFA MA 7...14>16 19 22>24 TUE AND WED HIGH TIDES. HIGH WIND WARNING MA 19 AND 22>24 MON AFTN THRU TUE WITH HIGH WIND WARNING IMPLIED NE MA COAST IN BLIZ WARNING. MARINE: STORM WARNING MON-TUE. DRAG 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2015 and you went on to shit on me like you are this year. Yet this year you had your kids sledding on 3 inches. City folk Yeah that was right before 100” fell in a month, lol. Maybe that needs to happen this year too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Where do you get the idea of shitting on you? Same with my hate for NNE when I posted about the ski areas doing well. Are you alright? Lol can't take the heat step out of the kitchen. DIT nailed it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sounds like we need to pony up a few bucks for a lap dance for Steve. Sorry I think we found your problem ^^^projection at its best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 So are we going to once again punt all of January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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