WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, mreaves said: I’ll make it up there someday. Went to Millinocket last year to ride and liked it. 6 hours from. It’s a bitch driving west/east in NNE. Yes not too many interstates running in that direction up that way lol. Millinocket is very good most times. About another 3 hrs north of millinocket is where I stay/ride. Every area up there needs more snow still...hoping Saturday works out up there for them, and for you too :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ICON Euroesque re 22nd Yea, it ejects that SW energy right out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 GFS still hangs that energy back in the SW....strange, usually the EURO would do that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 A very wintry period ahead, almost there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A very wintry period ahead, almost there. Wow..you’re all in Luke. Nice to see. You were very down on the winter’s potential back in late November I remember. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Wow..you’re all in Luke. Nice to see. You were very down on the winter’s potential back in late November I remember. I did not like the pre season at all but for me pre season calls are like 1 in 10 chance of panning out lol. I’m bad but it’s fun projecting nevertheless. But whatever pre season calls one makes, they need to adjust as the season unfolds. Can’t just stubbornly stick with it. everyone has talked about late Jan as the favorable period so it’s nothing groundbreaking but the fact the arctic is easily susceptible to higher heights this season gives me confidence we’ll get into a dynamic stretch during peak climo. Just a hunch but I really like our chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A very wintry period ahead, almost there. Stawp......you ready to eat shit if the season totally fuks you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I’m already eating shit......cuz as far as I’m concerned we ****ed....lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Euro is suppressed Garbage model 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 51 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro is suppressed Garbage model First of.. When for? Second, you can't call a model garbage just because you don't like the outcome, and third and final, if this Is for the storm the end of next week..... You can't take any model run to seriously at this point. You are better than that ( I read all your posts and you always stay optimistic ). Don't stop now... " WEENIES RULE!!!!! " ;-) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 4 hours ago, ice1972 said: I’m already eating shit......cuz as far as I’m concerned we ****ed....lol 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 5 hours ago, ice1972 said: Stawp......you ready to eat shit if the season totally fuks you? It’s not that serious lol but I’d advise you wrap yourself in bubble wrap very soon and have someone in your household remove and dispose all sharp objects. Safety first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 8 hours ago, dryslot said: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/index.php?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_mean§or=ne&rd=20210114&rt=0000 Mean max probs over 4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Models have trended stronger and colder with departing trough across the Maritimes today. This will leave behind a slightly colder airmass across Southern New England than earlier projected. This may result in a 3-6 hr window of snow across the east slopes of the Berks and possibly into northern Worcester county. Model soundings suggest thermal profiles are very marginal to support snow, however atmosphere becomes colder westward toward the NY/MA border and MA/VT border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Does next week end up going out south , leaving us dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Does next week end up going out south , leaving us dry? At least you'll have ice on the ponds for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: At least you'll have ice on the ponds for you. So you’re going with shunt/ suppress forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Does next week end up going out south , leaving us dry? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: No Charts good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: So you thinking shunt? I honestly don't know. Could be like yesterday's run, it could be a weak pos, or shunted south. Euro looked like a weak clipper type deal. It just goes to show you all the chaos you have when the nrn stream gets involved and models are having trouble resolving what happens between that and the system across the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Tomorrow's deal could be one of those Crawford Notch to Sugarloaf paste job. Might be a lot of have and have not ski areas with strong E-SE flow aloft and marginal airmass. I definitely would want to be more on the east facing slopes with elevation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Injection lows always lead to positive busts like ORH said. Plus climo is on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tomorrow's deal could be one of those Crawford Notch to Sugarloaf paste job. Might be a lot of have and have not ski areas with strong E-SE flow aloft and marginal airmass. I definitely would want to be more on the east facing slopes with elevation. I copied Phil's tweet to show that SE Jet slams into the NNE Mts where no wind exists, this causes a very rapid upward motion and intense dynamics. Should be a helluva thump for ski areas. 8 to 12 style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Injection lows always lead to positive busts like ORH said. Plus climo is on our side. I think HRRR is too cold IMO. You should get some decent rains injected into the region. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 If only we were a bit colder tomorrow ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 That Euro run was fun while it lasted. Suppression city last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 This is the time the models start flopping all around until the pattern reestablishes/shifts. Will be interesting to see what things look like on Sunday. Seems like we get a real period of winter 3-4 weeks at least, that reinforces and builds on itself, and probably everyone from DC north gets in on it. It is strange how little cold we've had this year. Only one night that was just barely below 0, and nothing sustained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: This is the time the models start flopping all around until the pattern reestablishes/shifts. Will be interesting to see what things look like on Sunday. Seems like we get a real period of winter 3-4 weeks at least, that reinforces and builds on itself, and probably everyone from DC north gets in on it. It is strange how little cold we've had this year. Only one night that was just barely below 0, and nothing sustained. Its coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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