natedizel Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 8:32 PM, CoastalWx said: Probably a cutter as we shuffle that too. Expand Yup probably. Its ok crew. Always next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:13 PM, NorEastermass128 said: LOL. The 18z GFS takes a scalpel to Essex Co, ensuring we’re on the outside looking in. Incredible. Expand Probably about an 80" chance that is how it works out. Man, I can't wait to shed this 12 or so miles of useless latitude....it never does any good. And when it does, its during a useless, meager event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Have enjoyed today's caa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 No point being this far north unless you are near MHT.....very seldom does latitude south of MHT down to like I 495 matter in big events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:16 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Probably about an 80" chance that is how it works out. Man, I can't wait to shed this 12 or so miles of useless latitude....it never does any good. And when it does, its during a useless, meager event. Expand Where’s Pit 2 going to be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:19 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Where’s Pit 2 going to be? Expand I am likely moving this year....non weather related, but welcomed from a weather POV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am likely moving this year....non weather related, but welcomed from a weather POV. Expand Hopefully in a better spot snow wise as a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:22 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Hopefully in a better spot snow wise as a bonus. Expand Probably like Wilmington, Andover, Tewksbury...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am likely moving this year....non weather related, but welcomed from a weather POV. Expand Do you have an option of where? Or you looking in specific town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Probably like Wilmington, Andover, Tewksbury...... Expand Snowiest is Tewksbury. The only problem is its part of the Billerica Triangle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:23 PM, DotRat_Wx said: Do you have an option of where? Or you looking in specific town? Expand I'm from Wilmington, so that area....I would mind further west, but I need to commute to Chelsea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Probably like Wilmington, Andover, Tewksbury...... Expand Nice. My little bro went to Merrimack in North Andover, which tended to be pretty snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:27 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Nice. My little bro went to Merrimack in North Andover, which tended to be pretty snowy. Expand I went to Mack to finish degree. It was outstanding. Andover is definitely a place I'd like to end up in. I'd like further west and a little more elevation ideally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am likely moving this year....non weather related, but welcomed from a weather POV. Expand Welcome to Tolland 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:27 PM, DotRat_Wx said: I went to Mack to finish degree. It was outstanding. Andover is definitely a place I'd like to end up in. I'd like further west and a little more elevation ideally. Expand Nice Main streets too in both Andover and North Andover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 9:47 PM, Ginx snewx said: I d take RGEM Expand Crazy how every model skunks us with flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 8:34 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Honestly, I'll take a soaker, at this point....anything but this- Kevin's delusions of Sou 'Easters have never looked so appealing....if you don't look at the screen name next to the post, you lure your interest into being piqued. Expand Delusional? We had damaging soueasters right thru Xmas Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm from Wilmington, so that area....I would mind further west, but I need to commute to Chelsea. Expand Snow is worth the trade in traffic. On 1/23/2021 at 10:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Crazy how every model skunks us with flurries Expand This winter has really gotten to you. Typically you'd be using that map to claim 3-6 region-wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:35 PM, moneypitmike said: Snow is worth the trade in traffic. This winter has really gotten to you. Typically you'd be using that map to claim 3-6 region-wide. Expand Please just be summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:35 PM, moneypitmike said: Snow is worth the trade in traffic. This winter has really gotten to you. Typically you'd be using that map to claim 3-6 region-wide. Expand Very true. Maybe even 4-8 S of Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Lots of small steps in the wrong direction for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Please just be summer Expand Fire up the lawn thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 GFS and Ensemble mean are still trending correctly. Rest of the suite needs to start making adjustments at a quicker pace! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 10:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Please just be summer Expand GFS and ICON get us some snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Icon is really the only model that holds snow together to the eastern MA/RI region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 First Call for Tuesday and an update for the still unlikely Thursday event. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/potentially-more-ominous-mid-winter.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 For Thursday, we want the Rockies ridge to be taller, which needs a deeper trough west of California, which is influenced by the annoying meso-low near Kodiak Island, which is affected by the low coming off of Siberia...it's an endless chain! If we can finesse just one variable in the equation...anyway, it's a real long shot, I will toss in the towel if 0z Monday doesn't show big improvements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 yeah no this GFS run is again showing inconsistent handling of the eastern Canada and conjoining western limb of the NAO domain eddy - 00z the GFS had limited to no SPV fragmentation/interaction dropping in... 06z teensy bit more...12z adds another pinch ..now this one tries to bring it down again... Which is pushing this out because there's no way given the speed surplus of the jets involved can that capture and phase - so the only other option is to kick - but, we still have 120 hours to iron this out and that handling of the NAO space dictates what pushes that shit south vs leaves this thing along... Alone I feel it has enough to correct N in time, and the ridge, W, is positioning near the Dakotas and that is climate friendly to an EC strikes. ... The other aspect is that the entrance region for the escaping jet fields off the EC are probably being flattened by said -NAO exertion... Hence the due east motion of the deep layer... All of which is open to modulation in my mind but - that's not a forecast. Just a suggestion of what to look for on these next few runs. When something of a bit more power got ingested into the grids/initialization of the 00z ..that's when this began to look better back east for storm enthusiasts. A stronger realization would help the lead S/W ridge rollout ..and feed back - ways to go here... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 11:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: First Call for Tuesday and an update for the still unlikely Thursday event. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/potentially-more-ominous-mid-winter.html Expand Looks about right locally. MOTS and MOTSOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 On 1/23/2021 at 11:03 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: For Thursday, we want the Rockies ridge to be taller, which needs a deeper trough west of California, which is influenced by the annoying meso-low near Kodiak Island, which is affected by the low coming off of Siberia...it's an endless chain! If we can finesse just one variable in the equation...anyway, it's a real long shot, I will toss in the towel if 0z Monday doesn't show big improvements. Expand We kind of need the Rockies ridge to be over the Rockies, and not MN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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