Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Your ceiling is higher than that. It’s a fine like between shredded flurries and perhaps a nice solid advisory band there. What’s NE CT ceiling. Here to Ginx? Flurries today nil? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Yep this one is done Winter ****ing suck This would be an epic pattern if there wasn't alot of blocking. Be careful what you wish for with a negative NAO. Can someone give him a timeout? It's OK if you hit permanent by mistake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What’s NE CT ceiling. Here to Ginx? Flurries today nil? Not optimistic there or for Ginxy. Too far east. It’s possible that advisory snows happen that far northeast but we’d need to see something more like the Ukie or one of the JV models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I'm not getting hopes up too much with it. I'd like to see the euro a little more on board and closer to the GFS. It's still a miss, but something like that at least allows some wiggles NW. Maybe I'm just delusional with hope. LOL. What about some cold weather? That's all I want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Definitely a northward trend for that second event on the Euro OP last 4 runs. Doubt this turns into a big event for us... probably a SNE scraper with a sharp cutoff. Something is better than nothing though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Not optimistic there or for Ginxy. Too far east. It’s possible that advisory snows happen that far northeast but we’d need to see something more like the Ukie or one of the JV models. Yup. Flurries . Congrats Run and WW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not optimistic there or for Ginxy. Too far east. It’s possible that advisory snows happen that far northeast but we’d need to see something more like the Ukie or one of the JV models. Like our area for some light snow, but could also see this just vaporizing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Yeah... agree with Scott re the GEFs... Noting the spread at TT is over the NW arc - tends to incline where the correction is more likely to occur in future cycles... I would also remind as I am sure for those with experience would concur ...this is a candidate for the N correction if I've ever seen one. And seeing the Euro outside of it's wheel-house trend even a little is right on that... Next run's a litttle more? Than a again...then we're in..and we're still over the 4 D threshold.. It eerily portends to this member smear .. We'll see - I too am not immune to the rigors of a punishing ennui/uninsprired atmosphere at least excuse imagined persistence ..but, struggling to maintain objectivity as it may be to do so.. I cannot preclude this thing not striking N of the M/A proper latitudes. This is all at this point predicated on the assumption that the -NAO exertion/suppressed storm track is being handled exact ... very sensitive however. Slight nuanced if yet even undetectable to the almost 'unaided' eye may mean critical 3 deg latitude in pass ... and to re-iterate, big systems move small amounts and that involves disproportionately larger areas. Plus, this 12z GFS still looks like an OES meso concern for eastern Mass and SE NH/Cape ..That's a very cold antecedent air mass on a long shore wind getting set in there and I suspect that's grits everywhere in 22 F sting...with some streamers to 1/2 mi visibility ... Too detailed for this range?? absolutely...but it goes along with the trope about 'not focusing on the eye of the hurricane' - this is the most powerful system of the season and appears with these subtle ridge alterations ...mm, sneaking up as a hemispherically footed deal - whether this hit or not... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 10 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I will take 2" at this point, all this "cold" air and nothing but bare ground....at least we could sublimate our 2 inches and not Swiss cheese the soil I would but if it is a detriment to a more regionwide event for the 28th, hard pass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Nice event for NNE in clown range on the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Like our area for some light snow, but could also see this just vaporizing. Enjoy 6+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 EPS improved for 1/29. Not just over 06z but also over 00z (which has been a little better than 06z) 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Nice event for NNE in clown range on the Euro. Thank goodness. We may have meltdowns if it goes more than a few days without snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Why can’t we get a Dec17 north trend going... We can, we will. Big storms almost always come further north than modeled at this time range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah... agree with Scott re the GEFs... Noting the spread at TT is over the NW arc - tends to incline where the correction is more likely to occur in future cycles... I would also remind as I am sure for those with experience would concur ...this is a candidate for the N correction if I've ever seen one. And seeing the Euro outside of it's wheel-house trend even a little is right on that... Next run's a litttle more? Than a again...then we're in..and we're still over the 4 D threshold.. It eerily portends to this member smear .. We'll see - I too am not immune to the rigors of a punishing ennui/uninsprired atmosphere at least excuse imagined persistence ..but, struggling to maintain objectivity as it may be to do so.. I cannot preclude this thing not striking N of the M/A proper latitudes. This is all at this point predicated on the assumption that the -NAO exertion/suppressed storm track is being handled exact ... very sensitive however. Slight nuanced if yet even undetectable to the almost 'unaided' eye may mean critical 3 deg latitude in pass ... and to re-iterate, big systems move small amounts and that involves disproportionately larger areas. Plus, this 12z GFS still looks like an OES meso concern for eastern Mass and SE NH/Cape ..That's a very cold antecedent air mass on a long shore wind getting set in there and I suspect that's grits everywhere in 22 F sting...with some streamers to 1/2 mi visibility ... Too detailed for this range?? absolutely...but it goes along with the trope about 'not focusing on the eye of the hurricane' - this is the most powerful system of the season and appears with these subtle ridge alterations ...mm, sneaking up as a hemispherically footed deal - whether this hit or not... Can someone post this map with a larger image? Also, you can get this on TT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: We can, we will. Big storms almost always come further north than modeled at this time range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 This seems like a mid-atlantic special, with the ridge axis over the plains. Trying to not be looped in by the select few GEFS members which bring major amounts to SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 53 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Thank goodness. We may have meltdowns if it goes more than a few days without snowing. LOL. You would be melting, too, without that 2' pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: This seems like a mid-atlantic special, with the ridge axis over the plains. Trying to not be looped in by the select few GEFS members which bring major amounts to SNE I agree....but 3rd and long here...better than onside kicks rest of season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Could you imagine if Tip could condense his thoughts into a 4 point summary? One sentence per point. Under 100 words per sentence. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I agree....but 3rd and long here...better than onside kicks rest of season. This is a legit big kahuna for them... makes me insane. No measurable since mid-December, but now Baltimore gets a foot? Unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: This is a legit big kahuna for them... makes me insane. No measurable since mid-December, but now Baltimore gets a foot? Unreal It's the Jan 2000 I was waiting for. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 6 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: This seems like a mid-atlantic special, with the ridge axis over the plains. Trying to not be looped in by the select few GEFS members which bring major amounts to SNE This reminds me of the Jan 30 2010 event that hit the mid-Atlantic region while attending the 125th Blue Hill Observatory anniversary. Kocin and Uccellini were wondering if they would get back into Baltimore, while we were sucking exhaust here in arctic cold from that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 Pats miss PS, Deshaun Watson to either Jets or Dolphins, and 5 weeks and counting w no snow during heart of boreal winter. #REGRESSION 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's the Jan 2000 I was waiting for. Yeah, this is a mid-Atlantic special cut from the cloth of 1979 and the 1980s and 2000s, not the 2016s and 2010s. I should really learn though, that whenever we have these -5 sd AOs, the mid-Atlantic bears the brunt of the Archambault event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, Henry's Weather said: Yeah, this is a mid-Atlantic special cut from the cloth of 1979 and the 1980s and 2000s, not the 2016s and 2010s. I should really learn though, that whenever we have these -5 sd AOs, the mid-Atlantic bears the brunt of the Archambault event. They haven’t had snow since 2016 lol. They’re due for a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Thank goodness. We may have meltdowns if it goes more than a few days without snowing. It's been better up there but I wouldn't exactly say Nne is killing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 People make it sound like them getting a major snow is unprecedented. They’ve had a snow drought for 5 years. They’re regressing in the + direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Continue to see heights rise in Alaska towards the end of the ensemble runs...maybe February won't be so bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: They haven’t had snow since 2016 lol. They’re due for a good event. Yeah, excuse my weenie goggles. Just a frustrating pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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