tamarack Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: It's not a torch. IDK - we're 9.2° AN so far and our warmest January (2006) was 7.9° AN. This despite never getting up to 40. CAR is running +13, looks torchy to me. Today will make 29 AN days in the past 30, and only the few clear calm nighttime hours this month on the 12th allowed radiation sufficient to make that day -1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ginx says grab the toboggan. We had 3 here in 2015 and you being a new helicopter parent was afraid of letting your kid get a bump or 2. Glad to see you matured this Dec with the first 3 inch storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: One of the fraud fives. Yup. along with the old anafrontal. Although I seem to remember during the February snow blitz in 15 that most got a foot plus from an anafrotnal. But that year, any one of the frauds came through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: One of the fraud fives. Ask SWCT , SME about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I am on board. This is a very strong signal for an intense period of snow which could easily lay down a couple quick inches. The guy in Methuen isn't interested don't let that color your judgement. Good luck. I hope you get enough for the Toboggan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Ask SWCT , SME about that. Its one of the fraud five's No need to ask anyone, They don't grow on trees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good luck. I hope you get enough for the Toboggan. Cruel, you know I am grounded but wouldn't expect less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, WhitinsvilleWX said: Yup. along with the old anafrontal. Although I seem to remember during the February snow blitz in 15 that most got a foot plus from an anafrotnal. But that year, any one of the frauds came through. Never an anafrontal event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Total Totals in the low 60s tomorrow....that is really impressive. I definitely wouldn't be shocked to see someone get lucky down south with a couple inches. Max DGZ is around 800mb too, so that is going to help too. There's actually a lot of WINDEX parameters satisfied in this...big time TTs, huge LI spike, LL moisture, good PVA, etc. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: Never an anafrontal event here. I've had one notable norlun/inverted trough pan out here in the last 10 years (2013). Really tough to be in the right location, but I guess some areas are slightly more favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: I've had one notable norlun/inverted trough pan out here in the last 10 years (2013). Really tough to be in the right location, but I guess some areas are slightly more favored. Mid coast down to York are the areas here that see them, Very rare for my locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: I've had one notable norlun/inverted trough pan out here in the last 10 years (2013). Really tough to be in the right location, but I guess some areas are slightly more favored. I remember that one...late March 2013. I think it may have been 3/21-22. Tomorrow isn't really a norlun per say...it's not stationary long enough, but it's more of a WINDEX look for a good chunk of the region south of the pike. It looks best closer to the south coast but can't rule out some decent squalls as far north as pike region. Your area may get something if lucky. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 37 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What's fraudulent about it? We're all sitting at close to +8 MTD. That's a torch by any definition. It’s been enjoyable outside , except Saturday’s rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Cruel, you know I am grounded but wouldn't expect less. Nothing personal about that. Sorry if you took it that way. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Will, that is an intense shortwave moving through the northern stream over WI and MN right now. Models have been trending towards a stronger vort max and a faster in timing negative tilting shortwave trough. If it tilts before reaching NYC, we are in trouble and could see a hefty band of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Will, that is an intense shortwave moving through the northern stream over WI and MN right now. Models have been trending towards a stronger vort max and a faster in timing negative tilting shortwave trough. If it tilts before reaching NYC, we are in trouble and could see a hefty band of snow! How intense is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 I’m selling snow here tomorrow... maybe on the beaches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: How intense is it? That is a good question, but the imagery on water vapor looks quite decent. Judging by experience. If you want facts, well it is a discernible piece of energy on all guidance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Hey Bob, should we put together a separate observations thread since it will be snowing for places the next three days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is there enough to sled today? Stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 ha ha... over that? man, just wonder - could aspects ever become so dire, that an obs thread gets fired up over the prospect of a cumulus cloud. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Hey Bob, should we put together a separate observations thread since it will be snowing for places the next three days? Not really warranted, If we go by your definition, we should have a thread every day for NNE upslope snows. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Nothing personal about that. Sorry if you took it that way. My bad. Twas a joke Ray lol you know me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: One of the fraud fives. They’re real when they happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Total Totals in the low 60s tomorrow....that is really impressive. I definitely wouldn't be shocked to see someone get lucky down south with a couple inches. Max DGZ is around 800mb too, so that is going to help too. There's actually a lot of WINDEX parameters satisfied in this...big time TTs, huge LI spike, LL moisture, good PVA, etc. Let's hope HRRR isn't out to lunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Never an anafrontal event here. in Massachusetts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: ha ha... over that? man, just wonder - could aspects ever become so dire, that an obs thread gets fired up over the prospect of a cumulus cloud. Hey Tip, I am sorry, your hood is not in line for anything weather wise the next seven days, but that does not mean the southerners in the region won't get impacted. The coastal storm is close enough that I am going to monitor the latest and Worcester is getting snow showers right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its one of the fraud five's No need to ask anyone, They don't grow on trees. GYX mentioned one today, you should call them out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You know ( or perhaps more apropos, 'don't wanna know' ), the climate reports, from observation to science/prediction and back ... all have been saying that the ballast of the global warming signal has been captured in fact by the nocturnal numbers. Last summer... now... I mean, this is all consistent with that, whether it is coincidental or not. It's probably some of both. I mean, GW happens in decimals... It took a century to go up 2 C or whatever it is... point being, we got to be +10 on the lows if we're +4 on highs or whatever in order to sustain a +7 at ORH ...that's not GW ... obviously .. ( man I'm bored today LOL ) .. else we be in trouble As has been said before, it's all about equilibrium. I'd be curious what the other side of the globe (Russia, Siberia, northern China) is showing for BN thermals during our torch. Less than two weeks ago, Beijing had its lowest temperature in over 50 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ha ha... over that? man, just wonder - could aspects ever become so dire, that an obs thread gets fired up over the prospect of a cumulus cloud. Ten pages of "It looks like a bunny now!" "No, a frog!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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