CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 15 minutes ago, BrianW said: The irony is that it has been chilly across the south. The Nina that wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, weatherwiz said: Not sure I'd use "cold" to describe the pattern. It's more like moderated junk or just meh. Outside of some brief cold shots there doesn't look to be any true cold and certainly nothing sustaining. Right now, the pattern sucks and blows....next week, it just blows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: TPV shreds and squashes every storm on the 12z runs. We are left with a cold and dry pattern with snow showers. We could get skunked...it’s always a possibility. Yesterday showed us how it can be if things can break right. Today is showing us what happens if they don’t break right. Be prepared for either scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, BrianW said: That's the tweet I was talking about! Didn't even realize it came from BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Maybe there’s a shot at a Norlun next week with the suppressed lows extending an arm? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 Kind of a morbid curiosity as the how long the region can avoid snow in a fair to now good pattern....going to be over a month and counting.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Prepare for more bad luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 25 minutes ago, BrianW said: With such little ice cover on the GL, we could be seeing the lake effect snows extending even into March this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Ray and you in NNE threads, so sad you 2 are so broken That machine is almost as powerful at melting as this forum. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Kind of a morbid curiosity as the how long the region can avoid snow in a fair to now good pattern....going to be over a month and counting.... Didn’t you just say the pattern sucks and blows now, and next week it just blows? So blows means good lol? I’m A tad confused. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: With such little ice cover on the GL, we could be seeing the lake effect snows extending even into March this year. there was a sizable LES event I think end of Feb or early March last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Prepare for more bad luck Very well could be....have to account for it no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Didn’t you just say the pattern sucks and blows now, and next week it just blows? So blows means good lol? I’m A tad confused. I was being sarcastic. The pattern does not blow, however, the sensible weather as presently modeled does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was being sarcastic. The pattern does not blow, however, the sensible weather as presently modeled does. The GFS sure shows a depiction that blows lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 GEM blows with the clipper, too. Its also burying the SW energy. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I was being sarcastic. The pattern does not blow, however, the sensible weather as presently modeled does. Ok gotcha. I’m not too worried about an OP run 5-7 days out. I know the ensembles stepped back some last night on next Friday...but we’re 7 days out, I mean that’s an eternity. Who knows..no worries either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Wills gone. All anyone needs to know 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 GEM maybe the most horrendous solution yet with regard to the sw energy....Retrogrades it into the Pacific. May pork the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEM maybe the most horrendous solution yet with regard to the sw energy....Retrogrades it into the Pacific. Lol...she gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: Lol...she gone. It ejected right out to make sure we had the Grinch in December....what a cursed season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 31 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not sure I'd use "cold" to describe the pattern. It's more like moderated junk or just meh. Outside of some brief cold shots there doesn't look to be any true cold and certainly nothing sustaining. Next week isn't a start of a colder period? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 137 pages and 0.00" of snow to show for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: We could get skunked...it’s always a possibility. Yesterday showed us how it can be if things can break right. Today is showing us what happens if they don’t break right. Be prepared for either scenario. no way, you said the goods were coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 I don't think this is a good pattern frankly - It may help our collective 'consternation'/frustration factor if we stopped dressing it up that way. That instills an expectation? And it may just be one that ... quite frankly appears to be faux if trend has any objective usefulness to anyone. Eventually, it's hard to refute consistency - lol. Seriously though.. Gee wiz. For every passing day and week of culminating bad model performance and unrealized verification, we keep bangin' a great pattern drum. It starts to look like its nothing more than tranced visions in medicine paint dancing around a tribal fire - I, and probably NCEP ... heh, have been noting that running a blocky 55th+ hemisphere over top of raging HC/compression ... is a modeling nightmare. Well, maybe ...just maybe that also means the pattern is a nightmare ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Next week isn't a start of a colder period? Compared to the last two weeks? Wouldn't take much to be colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2021 Author Share Posted January 15, 2021 ICON buries that SW energy, too now...which is a change from last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 25 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Prepare for more bad luck 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 The 80s were great otherwise. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 137 pages and 0.00" of snow to show for it. Has ever been so much written about so little??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 15, 2021 Share Posted January 15, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Wasn't he a former Browns 1st round pick???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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