dryslot Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Miller B on the 12z Euro around the 22nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Miller B on the 12z Euro around the 22nd. Nice signal for a storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Miller B on the 12z Euro around the 22nd. Yea, that period of the first legit threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Kind of a SWFE on roids then late bloomer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, that period of the first legit threat. Now if we can keep it on the models/ensembles for another 8 or so days, Ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Kind of a SWFE on roids then late bloomer. Hybrid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Wow interior areas crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kind of a SWFE on roids then late bloomer. That is the legit upside that we were talking about. Note how it goes from the 1001 to 990mb in 6 hours under LI.....that is what you want for good banding, as the rate of deepening is due to the mid levels coming together. You don't need to see a 960mb low for a major storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Playing with fire has its advantages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Miami Rule ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 James gulf stream infusion on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 Looks like the difference was that the SW energy was more proficiently ejected into the N stream energy that came over the EPO ridge...the SW energy was more lethargic in joining the fray on 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 It’s coming. The jumpers have 8 days to go to get back on the train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Miami Rule ... I think if the heights crash enough, we can alleviate that, somewhat....like a mini 2015 type deal....the gradient is displaced more to the south that run, since the ambient heights are so low in the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Looked like another one was going to be behind the 22nd as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 Ends up like a mini 3/5/01. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think if the heights crash enough, we can alleviate that, somewhat....like a mini 2015 type deal....the gradient is displaced more to the south that run, since the ambient heights are so low in the NE. yeah it's doable ...just a little leery because what you're suggesting - or any other way for that matter... - is a helluva a lot of engineering schematics to fumble around with that perfect sequencing - yeah no problem right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: yeah it's doable ...just a little leery because what you're suggesting - or any other way for that matter... - is a helluva a lot of engineering schematic to fumble around with perfect sequencing - yeah no problem right? LOL Right...this run is obviously the ceiling..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Looks pretty weeniesh at the end at h5 in the nao and epo regions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 It's so diametrical how this engagement works ... perceptional matters. It's really deeper than hell or higher the heaven. When shits not working out in here, ...Satan's taking notes to up his/her game by example hiding envy - lol... God would to prefer save civilities from Cosmic Ray Burst doom ... if he/she only knew how to get one of these godforsaken D8 Euro fantasies to stem-wind the host galaxy in order to save that world - 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is the legit upside that we were talking about. Note how it goes from the 1001 to 990mb in 6 hours under LI.....that is what you want for good banding, as the rate of deepening is due to the mid levels coming together. You don't need to see a 960mb low for a major storm. The biggest snowfall of my experience, 26.5" on 3/14-15/1984, had bar. 30.40 at the start and 30.10 at the end (on a cheap instrument). The storm had relatively light wind, but I can't recall another major storm with pressure that high and so little change from start to finish. It came on the heels of very cold HP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kind of a SWFE on roids then late bloomer. We had one like that in '15 right? Dumped like 20-25" on eastern Mass if I recall. Long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, tamarack said: The biggest snowfall of my experience, 26.5" on 3/14-15/1984, had bar. 30.40 at the start and 30.10 at the end (on a cheap instrument). The storm had relatively light wind, but I can't recall another major storm with pressure that high and so little change from start to finish. It came on the heels of very cold HP. I had about 18" that run....won't bother with the map unless this is there through the weekend- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 nice, just got out of a meeting and looked at the EURO.. 23rd gaining some small tiny legs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Just now, Hoth said: We had one like that in '15 right? Dumped like 20-25" on eastern Mass if I recall. Long duration. The one I was thinking of, was 2/2/15. That was after the superbowl. South coast mixed, but went back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 wow...yeah, that's really managing perfection through them 3 days leading... every aspect has to be timed quintessentially just - It's not physically impossible, obviously. What this run is doing is a partial subsume... It's blasing a S / stream wave really hyper quickly ripping along the 37th parallel, and it is so fast that the N / stream only delivers half it's genetic material ... this is cyclone should end up with Down's Syndrome and - wait ... what... Wrong class... But you can see that closed 522 dm contour up there straddling the Can/U.S. border left behind after the partial phase... ? that's some of the N/stream late to the party... It's like it starts to infuse, and then the translation speed of the S wave rips the union away before it is complete. Oh, right! It's a blue-balls winter storm - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 Anyways, the EPS has sort of shown this on several runs. Certainly viable with that EPO S/W diving into the Plains. Like we said yesterday, if that block goes, it's Coconut rum runners for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2021 Author Share Posted January 14, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Anyways, the EPS has sort of shown this on several runs. Certainly viable with that EPO S/W diving into the Plains. Like we said yesterday, if that block goes, it's Coconut rum runners for all. I don't think that block is going anywhere....more worried about the SW lu--- ah, chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The one I was thinking of, was 2/2/15. That was after the superbowl. South coast mixed, but went back to snow. I was just thinking of that storm when I saw the Euro....reminded me of 2/2/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 14, 2021 Share Posted January 14, 2021 26 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s coming. The jumpers have 8 days to go to get back on the train. That's what she said. in all seriousness, I'll believe it when I shovel it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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