WinterWolf Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 4:37 PM, MJO812 said: We will see alot of this if a negative PNA and negative EPO develops. Expand I don’t mind that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Maybe Saturday can work out for out here. A couple inches is better than nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 3:28 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It hasn't been more than 8 degrees from freezing in Boston since Christmas. Expand 12/31 was 45˚ at KBOS, and 42˚ several more days … but yes, very stable. From what I can tell, the 18˚ temp range at KBOS is the lowest such range for the first 11 days of Jan on record. And not likely to change much soon, either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 The crap start to 2021 causing the ncep models to malfunction? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 5:10 PM, ariof said: 12/31 was 45˚ at KBOS, and 42˚ several more days … but yes, very stable. From what I can tell, the 18˚ temp range at KBOS is the lowest such range for the first 11 days of Jan on record. And not likely to change much soon, either. Expand At least the weather seems stable these days. Hope remains alive heading past about 1/20 or so. There's no black hole over AK or Greenland, so we may as well root for snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 3:14 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We still need to see how long the neg NAO/AO remains.....I still feel like it goes in February, but we'll see. Expand If memory serves (probably not) haven't some of our larger storms come during a weakening phase of a - NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just curious what teleconnections did we have for the 2014-2015 winter because as we all know it was very epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 5:41 PM, UnitedWx said: If memory serves (probably not) haven't some of our larger storms come during a weakening phase of a - NAO Expand Yes, though you tend to get more of them when the NAO is going INTO the negative phase. But 1/12/11 was when the big NAO block early that month was breaking down. Ditto Feb 2006 and Blizzard of '96 off the top of my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 5:48 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yes, though you tend to get more of them when the NAO is going INTO the negative phase. But 1/12/11 was when the big NAO block early that month was breaking down. Ditto Feb 2006 and Blizzard of '96 off the top of my head. Expand Blizzard of '96 was the one I was thinking about specifically now that you mention it. Several years ago someone had posted a chart showing the state of the Atlantic during some of our more memorable storms. It made it clear how much more than just the Atlantic is needed to work things out. Seems to get forgotten here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 5:46 PM, leo2000 said: Just curious what teleconnections did we have for the 2014-2015 winter because as we all know it was very epic. Expand This one... 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 5:30 PM, NorEastermass128 said: At least the weather seems stable these days. Hope remains alive heading past about 1/20 or so. There's no black hole over AK or Greenland, so we may as well root for snow chances. Expand At least the ground should remain frozen so we don't lose the first few inches of anything that does fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 wait, did the GFS run today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:04 PM, 512high said: wait, did the GFS run today? Expand Yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:04 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Yes. Expand ok TY, same old same old then.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 Quick update on the pattern moving forward..... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/mid-month-pattern-change-signals-active.html 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:45 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Quick update on the pattern moving forward..... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/mid-month-pattern-change-signals-active.html Expand Thank you, I always enjoy reading these. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:06 PM, 512high said: ok TY, same old same old then.... Expand It's still stuck on hr 198. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:45 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Quick update on the pattern moving forward..... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/mid-month-pattern-change-signals-active.html Expand I'll take a couple straight weeks of winter. Hopefully a good couple of hits during it. If its good enough the memory of it will make many of us consider it one of those winters of yore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:50 PM, CoastalWx said: It's still stuck on hr 198. Expand NCEP has the full 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 5:46 PM, leo2000 said: Just curious what teleconnections did we have for the 2014-2015 winter because as we all know it was very epic. Expand Epic PNA/EPO aided cross polar flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 I mean the 6 weeks from the end of January to the end of February 2015 defined the entire winter. Meantime, December and January (until that last week) were awful. March was OK. But we recall just that one stretch as if it ran from Halloween to May Day. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:53 PM, J Paul Gordon said: I mean the 6 weeks from the end of January to the end of February 2015 defined the entire winter. Meantime, December and January (until that last week) were awful. March was OK. But we recall just that one stretch as if it ran from Halloween to May Day. Expand March was good south of the pike....it sucked up here. Cold and dry...epic pack just slowly fossilized and eroded under the strengthening March sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:50 PM, CoastalWx said: It's still sucks at hr 198. Expand And for all the other hours too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Potential analog? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 H5 is there on TT. Nothing really to see but just know that...the next threat is always 10 days away. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1/18 and 1/20-21 are the two shortwaves I'd watch at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 5:57 PM, weathafella said: This one... Expand The wife thought I was on pornhub again. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 6:55 PM, MaineJayhawk said: And for all the other hours too Expand Looks like NCEP has it, but not so on other vendor sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Hopefully that cutter-looking thing on Saturday is cold enough for snow here. Looks close at the moment. This should be the kind of event where my location helps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 -EPO and -NAO pattern on the euro now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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