40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2021 Author Share Posted January 9, 2021 I'm sure Cohen will update the AER blog on Monday to let us all know that he verified via the snow in Madrid and TX. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Only 10 more days! We just keep pushing it 10 days everyday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2021 Author Share Posted January 9, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: We just keep pushing it 10 days everyday. The winter treadmill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The winter treadmill. Get me to the 16-20th and if were still looking for 10 days............. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 What are we pushing back to ten days? The pattern change is still around on the models for next week Friday/Saturday no matter the type of storm that hits. Cutters are notorious for pattern changing systems. There is a strong amplifying northern stream disturbance over the Midwest around 84 hours that needs to be watched. Seems to be our next weather maker. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 18 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: EPS improved FWIW Doesn't look all that much different from 12z yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: No, there were two houses in Southbridge, both closed. I go to Webster now if I want to bowl. Did you go to the Hipp or American? American sounds familiar. Long time ago but candle pin was fun. Good call by 40/70... the Candlepin Pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 So of the big 3 ensemble products, hope that GEPS is wrong as it repigs at the end. GEFS were the most weenieish. EPS was good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 24 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What are we pushing back to ten days? The pattern change is still around on the models for next week Friday/Saturday no matter the type of storm that hits. Cutters are notorious for pattern changing systems. There is a strong amplifying northern stream disturbance over the Midwest around 84 hours that needs to be watched. Seems to be our next weather maker. Exactly It has always been mid month. What a bunch of naughty weenies on here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All that is saying is the GEFS are more favorable than the EPS, which is actually not what you want. No.. It's not saying that. It is showing both models and what they are forecasting ( not that one is more favorable than the other, that is a toss up until we know which one is correct ). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2021 Author Share Posted January 9, 2021 15 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: No.. It's not saying that. It is showing both models and what they are forecasting ( not that one is more favorable than the other, that is a toss up until we know which one is correct ). Can you read? The tweet indicates that the GEFS is more favorable. It says GEFS have more ridging over AK, a more classic NAO and is thus colder over N America. It's clear that the GEFS is more favorable, regardless of what actually verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is an interesting look next weekend. Much better than before. Scott, earlier this am, I think "Walt "suggested maybe something to watch Monday (week from this coming one), what you are seeing for next weekend, same thing just earlier? or possibly two different events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, 512high said: Scott, earlier this am, I think "Walt "suggested maybe something to watch Monday (week from this coming one), what you are seeing for next weekend, same thing just earlier? or possibly two different events? I think anything is more next weekend and beyond. Quiet week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 Warm and dry week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: We just keep pushing it 10 days everyday. Pushing it right to May 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 Just took my dog for a walk---you know the winter sucks when it's the second week of January and she's trying to break free to chase bunnies. Ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 2 hours ago, Henry's Weather said: Talk of candlepin bowling in the general January thread... not a great sign I'd say Better than golf talk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 There is a miller B potential around the 13/14th period which is Wednesday or Thursday next week. An amplifying northern stream shortwave trough moves through the Great Lakes Tuesday/Wednesday and then off the Mid Atlantic coast around DE on Wednesday/Thursday,. Models handle the system differently. We will have a definite answer in 60 hours as the energy comes onshore the West Coast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 I don’t recall dryslot this shook Jerry, send him your THC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I don’t recall dryslot this shook Jerry, send him your THC I'm all set Hoss. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: American sounds familiar. Long time ago but candle pin was fun. Good call by 40/70... the Candlepin Pattern. Grew up on Mohegan bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 The 18z GFS likes the Euro's idea of a cutter thru Buffalo on the 19th. We are used to 10d cutters verifying while 10d snowstorms disappear into a black hole. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 9, 2021 Share Posted January 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: The 18z GFS likes the Euro's idea of a cutter thru Buffalo on the 19th. We are used to 10d cutters verifying while 10d snowstorms disappear into a black hole. Or 10d snowstorms turning into cutters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 18z v16 likes a hugger in that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z v16 likes a hugger in that period. A cutter would bring some epic melts in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: A cutter would bring some epic melts in here. Sure would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Melt after melt after melt. Melts and melts and melts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Melt after melt after melt. Melts and melts and melts No snow on snow. Let’s do melt on melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Only 348 days +\- until the 2021 Grinch storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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