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While we did not see the end results we would have liked to see for a more confident forecast and therefore a stronger storm signal on the 00z runs, the EURO did show a more substantial change to the evolution at H5.  Interesting regardless of what ends up happening in the end.  We have a good 96 hours until the low hits the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

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I wouldn't worry much about suppression IMO. The fact that ridging develops near the coast of western NAMR usually isn't something to whiff, especially with a tad of ridging off the SE coast like the EPS has. Sure some storms may not always hit and whiff....but I don't see this as a "whiff" pattern.

 

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ha, I looked at guidance and was like sweet....even the op runs. They showed quite a bit of storms.  This weekend is gone, but the 11-12 or whatever is in play on the ensembles.

Right, the pattern looks good, but the results were underwhelming.  Did you not understand what I wrote?

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