TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Let’s see what the EPS looks like? Probably similar.... we’ve got larger scale issues at play here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Probably similar.... we’ve got larger scale issues at play here It doesn’t look bad 186 hour H5 eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Day 5 threat is probably gone unless there is a large scale shift. Day 7-8 is definitely still viable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 33 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: You would have loved the ice storm I just experienced... Damaging... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Day 5 threat is probably gone unless there is a large scale shift. Day 7-8 is definitely still viable. Funny .. I was just taking note of both the GEPs and GEFs ensemble spread and in both cases, the only uncertainty is along the axis of motion on out to sea... Heh, you can speed 'er up or slow 'er down, but you ain't gettin' 'er no closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Multiple model ensemble guidance suggest the second half of January is MUCH colder with a cross polar going by then. As Steve says, get the cold, the snow will come. It’s a sweet look and there is great agreement across all ensemble guidance for a period of deep winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Yeah we take the EPS. That looks nice at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Multiple model ensemble guidance suggest the second half of January is MUCH colder with a cross polar going by then. As Steve says, get the cold, the snow will come. It’s a sweet look and there is great agreement across all ensemble guidance for a period of deep winter. Good cuz my 2” last night vaporized today under 38F mostly cloudy skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Good cuz my 2” last night vaporized today under 38F mostly cloudy skies. Sun angle.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Warm ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah we take the EPS. That looks nice at the end. Yeah that is getting real weenie-ish past D10....before that happens though, might get a real threat D8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 The January sun is stronger in 2021 then it was 2020. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that is getting real weenie-ish past D10....before that happens though, might get a real threat D8. Yeah should clarify, I didn't mean we wait until the end...just that it looked really nice right there. Anyways, day 8 certainly an option with some sort of Gulf low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Juuuuuuuuuuuuuust about time for the annual Countdown to May 1 thread. Fire up the epicosity Wiz !!! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: Warm ground. In all seriousness, it's amazing how green some of my grass is. Wish it had looked as good in August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: promise does not equate to dicey Exactly. I was kidding around cuz someone had said the next week threat held more promise. Although it did look like something could pop On the EPS come around day 8. Nice that the EPS is looking good for the mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Just now, PWMan said: In all seriousness, it's amazing how green some of my grass is. Wish it had looked as good in August. Its the several bouts of poor mans fertilizer we've had over the last month that the grinch brought as a gifts for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 minute ago, PWMan said: In all seriousness, it's amazing how green some of my grass is. Wish it had looked as good in August. Snow is the Poor mans fertilizer. Lots of nitrogen in it. That could be part of the reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah should clarify, I didn't mean we wait until the end...just that it looked really nice right there. Anyways, day 8 certainly an option with some sort of Gulf low. Yeah the pattern is conductive for threats the whole time, it just gets better and better as the run goes on....so even though we may have a legit threat for Jan 11-12....the hemispheric pattern for Jan 15 or Jan 18 looks better than the pattern for Jan 12th. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 7 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Better odds of Nesmith going for 40 in the next C's game......... Aaron or Mike? Mike was a believer . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2021 Author Share Posted January 4, 2021 28 minutes ago, TheBudMan said: Juuuuuuuuuuuuuust about time for the annual Countdown to May 1 thread. Fire up the epicosity Wiz !!! Nah. I think we are in for solid stretch and a decent winter all said. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 When Ray is bullish it's a good sign ! previous winters when you've been bullish you've been right on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2021 Author Share Posted January 4, 2021 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Snow is the Poor mans fertilizer. Lots of nitrogen in it. That could be part of the reason. It also insulates the ground if we ever get an arctic plunge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2021 Author Share Posted January 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, TheBudMan said: When Ray is bullish it's a good sign ! previous winters when you've been bullish you've been right on Except the past two...last year I was right about the quick start, and mid winter lull, but the pattern came back too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 41 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The January sun is stronger in 2021 then it was 2020. beautiful this morning....mud by 3 pm. That January 4th sun angle is a killer. Seeing posts about January 4th, 3 years ago, ready for a good snow threat, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2021 Author Share Posted January 4, 2021 I'm bullish in the sense that I buy into a favorable couple of weeks, but make no mistake about it, I don't expect Boston to get like 70" and I still think Feb is a torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 2015 was dead in the water at this point in time, too - .. heh And, since we've at last proven that the ENSO has no meaning any longer, we have just as much chance of something like that happening based on randomality at this point... weeeeee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 32 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Snow is the Poor mans fertilizer. Lots of nitrogen in it. That could be part of the reason. No different than rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: No different than rain Except the snow lasts longer..stays in place for days/weeks, where as rain evaporates more quickly. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2021 Author Share Posted January 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 2015 was dead in the water at this point in time, too - .. heh And, since we've at last proven that the ENSO has no meaning any longer, we have just as much chance of something like that happening based on randomality at this point... weeeeee ENSO is not meaningless IMO. It's not the prominent driver that it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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