BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 There’s only about 500 miles difference between the location of the GEFS TPV location at 144 and the Euros location. On the GEFS, it’s located over far northwestern ND and on the EPS it’s just about over the UP/Arrowhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 In fact, it’s not far off the 12 GEPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I wouldn’t discard it but I also wouldn’t let the GFS ruin anyone’s vibe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 In fact, it’s not far off the 12 GEPSWhat is the GEPS- it’s so hard to keep track of all these models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: What is the GEPS- it’s so hard to keep track of all these models The Canadian ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Y'all have been looking at the wrong models. Today's JMA is lit 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 JMA up close 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CustomWX Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, griteater said: Y'all have been looking at the wrong models. Today's JMA is lit Nah, The KMA model is where it's at! 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Alright guys, quit trying to be funny with the division-II models. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 0z icon has the system later next week , looks like an ICE event changing to Snow for N NC , S VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS moving the vortex east much quicker this run, should help move things back the other way from where it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS gives us another BOOM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Wow is all I got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, JoshM said: GFS gives us another BOOM! Improved GFS run for sure. It looks almost exactly like that JMA run that was chastised, except it wasn't quite as deep with the wave digging into Mexico 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Temps are fine as well, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, JoshM said: Temps are fine as well, Yeah, I can deal with snow with temps around 15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Jeshhhhh Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 This run is literally just short of the 12z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The Canadian CMC brings a 1064mb high into Montana (that will verify!) and suppresses everything into oblivion...it has a light wintry mix right on the Gulf Coast in Houston / New Orleans / Pensacola, then later across S Georgia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 This set up is just crazy in general. I’ve never followed anything like it in the last 20 years. If we don’t score it’ll be a travesty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, griteater said: The Canadian CMC brings a 1064mb high into Montana (that will verify!) and suppresses everything into oblivion...it has a light wintry mix right on the Gulf Coast in Houston / New Orleans / Pensacola, then later across S Georgia I’m more scared of that than I am the earlier GFS solutions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: This set up is just crazy in general. I’ve never followed anything like it in the last 20 years. If we don’t score it’ll be a travesty. I can’t think of a single good analog, you’re right. If this thing evolves like the euro showed at 12z, it may be a once in a generation type deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: This run is literally just short of the 12z euro. You are right, not too far off from each other with precip placement and type of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: I’m more scared of that than I am the earlier GFS solutions. It's possible if the TPV drops hard ahead of any waves that are digging into Mexico/Texas...we aren't there in the modeling yet though IMO except for the Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 LOL, the GFS extracted data is nuts for next Saturday. You just don’t see thirteen degrees and snow in this part of the world. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Jeshhhhh Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk That's wonky looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, griteater said: The Canadian CMC brings a 1064mb high into Montana (that will verify!) and suppresses everything into oblivion...it has a light wintry mix right on the Gulf Coast in Houston / New Orleans / Pensacola, then later across S Georgia Man, we walk a fine line in the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Learned tracking last weekend, that models had to adjust every cycle with tpv placement. Mostly ticking south every run. The press gets in the right sweet spot , its gonna be "Glory". Hopefully we are playing with house money after Sat/ sun event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, CaryWx said: That's wonky looking It's because there are 2 waves on the GFS...one Friday morning that is wintry west of the Apps, and the second one tracks into colder air east of the Apps on Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, griteater said: It's because there are 2 waves on the GFS...one Friday morning that is wintry west of the Apps, and the second one tracks into colder air east of the Apps on Saturday morning. Thanks grit. Makes sense now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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