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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021


jburns
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14 minutes ago, PantherJustin said:

Exactly, not to be rude.... but I’d take a 1-2” event and Be ecstatic I didn’t get that last year. And haven’t had anything over 1” since DEC 18 we get a couple good medium range runs and think we’re the Northeast or something lmao

Fair enough. Maybe it's because I've only lives in the south a few years (and have lucked out on several quality storms in that time), but I would much rather one cold 2" storm that sticks to everything than five 1" grass toppers. But I digress...

 

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Just now, BullCityWx said:

We're right at 33 here as well. It does fall in the middle of the night so that is always helpful.

Maybe we will see the models settle somewhere between the Nam and Euro which is less amped for the moment. It's a delicate balance because I feel like we need the better rates and heavier moisture to get some snow, but that's always going to bring some warmer air in too. 

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22 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

RGEM not amped like the NAM, but it's trending NW and stronger each run, maybe we can find a happy medium on the models. 

trend-rdps-2021020412-f066.prateptype.conus.gif

NAM was much closer to reality on the big storm last week, so we have that in our favor. NAM has actually preformed pretty well this winter overall. Was too aggressive on the early January storm but otherwise solid. The gfs also did well in final 72 hours leading into Eastern nc snow event so encouraging seeing that trend better.

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