RT1980 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: Hate to burst the bubble but sleet/zr will be on the table for most of the solutions that we see over the next few days I’m ok with that at this point, better than a cold rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, wake4est said: Lol I’ve seen this before. The GFS, from 4 years ago today for roughly the same time frame as the monster run from this afternoon. Here's my best one, from Dec 2018. Ended up with only about 3-3.5. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, sarcean said: "In the contiguous U.S. the highest barometric reading is 1064 millibars which was measured at Miles City, Montana, on December 24, 1983" So not impossile but extremely unlikely Most likely our excitement will be curbed shortly! I’ll say fun while it lasted but who knows? Still too far out. With my luck this one will probably deliver as I am closing on a house in a spot worse than Grayman and moving will be delayed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I’m ok with that at this point, better than a cold rain!^found the board member with a generatorI admire your fortitude but if this a long duration overrunning affair then someone very well could see an inch of ice followed by a once every 3-5 year cold snap and frankly I don’t know if I want to be that household 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, ILMRoss said: ^found the board member with a generator I admire your fortitude but if this a long duration overrunning affair then someone very well could see an inch of ice followed by a once every 3-5 year cold snap and frankly I don’t know if I want to be that household Yeah it’s a linked generator but we’re closing soon and would be moving! Don’t want to jinx the board though Sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Look like GEFs coming in better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Think I better start getting My Ice-O-Cane supplies in gear, check My Generator supplies.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Euro was well on its way to a memorable SE winter storm at 240. Long ways to go, but the 13-15th period definitely has potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Para gfs at 6z is big hit for this Sunday 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6z gfs also trending that way. Hopefully we see euro start to fold in today’s cycles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Sunday is close. Trend is our friend 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 hours ago, jrips27 said: Euro was well on its way to a memorable SE winter storm at 240. Long ways to go, but the 13-15th period definitely has potential. The control run dropped a ton of snow. Although how that is depicted in the Carolinas is kinda how I’d expect this to go given past history with these storms. There’s probably going to be a lot of ice for places like Whiteville and Florence and Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Maybe a 1979 Daytona 500 southeast snowstorm repeat next weekend for us. Hope the good model trends continue for us. Last night's models were a dream case scenario. Still Looking good this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 hours ago, jrips27 said: Euro was well on its way to a memorable SE winter storm at 240. Long ways to go, but the 13-15th period definitely has potential. In some ways I liked this Euro run even better that that big GFS run, especially how it dug the initial southern stream wave down into Mexico and the entire height pattern sunk south across the lower 48...that would give us some wiggle room for keeping the low track to the south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 All snow west of Highway 1 in NC. It finishes with about an inch of QPF with 850s around -12: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Also, for Sunday: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I feel like the models are trending better for Sunday. The Para Gfs that first latched onto the Jan 28th snow might lead the trend this time. I think today we will start to see the models make corrections NW and more precipitation over spreading the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, WXNewton said: I feel like the models are trending better for Sunday. The Para Gfs that first latched onto the Jan 28th snow might lead the trend this time. I think today we will start to see the models make corrections NW and more precipitation over spreading the region. Agreed. Icon for me as of right now gets full credit it’s been showing it for multiple runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 hours ago, HKY1894 said: 6z gfs also trending that way. Hopefully we see euro start to fold in today’s cycles 6Z Euro did just that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, WXNewton said: I feel like the models are trending better for Sunday. The Para Gfs that first latched onto the Jan 28th snow might lead the trend this time. I think today we will start to see the models make corrections NW and more precipitation over spreading the region. True but the latest Para actually trended more northwest/less with the snow on Sunday. Need to see the 12Z run to see if that trend continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Nice to see the 06 euro come on board 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 You can see the upper level energy trending stronger and trying to dig harder in NE Arkansas and Western Tennessee this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6z Euro. The trend continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 GFS folding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: True but the latest Para actually trended more northwest/less with the snow on Sunday. Need to see the 12Z run to see if that trend continues. I agree, the NW trend is always real! I thought the storm as a whole looked more organized and stronger this run which is probably why you see the NW movement. Totals went up in my area but definitely closer to the rain line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Looks like that 15th storm went poof for the southern half of South Carolina...Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I'm not too enthused about the Saturday night storm. Looks like another sloppy coating to an inch type deal. Overnight too, with not a lot of upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: I'm not too enthused about the Saturday night storm. Looks like another sloppy coating to an inch type deal. Overnight too, with not a lot of upside. In these “uncertain times”—I’m so tired of hearing that phrase—we’ll take whatever wintry precip we can get. LOL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, magpiemaniac said: In these “uncertain times”—I’m so tired of hearing that phrase—we’ll take whatever wintry precip we can get. LOL. Exactly, not to be rude.... but I’d take a 1-2” event and Be ecstatic I didn’t get that last year. And haven’t had anything over 1” since DEC 18 we get a couple good medium range runs and think we’re the Northeast or something lmao 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 14 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Looks like that 15th storm went poof for the southern half of South Carolina... Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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