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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021


jburns
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There’s several things we haven’t seen in a few years on the table for next week: 

 

lows in the single digits, maybe close to zero in the foothills and the border counties with Virginia with highs for several days in the twenties. The ground is going to be a brick. We haven’t had antecedent conditions like this for a storm since February 2014.

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8 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

There’s several things we haven’t seen in a few years on the table for next week: 

 

lows in the single digits, maybe close to zero in the foothills and the border counties with Virginia with highs for several days in the twenties. The ground is going to be a brick. We haven’t had antecedent conditions like this for a storm since February 2014.

 

The question though Bull, is this transient cold air that is moderating (or moving out) by Weds afternoon.

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Just now, griteater said:

12z Para at day 9 with a suppressed option

Feb-2-Para.png

Can’t get much better HP placement. Storm right where we want it at this stage lol. Those of you talking pattern recognition have been harping on this time period for awhile. Good to see models showing some love. I am as optimistic about the next two weeks as any winter period the last 3 years. 

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12 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

The fact models seem to have this event next Wednesdayish and place it anywhere from below NC (miss) to up into Va (rain) is about the best we can hope for at this range given the model mayhem this season. 

I’m just happy for the first time this year it looks like we will have a bonafide arctic airmass to work with. If last Thursday’s event had more cold air it could’ve been an area-wide warning level event. Was still a good storm. A few degrees makes all the difference as always 

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