NCSNOW Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 29 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: 18Z ICON much colder. Looks like it might actually stay all snow for the mountains and immediate foothills. Waiting on better maps to come out to see for sure. Colder. Man that system is on the move. Good NWSF after it moves out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 18z Nam and 18z RDPS Both end up with LP sitting on top of Manteo hr 84, actually sandwiched between Albemarle/Pamlico Sounds: Draw a line back to Missouri and thats how it ends up transfering, shaking out. Euro 12z Op was a little futher north at 12z in Illinois and ended up transfering off Delmarva/Tidewater area. I beleive. So that trajectory probably , may be what caused a warmer 12z euro op compared to the 6z. Interupted cold feed/confluence etc. Just a hunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, strongwxnc said: Colder. Man that system is on the move. Good NWSF after it moves out. I beleive Mon/Tues into Wed may be longest, best NWF event in a long time. Duration will be there, but who gets the ideal heading. some micro area could be in a treat as the LP parks itself off/stalls/crawls MA Coastline 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FocoWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The ZR line keeps coming further SE into NEga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 18 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: Is there a sleet accumulation map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 NWSF and NWF - meaning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, jtgus said: NWSF and NWF - meaning? North West Snow Flow North West Flow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said: Is there a sleet accumulation map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 18Z GFS trended South as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Roanoke gets plastered by the 18z GFS , geez , over a foot! @Buddy1987 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 18Z GFS trended South as well Yeah it’s folding like a dish rag. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 43 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Wow! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 44 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Yeah it’s folding like a dish rag. Yet some people are saying the Euro is trending toward gfs and vice versa... @BornAgain13 my question is and I get we’re still 3 days out and you may want to play it conservative but almost every model I’ve seen or viewed has 9” or more of snow for ROA. Even the ensembles are at least 6-7” plus yet just as of this morning we had “snow showers” in our forecast” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I just want snow period lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 @BIG FROSTY did you get any snow last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Seeing as we only had a trace here in Winston last night, sign me up for a half inch with initial WAA band Sat night if it manifests. Don’t care if all rain Sunday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: If that gradient near us panned out, how cool would a chase be from Winston to like Mount Airy? Wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 hour ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: inch of snow, inch of sleet and a quarter inch of ice. Snow miser sandwich. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 44 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Yet some people are saying the Euro is trending toward gfs and vice versa... @BornAgain13 my question is and I get we’re still 3 days out and you may want to play it conservative but almost every model I’ve seen or viewed has 9” or more of snow for ROA. Even the ensembles are at least 6-7” plus yet just as of this morning we had “snow showers” in our forecast” I believe you are in a great spot , if trends continue, that forecast will change from snow showers to heavy snow.... for my area just SE of there in Dry Fork , I would need it to keep trending south... but if I get a few inches before it changes to ice , I'll consider that a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 That's an amazing looking pattern on the GFS days 10-15. Cold shot, then everything starts moving west from Greenland thru N Canada, then cold air heads south. Make it happen 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Honestly though Grit, Didn't we see this progged a few weeks ago for late January or am I misremembering 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, griteater said: That's an amazing looking pattern on the GFS days 10-15. Cold shot, then everything starts moving west from Greenland thru N Canada, then cold air heads south. Make it happen That looks delicious! Valentine's Day bombogenesis....make it happen! We seriously need a better February for this subforum or psychiatric help will be required. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I believe you are in a great spot , if trends continue, that forecast will change from snow showers to heavy snow.... for my area just SE of there in Dry Fork , I would need it to keep trending south... but if I get a few inches before it changes to ice , I'll consider that a win Have you been tracking Euro and Ukie for your area? What are they showing? I’ve been so focused on mine I haven’t really looked beyond it. I think those models are in the cat bird seat with Canadian in portraying something very similar overall. I’ve also been on MA forum because there’s some really good meteorologists floating through there right now getting very good analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Honestly though Grit, Didn't we see this progged a few weeks ago for late January or am I misremembering Yeah, always temper the long range...I do think the blocking is going to renew itself (with an assist down the road from the nor'easter going up the coast), but the SE ridge / La Nina tendency could be problematic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 hours ago, NCSNOW said: It's a shame you always have to cut the totals by 1/2 to 3/4 every time with this model, because it sure has some purdy colors! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 hour ago, Ghicks said: @BIG FROSTY did you get any snow last night? Brief mix is all........... But wasn't expecting anything! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: It's a shame you always have to cut the totals by 1/2 to 3/4 every time with this model, because it sure has some purdy colors! lol I thought for sure y’all would’ve found a way to score last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Even up here we only got about 1/2-1” on the ground albeit it didn’t melt at all today and now it feels like the North Pole outside so nice to try and keep some around until Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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