wncsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: Aye caramba 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mwp1023 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Is this combined Wednesday night and Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Good lawd. Pan over QC. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Def a jump upwards in snowfall from the 12z ECMWF Ens. and the heaviest snow along US 58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 18z Euro control for Sunday WowSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Still snowing past this image. Low south of va/nc border. By far the biggest threat the forum has faced in some time. Ninja’d by bornagain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This comma head is just dumb! Idk how this isn’t getting more attention in the forum here but that gulf tap is a dream we haven’t seen come to fruition in some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I love the consistency in the Euro, but really would like to see a bit more support from the other globals. Having said that, my hopes are much higher that the GFS will join the Euro than if it were the other way around. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 15 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Still snowing past this image. Low south of va/nc border. By far the biggest threat the forum has faced in some time. Ninja’d by bornagain Do you have the image for ALL of WNC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: I love the consistency in the Euro, but really would like to see a bit more support from the other globals. Having said that, my hopes are much higher that the GFS will join the Euro than if it were the other way around. TW To be honest it has a lot of support in Icon, Canadian and at end of the Nam run it looks more like Euro than it does GFS. GFS always ends up playing catch-up in these types of situations. It’s the last to catch onto cad and normally tries to drive the primary too far into the cad. Something to keep an eye on down the road here. Confluence also a big factor in the northeast. Add Ukmet to that as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, snowbird1230 said: Do you have the image for ALL of WNC? I don’t pay unfortunately to access some of the Euro products, specifically “off run” hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 25 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Still snowing past this image. Low south of va/nc border. By far the biggest threat the forum has faced in some time. Ninja’d by bornagain Can you slide this even 35 miles south to help us border counties lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 27 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Still snowing past this image. Low south of va/nc border. By far the biggest threat the forum has faced in some time. Ninja’d by bornagain Weird on my end, this is what Im getting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Avdave said: Weird on my end, this is what Im getting Is one the mean and the other the control? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Grayman said: Is one the mean and the other the control? Yep Duh me. Good eye Grayman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Avdave said: Yep Duh me. Good eye Grayman Man. A year ago I would have never been able to tell. Love this board for learning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, Grayman said: Man. A year ago I would have never been able to tell. Love this board for learning. Im just old and my brain isnt as sharp as it used to be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 49 minutes ago, mwp1023 said: Is this combined Wednesday night and Sunday? Its thru 18z Feb 1 23 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Do you have the image for ALL of WNC? There you go 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 10 hours ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: That air mass to the north is just so cold, it would probably overcome a bad placed LP. One thing I just saw on the 12Z ICON that bears watching is that it’s popping a meso high in VA. I've been reading through the thread tonight after I got off work. This caught my eye after the reading your comment... The icon showing a HP over the mountains. Indicates 4 things. 1. someone is going to get screwed.(lee side shadow) 2. cad will be stronger 3. That's a clear indication of a leeside trough. 4. Models still haven't a clue. Placement of SLP and h850 lp. It's clear the cold coming in. It's clear that there should be some sort of CAD. It's clear that it wouldn't take much. It's a good probably that surface temps up to 900-925mb will border line I85/I-40 north. This is for Thursday into Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 29 minutes ago, Avdave said: Weird on my end, this is what Im getting You are looking at the ensemble mean , the other is the Control Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Grayman said: Can you slide this even 35 miles south to help us border counties lol Yes please!!!! I’m in Richmond Co, NC so I’m right on the borde on another note we were forecast for 68 today but only reached 56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 For this weekend, here are the surface temperatures on the 18z Euro Control as all of this precip (2nd image) rolls thru right at us 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, griteater said: For this weekend, here are the surface temperatures on the 18z Euro Control as all of this precip (2nd image) rolls thru right at us Thing of beauty. Look how cold the short range Canadian is Saturday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Thing of beauty. Look how cold the short range Canadian is Saturday morning Building off this the Icon is coming in even colder than 18z run. HP at 96 goes from 1035 to 1038. Big time cold press funneling down out of New England. @102 light snows breaking out over NC mountains. SLP over SW MO. 1037 HP. This looks to start the 0z runs off on the right foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 0z ICON a big hit for VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 18 minutes ago, Snow haven said: Yes please!!!! I’m in Richmond Co, NC so I’m right on the borde on another note we were forecast for 68 today but only reached 56 Me too man. Rockingham 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Trend loop on the Euro Ensemble Mean for Sunday at 1PM (last 9 runs). Some good things going on here. Trough off the west coast is deepening and slower to move east...western ridge is building...all the while, the confluent flow over PA and NY is holding...forcing our Miss River trough to trend south. This could continue to trend south a little more IMO based on these trends, especially if the confluent flow over PA/NY continues to hold. Also notice the building ridge over the Great Lakes which increases the surface high pressure SE of Hudson Bay. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS continues to be completely different with the cold retreating quickly and system going way north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, wncsnow said: GFS continues to be completely different with the cold retreating quickly and system going way north The GFS just isn’t biting on Sunday’s event for us. But there’s time. It can change in a snap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12 minutes ago, wncsnow said: GFS continues to be completely different with the cold retreating quickly and system going way north The GFS was hot garbage. Para looked ok for decent thump to dry slot. It’s pretty much most guidance against gfs so there’s that but then a lot of us are actually rooting for the gfs for Thursday’s system so who knows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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